Chargers vs. Patriots Predictions for Wild Card Round | Opening Odds & NFL Playoffs Best Bet
Last Updated: January 6, 2026 3:48 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Drake Maye will make his NFL playoff debut in the Wild Card Round on Sunday, and my early Patriots vs. Chargers predictions explain why he'll have a hard time putting up points.
The Patriots are a 3.5-point betting favorite, but my NFL playoff predictions are more interested in a play on the total. Sunday's kickoff from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBC).
🏈 Early Chargers vs. Patriots prediction
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
Under 46.5 (-115)⭐⭐⭐⭐
The math is simple here: the Chargers will have difficulties moving the ball against a strong pass defense in New England (and with the worst offensive line in football), and the Patriots' offense will likely have some difficulties scoring against Los Angeles' fifth-ranked defense.
The Chargers haven't given up more than 20 points in six straight weeks, and on the other side, I'm expecting Justin Herbert to dink and dunk all night long with limited time in the pocket. What does this all add up to? This game flying under the total.
💡 More NFL predictions
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📊 Live Chargers vs. Patriots odds: Wild Card Weekend
Our NFL wild-card betting odds provide the updated odds from the best sports betting sites for Chargers vs. Patriots.
Chargers vs. Patriots opening odds
- Moneyline: Chargers (+165) | Patriots (-195)
- Spread: Chargers +3.5 (-105) | Patriots -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-105) | Under 46.5 (-115)
Chargers vs. Patriots line movement
We're seeing the same spread and total across all of our best sports betting sites here, with close to 50/50 money on both teams. Remain patient if you're looking for any type of movement, or invest now if you're loving a number you see. For me? I've locked in on the opening total, catching the Under 46.5.
While some hanging 46.5s still exist in the market, the line is dropping and can be found at 45.5 and 46 with regularity. Catch the 46.5 while you can.
📈 Chargers vs. Patriots trends & betting notes: Wild Card Weekend
- New England is one of the best teams ATS, sporting an 11-5-1 record
- The Patriots are 11-6 to the Over this season
- The Chargers are 6-10-1 to the Over this season
- The Patriots are a 4-2-1 as a home favorite this season
📺 How to watch Chargers vs. Patriots: Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 11
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
- TV: NBC
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Dustin Saracini X social