Dolphins vs. Steelers Expert Picks: ATS Predictions, Prop Bets & TD Picks for Monday Night Football

Two AFC playoff hopefuls clash tonight as the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) host the Miami Dolphins (6-7) on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN). Our Dolphins vs. Steelers expert picks break down all of our predictions and best bets for this MNF matchup from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh to wrap up our NFL Week 15 predictions.

🏈 Dolphins vs. Steelers expert picks: MNF predictions & best bets

See all of our NFL picks and expert NFL analysis for Monday Night Football and more.

🔮 Dolphins vs. Steelers prediction

Steelers -3 (-113) ⭐⭐⭐

Gary Pearson: "The Dolphins are getting hot at the right time of the season. However, I'm not sold on Mike McDaniel's team, particularly considering the freezing conditions expected in the latest Dolphins vs. Steelers weather report. Only one of their six wins has come against a team with a record better than .500, and four victories occurred against teams with three wins (New York Jets twice, New Orleans Saints, and Washington Commanders)."

See Pearson's full analysis in his Dolphins vs. Steelers prediction, including his favorite player prop bet and the best MNF betting trends, injury report, and more.

🔥 Dolphins vs. Steelers player prop pick

Kenneth Gainwell Over 21.5 receiving yards (-111) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Pearson: "Gainwell has become one of Aaron Rodgers' preferred targets, which tells you all you need to know about how much the Steelers' offense depends on short, check-down plays. The emphasis on such a game plan will only be exacerbated in the arctic-like conditions. Gainwell hit the Over on this total in the previous four games, averaging 40.8 yards. Not only is it going to be a bone-chilling 17 degrees, but the Dolphins' secondary allows the third-fewest yards per game to opposing wide receivers."

See Pearson's full analysis in his Dolphins vs. Steelers player props, including his best bet for Jaylen Warren and Jaylen Waddle tonight on Monday Night Football.

🏗️ Aaron Rodgers player prop bet

Aaron Rodgers Under 214.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dustin Saracini: "A cold night and an old man coming off an injury isn't the recipe for a high passing total. Even if that wasn't the case, Rodgers has gone over this total just once over his last four games played and is going up against a formidable Dolphins secondary allowing just 187 yards per game through the air over the last three weeks. The Miami defense has been a big reason why the Fins have won four straight games, and they should be able to limit Rodgers on Monday Night Football as the Steelers stick to the ground game."

See Saracini's full analysis in his Aaron Rodgers player props, including his favorite Over bet on the Steelers quarterback tonight against the Dolphins.

🐬 Tua Tagovailoa player prop bet

Tua Tagovailoa Over 192.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Saracini: "This passing number is awfully low for Tua - I think the cold narrative has gotten into the minds of the bookmakers. Yes, I get it, he hasn't been great this year, he hasn't even been good. Yes, I know he's 0-5 in freezing temperatures. Yes, this will be an ugly game. However, he's going up against a defense that gives up 244 passing yards per game - good for 27th in football. Look for Mike McDaniel to get Tua going early and often, and for this game to remain close enough that Tua will still be dropping back come the fourth quarter."

See Saracini's full analysis in his Tua Tagovailoa player props, including two other bets and his favorite SGP parlay at +451 odds for the Dolphins QB against the Steelers.

🙌 Dolphins vs. Steelers anytime touchdown scorer pick

Kenneth Gainwell to score anytime TD (+196) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Esten McLaren: "Though Kenneth Gainwell has rushed more than five times in just two of his past eight games, he caught 31 of 36 targets in that time, totaling 207 yards and two scores through the air. The Dolphins allow running backs to catch 89.2% of their targets, so I'm counting on Gainwell and the Steelers to exploit that advantage as the narrow betting favorite tonight."

See McLaren's full analysis in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football, including two long-shot bets on tight ends. You can follow all of our NFL touchdown props for the biggest games every week.

1️⃣ Dolphins vs. Steelers first touchdown scorer pick

Jaylen Waddle to score first TD (+1000) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sean Tomlinson: "The Steelers remain putrid against the pass while ranking 27th and allowing 244 yards per game. Opposing wideouts are very much a part of those repeated torchings, as the Steelers are tied for the fourth-most receptions given up to the position, and they sit eighth in yards."

See Tomlinson's full analysis in his first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football, including a long shot at +2000 odds to score the first touchdown.

🚀 Dolphins vs. Steelers same-game parlay

Here's a look at what our NFL expert Brenden Schaeffer is betting tonight with his best Monday Night Football SGP paying out at +500 odds:

See Schaeffer's full analysis in his Dolphins vs. Steelers same-game parlay, including his logic for all three SGP bets for Monday Night Football. You can follow all of our NFL same-game parlay bets for the biggest games every week.

📊 Dolphins vs. Steelers odds: MNF

See the latest NFL odds for every game in real time.

📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Steelers

• Date: Monday, Dec. 15
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
• TV: ESPN