Brock Purdy NFL Player Props, Odds Week 16: Predictions for Ravens vs. 49ers on Christmas Day
The San Francisco 49ers face off with the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football, as we make our best Brock Purdy NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy completed just 16 passes in Week 15, but he did throw for 242 yards and four touchdowns. That marked Purdy's third four-touchdown performance of the season, and the favorite by our NFL MVP odds leads the league in passing touchdowns. He's also second in the league in passing yards.
In the upcoming week, Purdy is set to confront a challenging matchup against the Baltimore Ravens' formidable pass defense, which currently holds the sixth rank in the league. Notably, this defensive unit also shares the league lead in fewest passing touchdowns allowed, signifying their prowess in limiting opponents' aerial attacks.
In addition to our NFL Christmas Day predictions, Lamar Jackson player props, Ravens vs. 49ers parlay, and Ravens vs. 49ers prediction, here are our best Brock Purdy NFL player prop predictions for the Ravens-49ers Week 16 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Brock Purdy NFL player prop predictions for Christmas Day
- Brock Purdy Under 0.5 interceptions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Brock Purdy Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-138 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Brock Purdy Under 20.5 completions (-106 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
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Brock Purdy player props
Brock Purdy Under 0.5 interceptions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is the best price you’re ever going to get for Purdy to not throw an interception in a game this season. He’s thrown just seven this year and only two of those have come in victories. With the 49ers favored by 5.5, it’s clear that oddsmakers expect them to end Week 16 with the best record in football.
It’s interesting to see this price as favorable as it is considering the Ravens are only in the middle of the league in interceptions forced per game. Their pass defense is great, but they don’t have a clear advantage when it comes to intercepting opposing quarterbacks.
The price for this play is as high as -127 at Caesars. While that’s still a fair number worth playing, bet365 is offering the best price at the moment.
For comparison, our C Jackson Cowart made the case for Purdy to throw an interception in his best NFL player props column for Week 16.
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Brock Purdy Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-138 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Purdy has thrown 10 touchdown passes in his last three games. He’s thrown two or more touchdown passes in eight games and all but three of the 49ers’ wins this year. During the 49ers’ current six-game winning streak, Purdy has thrown at least two touchdowns in five games.
The Ravens are only allowing one touchdown pass per game this season. If they play their best on Monday, then perhaps Purdy will struggle to hit this total. However, the 49ers have scored at least 27 points in all 11 of their victories this season. The Ravens’ defense is very good, but the 49ers’ offense is better.
The price for this prop is expensive. Some sportsbooks are asking more than -150 for the Over. Don’t shy away from this play because of the price. Purdy is the hottest quarterback in the league right now and in other challenges he’s faced this year, he and the 49ers’ offense have put up huge numbers.
Brock Purdy Under 20.5 completions (-106 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
To get to his current statistics, Purdy has been a very efficient quarterback. He’s completed more than 20 passes just five times this season, and he’s completed fewer than 20 passes in each of his last three games.
The 49ers have won each of their last six games by at least 12 points, which has led to Purdy not needing to throw the ball late. Considering the Ravens are tied with the 49ers for the best record in football, perhaps this game will be closer. But we don’t expect the 49ers to change who they are for this matchup. They run the ball 29.5 times per game, and they will probably top that number this week as they try to keep Lamar Jackson off the field.
The best sportsbooks disagree about what this total and price should be. FanDuel currently has the total listed at 19.5, asking +104 for the Under. Meanwhile, bet365 has Under 20.5 listed with a price of -115. Make sure you shop around before wagering, as the price is sure to fluctuate throughout the weekend.
Brock Purdy player prop picks made Saturday at 10:09 a.m. ET.
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