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Commanders vs. Bengals Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for MNF Week 3

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: September 17, 2024 5:03 PM EDT • 2 min 54 sec read.

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow resets a play against the Kansas City Chiefs. We're backing Cincinnati in our Commanders vs. Bengals early picks.
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow resets a play against the Kansas City Chiefs. Photo by Sam Greene/The Enquirer/USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.

It’s been a rocky start to the season for the Cincinnati Bengals as their excruciating last-second loss to the Kansas City Chiefs dropped them to 0-2 on the season.

With that game and the memory of their Week 1 debacle against the New England Patriots still fresh on their minds, our Commanders vs. Bengals early picks and predictions expect a get-right game for Cincinnati as they return home for Monday Night Football.

Behind a rookie quarterback, the upstart Commanders haven’t yet shown they can contend in what should be a stout road environment against a Super Bowl odds contender.

The Bengals are the favorites by the Monday Night Football odds at our best sports betting sites.

My early Commanders vs. Bengals prediction: Bengals -7.5

NFL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Bengals -7.5

Best odds: -108 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.95%

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This boils down to a desperation spot for a Bengals team that bungled a gimme win against the Patriots and followed it up by losing a well-played game against the best team in football.

Returning home against lesser competition should allow Joe Burrow’s unit to dial it in - especially with Tee Higgins reportedly making progress toward his return.

Barring notable injury news that hinders Cincinnati, I don’t see this line crossing back over to the other side of -7 leading up to game time.

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Commanders vs. Bengals live odds

See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week 3 game.

Moneyline

The Bengals opened at -375 and have already shifted to -400 at BetMGM and to -420 at FanDuel.

If you’re looking to nestle into a Bengals moneyline bet or to throw it into a parlay, Caesars (-370), bet365 (-370) or DraftKings (-375) are the preferred options.

For those daring enough to call for the upset, FanDuel’s heavy lean toward Cincinnati makes that a great spot to play the Commanders at +330.

Spread

We haven’t seen much movement yet on the spread after it opened at -7.5, but there are two spots that have steered off the standard -110 odds.

FanDuel is your place to grab the Commanders at +7.5 with reduced -105 odds, while DraftKings has shifted slightly to -108 odds on Bengals -7.5.

We could see a push further toward Cincy as the game approaches and the public piles on the home favorite.

Over/Under

FanDuel offers a small edge for Over bettors, providing -105 odds on Over 48.5. This line has remained stiff, so no spots are offering better than -110 odds to bet Under that number yet.

Clarity on the weather could impact the total as the game approaches, but because winds aren’t currently expected to be too severe, we’re anticipating this number staying between 48 and 50 as kickoff approaches.

How to watch Commanders vs. Bengals

  • When: Monday, Sept. 23
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Weather: 59 degrees, 60% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph SW
  • Favorite: Bengals (-370 via Caesars)

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.