First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Monday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Steelers TD Picks

My Dolphins vs. Steelers first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football are focusing on Jaylen Waddle, Jaylen Warren, and Pat Freiermuth.

It's all part of our NFL predictions for Week 15 ahead of a prime-time clash between one team attempting to cling to its division lead, and another trying to keep desperate playoff hopes alive. The action starts at 8:15 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, with the Steelers entering as 3-point home favorites.

🏈 First touchdown scorer predictions: Dolphins vs. Steelers

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Jaylen Waddle, WR, Dolphins (+1000) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Steelers remain putrid against the pass while ranking 27th and allowing 244 yards per game. Opposing wideouts are very much a part of those repeated torchings, as the Steelers are tied for the fourth-most receptions given up to the position, and they sit eighth in yards.

Enter Waddle then, who's second on the first touchdown scorer oddsboard among Dolphins players at the best sports betting sites, though the gap between him and De'Von Achane (+475) is likely a little too large given Waddle's role and Pittsburgh's weakness.

Yes, the Dolphins turn to Achane at every opportunity, and he sits 10th in touches. But the sure-handed Waddle has recorded a 72.74% catch rate in the red zone on his 11 targets. He's a trusted option, which has played into his six touchdowns thus far.

If Waddle crosses the goal line first, a $10 wager at these +1100 betting odds from DraftKings would lead to a $100 payout, with an implied probability of 9.09%.

Our Gary Pearson is also including Waddle in his Dolphins vs. Steelers player props.

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Jaylen Warren, RB, Steelers (+600) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Let's keep cornering the market on guys named Jaylen.

This pick is decidedly less sexy while getting the second-shortest odds at the best NFL betting sites. But often in this market it pays in a quite literal way to take a running back ahead of a game that may not feature much scoring. The best sports betting apps certainly believe that'll be the case tonight, as the total sits at a lowly 42.5.

If you quite justifiably believe Warren can score one of the few touchdowns in the game, then banking on his score to be the first one pays off much better than Warren's anytime touchdown odds that sit around +105. He's scored three times in as many games recently, and Warren now faces a Dolphins defense that ranks 27th against the run while allowing 131.9 yards per outing.

Warren scoring first would lead to a $60 payout using these +600 odds, and it's getting an implied probability of 14.29%.

Pat Freiermuth, TE, Steelers (+2000) ⭐⭐⭐

The Dolphins are susceptible against tight ends while allowing the seventh-most yards leaguewide, the eighth-most receptions, and they're tied for the sixth-most touchdowns (seven).

I generally aim for minimum odds of +2000 while making the long-shot first touchdown pick, and Freiermuth is easily the best of that bunch given both the Dolphins' vulnerability, and his efficiency when given red-zone chances. Freiermuth has received eight red-zone targets, and he's caught five while scoring three of his four touchdowns in that area.

Hitting a $10 bet on Freiermuth scoring first would translate to a $200 payout using these +2000 betting odds from DraftKings, with an implied probability of 4.76%.

Our Esten McLaren is also featuring Freiermuth as part of his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football. Brenden Schaeffer did too in his Dolphins vs. Steelers same-game parlay.

🚀 Dolphins vs. Steelers first touchdown scorer parlay

See all of our NFL touchdown props for Monday Night Football and more.

Best SGP odds: +3400 via DraftKings ($10 to win $340)  

📊 First touchdown scorer odds: Dolphins vs. Steelers

📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Steelers

• Date: Monday, Dec. 15
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
• TV: ESPN

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