Davis Mills Player Props vs. Bills: Will Mills Show Up on Thursday Night Football?
Buffalo travels to Houston on Thursday Night Football to take on the Texans, and I'm dropping my best Davis Mills player prop bets to get us set for the action. Kickoff is at 8:15 pm E.T. from NRG Stadium (Prime Video), with the Bills coming in as six-point favorites.
Can the backup quarterback for Houston get the job done as part of our NFL predictions for Week 12? Let's dig in.
✅ Davis Mills player prop bets vs. Bills
See all of our NFL picks for Week 12 based on the latest NFL odds.
💵 Best Davis Mills player props
- Davis Mills player prop: Over 211.5 passing yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Davis Mills player prop: Over 32.5 passing attempts (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Davis Mills player prop: To throw an interception (-118 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
💰 Best Davis Mills player prop picks: Play of the Day
Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
🏆 Davis Mills Over 211.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Not only has Mills flown over this number over the last two weeks, but the coaching staff is beginning to trust his arm more, attempting 86 passes over that span. For his part, he's thrown for 292 yards and 274 yards and three total touchdown passes in Week 10 and 11, respectively. Now, he does get his biggest test against a Bills defense allowing just 169 passing yards per game, which is good for second in football. However, if the Texans fall behind against this potent Buffalo offense, expect Mills to air it out early.
🤑 Feeling greedy?
Davis Mills recording 220+ passing yards is trading at +111 at DraftKings, and I'd even go as far as 230+ passing yards for the backup quarterback, who's shown time and time again that he can deliver this year.
You get the best bang for your buck over at DraftKings for this prop at -113 betting odds, which implies a 53.05% chance this play hits. I'd play this Davis Mills player prop as soon as you can before the number pushes closer to 215.5 prior to kickoff.
💡 More Bills vs. Texans predictions for Thursday Night Football
📊 Davis Mills player props: Game log and trends
Take a look at what Davis Mills has done since taking over for C.J. Stroud this season.
| Opponent | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs DEN | 17 | 30 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 53.0 |
| vs JAX | 27 | 45 | 292 | 2 | 1 | 58.7 |
| @ TEN | 26 | 41 | 274 | 1 | 0 | 37.9 |
- Davis Mills has gone over his passing yards number in two of three weeks since taking over the starting job
- Davis Mills has thrown one interception this season
- Davis Mills has gone over his passing attempts number in two of three games this season
- Davis Mills has never started against the Buffalo Bills
💡 More Week 12 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for Week 12.
🚀 Best Davis Mills SGP bets
💵 Davis Mills same-game parlay picks
- 1st leg: Over 211.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- 2nd leg: Over 33.5 passing attempts (-101)⭐⭐⭐
- 3rd leg: To throw an interception (-118) ⭐⭐
Best odds: +593 via DraftKings ($10 to win $59.30)
📺 How to watch Bills vs. Texans
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 20, 2025
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)
- TV: Prime Video
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