Commanders vs. Dolphins Same-Game Parlay: NFL Week 11 Picks & SGP Odds
Last Updated: November 16, 2025 4:30 AM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
My Commanders vs. Dolphins same-game parlay for NFL Week 11 sees a favorable matchup for the Marcus Mariota-to-Zach Ertz connection - but that might be a rare positive for the Washington side in a game that could favor Miami behind De’Von Achane’s resurgence on the ground.
The action for Commanders vs. Dolphins kicks off from Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain, Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network). The Dolphins are 2.5-point betting favorites as part of our NFL predictions for Week 11.
✅ Commanders vs. Dolphins same-game parlay: NFL Week 11
See all of our experts' NFL picks based on the latest NFL odds.
💵 Commanders vs. Dolphins SGP bets
- 1st leg: Zach Ertz Over 44.5 receiving yards (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- 2nd leg: Dolphins -2.5 (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- 3rd leg: De’Von Achane Over 80.5 rushing yards (-122) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Commanders vs. Dolphins parlay picks & SGP bets
🚀Zach Ertz Over 44.5 receiving yards (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Zach Ertz has cleared the 44.5-yard receiving line in consecutive weeks and gets a favorable matchup in Madrid. Tight ends have terrorized the Dolphins' defense this season to the tune of 71.4 receiving yards per game (fifth-most in the NFL).
Marcus Mariota's insertion into the lineup hasn't seemed to throw Ertz off his mark, as he logged four receptions for 54 yards last week against Detroit.
🚀 Dolphins -2.5 (-121) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Dolphins are pure anarchy. Their past four games have included two wins by 17+ points and two losses by 22+ points. But Miami is the lesser of two evils this week, facing a Commanders team that is 1-6 ATS with an average outright margin of -12.6 PPG in those matchups.
Washington has lost four straight games by 21+ points. Dan Quinn taking over as DC is a nice step, but I don’t predict it will be enough this week.
🚀 De’Von Achane Over 80.5 rushing yards (-122) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
De'Von Achane turned the Buffalo defense into a perpetual turnstile last weekend, rushing for a season-high 174 yards as Miami blitzed the Bills. He's now compiled rushing outputs over 80.5 yards in four of his past seven games, only once dipping below 67 yards on the ground in that span.
Washington permits 134.4 rushing yards per game (24th in the NFL), with running backs accounting for 107.6 rushing yards per game against the Commanders.
💡 More NFL predictions
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📺 How to watch Commanders vs. Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 16
- Kickoff: 9:30 a.m. ET
- Location: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium (Madrid, Spain)
- TV: NFL Network
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Brenden Schaeffer X social