Chiefs vs. Giants Expert Picks: SNF Player Props, Touchdown Predictions & More

The reigning AFC champions try to get right tonight as we offer our Chiefs vs. Giants expert picks and predictions for Sunday Night Football.
Chiefs vs. Giants Expert Picks: SNF Player Props, Touchdown Predictions & More
Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) talks with head coach Andy Reid. Photo by Denny Medley / Imagn Images.

Either the Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) or New York Giants (0-2) will earn their first win of the season tonight on Sunday Night Football, and our Chiefs vs. Giants expert picks break down this NFL Week 3 matchup from every angle ahead of kickoff at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J.

You can still turn a profit after kickoff, too, with our NFL live betting guide.


🏈 Chiefs vs. Giants expert picks: Sunday Night Football

NFL picks for Sunday Night Football with pick confidence based on 1-to-5-star scale; see the latest NFL odds for the best available price.

  • Against the spread pick: Giants +6.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Player prop pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 27.5 rushing yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Touchdown scorer prediction: Hollywood Brown to score anytime TD (+155 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • First touchdown prediction: Patrick Mahomes to score the first touchdown (+2000 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Don't miss our Chiefs vs. Giants parlay picks for a chance at a +650 payday!

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💰 Best Chiefs vs. Giants picks for Sunday Night Football

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

✅ Best ATS pick: Giants +6.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's what our NFL expert Mike Spector wrote this week on why he's betting on the Giants to cover against the Chiefs tonight on Sunday Night Football:

"Kansas City’s offense has looked pedestrian against two difficult opponents in the Chargers and Eagles to start the season. While things should improve against the Giants defense, this is more of a contrarian value play in a unique situational spot, as the Chiefs’ point spread is tied for the highest of any road favorite that is 0-2 or worse since 1990.

The Chiefs have converted just 34.6% of their third-down opportunities (ranks 26th), while quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been off-target on 21% of his passes, which ranks 31st among all quarterbacks."

Spector also highlighted his favorite player prop bet and how he'd bet the total in his Chiefs vs. Giants prediction.


🔥 Best player prop pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 27.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Matt Jacob is betting on Mahomes to rush for at least 28 yards tonight in a must-win spot for the Chiefs:

"Mahomes - who scampered for 57 and 66 yards against the Chargers and Eagles, respectively - should run wild against the NFL’s worst rushing defense. The Giants have yielded 355 ground yards in two games, which are 18 more than the next-worst team (Minnesota). Quarterbacks are responsible for 85 of those yards, with Washington’s Jayden Daniels running for 68 on 11 carries in Week 1."

Jacob is also betting the Over on a top pass-catcher for each side as part of his best Chiefs vs. Giants player prop bets.


💪 Best touchdown scorer prediction: Hollywood Brown to score anytime TD ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Esten McLaren is betting on Hollywood Brown to score a touchdown tonight for the first time in two years:

"Brown has been locked in as the Chiefs' No. 1 receiver with Rashee Rice (suspension) and Xavier Worthy (injury) both out of the lineup. Brown played at least 75% of the offensive snaps in both games thus far.

He was targeted 16 times in Week 1 and caught 10 for 99 yards. He followed that by catching all five of his targets last week, but turned them into just 30 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles."

McLaren is also betting on a Chiefs rusher and Giants receiver at favorable plus-money odds as part of his anytime touchdown scorer predictions.


😤 Best first touchdown scorer prediction: Patrick Mahomes to score the first touchdown ⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Connor Cooper is betting on Mahomes to score the first touchdown on Sunday Night Football:

"Without top weapons Rice and Worthy at his disposal, Mahomes is having to take things into his hands more often. He leads all QBs in rushing yards through two weeks, scampering at least six times in each of KC’s first two games.

To put that into context, Mahomes didn’t attempt six rushes in any of the Chiefs’ final nine regular season games last season. He’s also outpaced all of KC’s running backs combined this season in rushing yards, rushing first downs and rushing touchdowns after scoring majors in both outings."

Cooper is also backing two Giants skill-position stars at long odds to open the scoring tonight in his first touchdown scorer predictions.


📺 How to watch Sunday Night Football: Chiefs vs. Giants info

  • When: Sunday, Sept. 21
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
  • How to watch: NBC

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