Bills vs. Falcons Player Props: Monday Night Football Prop Bets Tonight
My best Bills vs. Falcons player props tonight target James Cook, Michael Penix Jr., and Bijan Robinson. The Bills are a 4.5-point betting favorite tonight, with kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN).
My NFL picks feature two Overs, and I wrap up my MNF prop bets with an Under on a Falcons player.
🏈 Bills vs. Falcons player props: Monday Night Football
NFL player prop bets for Monday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.
- Bijan Robinson Over 110.5 rushing and receiving yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- James Cook Over 69.5 rushing yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Michael Penix Jr. Under 0.5 interceptions (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Best Bills vs. Falcons player prop bets: Monday Night Football
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Bijan Robinson Over 110.5 rushing & receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Robinson has accumulated 584 yards in four games, with 314 on the ground and 270 through the air. He’s cleared 110.5 total yards in three of his four games, and he gets a favorable matchup against the Bills’ fifth-worst run defense.
Robinson is averaging 4.9 yards per carry, and the Bills are allowing 5.6 yards per attempt. However, I’m taking Robinson’s combined total rather than his rushing total.
While his rushing yardage Over is a good play, which our Gary Pearson covers in his Bills vs. Falcons prediction, this is safer in case Robinson falls behind early. The price of -110 at BetMGM implies a 52.38% chance that this Over hits, and a $10 bet would profit $9.09.
⬆️ James Cook Over 69.5 rushing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last week, Cook ran for just 49 yards, as he averaged a season-low 3.3 yards per carry. However, he’s still averaging 5.0 yards per carry, and he’s rushed for at least 108 yards in three games.
While the Falcons have the top defense when it comes to yards allowed per game (244.0), they are susceptible against a good ground attack. They’re only allowing 109.0 rushing yards per game, giving up 4.6 yards per carry, the 10th-worst in the league.
Cook has at least 13 carries in every game this season, so it’s safe to assume he’ll have plenty of opportunities. The price of -113 at DraftKings implies a 53.05% chance this Over hits, and a $10 bet would profit $8.85.
⬇️ Michael Penix Jr. Under 0.5 interceptions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Penix has thrown three interceptions in his last two games. He now has at least one interception in five of his nine professional games. Yet, coming off the bye, he gets a very good matchup against the Bills.
The Bills have only two interceptions this season. One of those came from the hand of Tua Tagovailoa, who already has seven picks. The other came off a wide receiver pass from Chris Olave.
Even if Penix is turnover-prone, oddsmakers at the best sports betting sites are seriously overvaluing this Over, making it one of the best Bills vs. Falcons player props. The price of +100 at FanDuel implies a 50% chance Penix doesn’t throw a pick, and a $10 bet would profit $10.
💡 More Bills vs. Falcons MNF picks
📊 Bills vs. Falcons odds: Monday Night Football
Latest Monday Night Football odds updated live in real time.
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Bills vs. Falcons
- Date: Monday, Oct. 13
- Kickoff: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
- TV: ESPN
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