Broncos vs. Chiefs Expert Picks for Christmas Day | Predictions, Best Bets & Odds
Last Updated: December 25, 2025 6:30 PM EST • 4 minute read Google News Link
The Denver Broncos (12-3) look to bounce back after last weeks loss to the Jaguars when they face the host Kansas City Chiefs (6-9) for a Christmas Day clash today at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime. Our Broncos vs. Chiefs expert picks break down all of our predictions and best bets with the Broncos favored by 13.5 points at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., to complete our NFL Christmas Day predictions.
🏈 Broncos vs. Chiefs expert picks: NFL Christmas Day
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Betting expert | Best bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Spector | Broncos -6.5 first half spread | -124 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Matt Jacob | Bo Nix Over 33.5 passing attempts | -103 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Phil Wood | RJ Harvey anytime TD | -112 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Brenden Schaeffer | Travis Kelce Over 38.5 receiving yards | -115 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Brenden Schaeffer | Bo Nix Over 13.5 rushing yards | -115 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Sean Tomlinson | Bo Nix first TD | +1600 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
🔮 Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction
Broncos -6.5 first half spread (-124) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mike Spector: "In the first meeting between these teams in Week 11, Kansas City pressured Broncos quarterback Bo Nix on just 28% of his dropbacks, the fourth-lowest by the Chiefs to that point. On the other side, Denver’s defense entered that game on an impressive historical run. The Broncos joined the 2000 Buccaneers as the only team with at least 40 sacks and under a 30% third-down percentage allowed through the first 10 games since 1990."
See Spector's full analysis in his Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions, including his favorite player prop bet and the best Christmas betting trends, injury report, and more. We have more on this matchup in his NFL best bets for Christmas Day.
🔥 Best Broncos vs. Chiefs player prop pick
Bo Nix Over 33.5 passing attempts (-103) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Matt Jacob: "Proof that Broncos coach Sean Payton has removed quarterback Bo Nix’s training wheels: Nix ranks second in the NFL with 551 pass attempts - just one behind the Rams’ Matthew Stafford. Nix has thrown at least 33 passes in five straight games and nine of the last 12 (including four of five on the road)."
See Jacob's full analysis in his Broncos vs. Chiefs player props, including his best bet for RJ Harvey and Courtland Sutton today. Our Dustin Saracini has more with his NFL player props for Christmas Day.
🙌 Best Broncos vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer pick
RJ Harvey, RB, Broncos (+112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Phil wood: "Though Harvey didn’t find the end zone against the Chiefs earlier this season, he has scored in four consecutive games. He has seven rushing touchdowns and four receiving touchdowns, and he’s scored in eight of 15 games."
See Wood's full analysis in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Broncos vs. Chiefs, including a + long-shot bet on a recurring visitor to the end zone. You can follow all of our NFL touchdown props for the biggest games every week, including our anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas.
1️⃣ Best Broncos vs. Chiefs first touchdown scorer pick
Bo Nix, QB, Broncos (+1600) ⭐⭐⭐
Sean Tomlinson: "Nix hasn't been busting out as a runner as often this season, though he's still logged three games with 30-plus yards. More importantly, his combination of speed and strength has contributed to four touchdowns as a ball-carrier. He'll now face a Kansas City Chiefs defense tied for the third-most rushing scores allowed to quarterbacks (five)."
See Tomlinson's full analysis in his first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day, which features the best bet for all three games today.
🚀 Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
Here's a look at our best Broncos vs. Chiefs SGP paying out at +500 odds:
💵 Broncos vs. Chiefs SGP bets
- Broncos -13.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Travis Kelce Over 38.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bo Nix Over 13.5 rushing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best SGP odds: +500 via DraftKings ($10 to win $500)
See Schaeffer's full analysis in his Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay, including his analysis for all three SGP bets for this Christmas Day matchup. You can follow all of our NFL same-game parlay bets for the biggest games every week, including our NFL parlay picks for Christmas Day.
📊 Broncos vs. Chiefs odds: NFL Christmas Day
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game this season.
📺 How to watch Broncos vs. Chiefs: NFL Christmas Day
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 25
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- TV: Prime Video
🎁 More NFL expert picks for Christmas Day
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for Christmas Day and more.
- Broncos vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown predictions
- Broncos vs. Chiefs player props
- Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions
- Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
- Chris Oladokun player props
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LJ Blut