Bills vs. Dolphins Player Props Today: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 10

Let's get straight into our Bills vs. Dolphins player props today.

Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS) on Sunday, with the Bills listed as an 8.5-point betting favorite as the Dolphins limp into the latter half of the season. Make sure to check out the rest of our NFL Week 10 predictions so that you don’t miss out on any winning plays, including the following prop for De’Von Achane.

✅ Bills vs. Dolphins player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10.

💰 Best Bills vs. Dolphins player props

⬆️ De'Von Achane player prop: Over 30.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The banged-up Bills take on a reeling Dolphins team that relies on quick passes. Tua Tagovailoa has an incredibly short average depth of target (6.5) and spends the least time in the pocket (2.2 seconds) among eligible quarterbacks. These factors all point to value on Achane's receiving yards.

While they’ll be without a few key pieces on the defensive front, the Bills rank a solid third in pressure rate (28.8%) despite blitzing at the 10th-lowest rate (20.8%), which should force Tagovailoa into obvious check-down situations. When the Dolphins last played the Bills, Achane was targeted a whopping nine times - and that was with Tyreek Hill still in the mix.

Now that Hill is injured, Tagovailoa will likely have to lean on Achane on Sunday. The injuries to Buffalo’s defense should help the running back pick up a few more yards after the catch than he generated against this squad in September. Back him for Over 30.5 receiving yards at FanDuel, where this bet costs -114 (53.3% implied probability), enough to profit $8.77 on a $10 bet.

⬆️ Malik Washington player prop: Over 26.5 receiving yards (-118) ⭐⭐⭐

Dolphins wide receiver Malik Washington is a gadget-type player who operates both out wide and out of the backfield. With Tyreek Hill lost for the season, Washington’s usage has ticked up. He is averaging 5.2 targets, four receptions and 27.2 receiving yards per game since the injury.

The Bills aren’t known for missing tackles, which complicates betting on a player whose yardage generally comes after the catch, but the absences of A.J. Epenesa and Shaq Thompson - and possible limitations for slot cornerback Taron Johnson - could make Washington’s life easier.

The Dolphins take on a defense that won’t give Tagovailoa time to waste, so I expect several designed quick throws to Washington. Those have been productive, especially lately. Back him for Over 26.5 receiving yards at -118 (54.1%) at BetMGM, especially with sharp offshores making the line 28.5.

6️⃣ Best Bills vs. Dolphins touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Khalil Shaker TD pick: Anytime touchdown scorer (+225) ⭐⭐⭐

It isn’t every day that you can get a multi-touchdown favorite’s leading receiver in red-zone targets at +225 (30.8%) to find pay dirt, but that’s exactly what we’ve got with Khalil Shakir on DraftKings this weekend. A simple $10 bet will pay out $22.50, which is more than enough value to lock this in.

Josh Allen has thrown Shakir’s way eight times inside the 20 and twice inside the 10, which corresponds to a target share of 26.7% and 25% in those situations, respectively. Shakir isn’t the traditional big-bodied, goal-line fade receiver, but his shiftiness after the catch makes him a valuable asset.

Buffalo is a two-score favorite and should have plenty of red-zone chances against this Dolphins defense. Trust Shakir to pay off Allen’s trust in him near the goal line.

📊 Bills vs. Dolphins anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 10.

📺 How to watch Bills vs. Dolphins

• Date: Sunday, Nov. 9
• Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
• TV: CBS

💡 NFL expert picks for Week 10

Follow all of our NFL analysis for Week 10 throughout the week.

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