Commanders vs. Bengals Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for MNF Week 3
It’s been a rocky start to the season for the Cincinnati Bengals as their excruciating last-second loss to the Kansas City Chiefs dropped them to 0-2 on the season.
With that game and the memory of their Week 1 debacle against the New England Patriots still fresh on their minds, our Commanders vs. Bengals early picks and predictions expect a get-right game for Cincinnati as they return home for Monday Night Football.
Behind a rookie quarterback, the upstart Commanders haven’t yet shown they can contend in what should be a stout road environment against a Super Bowl odds contender.
The Bengals are the favorites by the Monday Night Football odds at our best sports betting sites.
My early Commanders vs. Bengals prediction: Bengals -7.5
NFL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Prediction: Bengals -7.5
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.95%
This boils down to a desperation spot for a Bengals team that bungled a gimme win against the Patriots and followed it up by losing a well-played game against the best team in football.
Returning home against lesser competition should allow Joe Burrow’s unit to dial it in - especially with Tee Higgins reportedly making progress toward his return.
Barring notable injury news that hinders Cincinnati, I don’t see this line crossing back over to the other side of -7 leading up to game time.
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Commanders vs. Bengals live odds
See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week 3 game.
Moneyline
- Bengals best odds: -370 via Caesars | Implied probability: 78.72%
- Commanders best odds: +330 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 23.26%
The Bengals opened at -375 and have already shifted to -400 at BetMGM and to -420 at FanDuel.
If you’re looking to nestle into a Bengals moneyline bet or to throw it into a parlay, Caesars (-370), bet365 (-370) or DraftKings (-375) are the preferred options.
For those daring enough to call for the upset, FanDuel’s heavy lean toward Cincinnati makes that a great spot to play the Commanders at +330.
Spread
- Bengals best odds: -7.5 (-108) via DraftKings
- Commanders best odds: +7.5 (-105) via FanDuel
We haven’t seen much movement yet on the spread after it opened at -7.5, but there are two spots that have steered off the standard -110 odds.
FanDuel is your place to grab the Commanders at +7.5 with reduced -105 odds, while DraftKings has shifted slightly to -108 odds on Bengals -7.5.
We could see a push further toward Cincy as the game approaches and the public piles on the home favorite.
Over/Under
- Over best odds: 48.5 (-105) via FanDuel
- Under best odds: 48.5 (-110) via BetMGM
FanDuel offers a small edge for Over bettors, providing -105 odds on Over 48.5. This line has remained stiff, so no spots are offering better than -110 odds to bet Under that number yet.
Clarity on the weather could impact the total as the game approaches, but because winds aren’t currently expected to be too severe, we’re anticipating this number staying between 48 and 50 as kickoff approaches.
How to watch Commanders vs. Bengals
- When: Monday, Sept. 23
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: 59 degrees, 60% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph SW
- Favorite: Bengals (-370 via Caesars)
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