Bills vs. Broncos Player Props & Best Bets: NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets
Last Updated: January 16, 2026 2:00 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
My Bills vs. Broncos player props break down Saturday’s NFL best bets for Josh Allen, Bo Nix, and Khalil Shakir.
The Broncos are a 1.5-point betting favorite over the Bills, with kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver set for 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS). The following player props are part of our NFL playoff predictions.
🏈 Bills vs. Broncos player props: NFL Divisional Round
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen, QB, Bills | Over 208.5 passing yards | -114 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bo Nix, QB, Broncos | Over 22.5 rushing yards | -114 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Khalil Shakir, WR, Bills | Anytime TD scorer | +230 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Bills vs. Broncos best prop bet: Josh Allen Over 208.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
This number is too low, considering Allen had success through the air against the Broncos last season.
Allen completed 20 of 26 passes for 272 yards with two touchdowns against Denver in a wild-card game last season. The Broncos’ defense is allowing fewer yards this season (278.2 compared to 325.7), but its strength is its run defense, which gives up just 91.1 yards per game. With the run game likely contained, Allen should be able to replicate the success he had last season as a passer against Denver.
🦬 More Josh Allen player props!
Our Sean Tomlinson backs Allen to score a touchdown as he breaks down the Bills vs. Broncos prediction market, while Gary Pearson features the same bet in his Bills vs. Broncos prediction.
🔥 More Bills vs. Broncos prop picks
Bo Nix Over 22.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nix has had success running the ball recently, and now he faces the Bills’ 28th-ranked rush defense, which allows 137.2 yards per game.
The Broncos quarterback has rushed for 42 or more yards in each of his last two games. Meanwhile, the Bills allowed Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence to rush for 31 yards on six carries in their wild-card game. Nix and Lawrence had nearly identical rushing stats in the regular season (356 yards on 83 carries, compared to 359 yards on 82 carries, respectively), so the Broncos quarterback will likely see similar success against Buffalo.
Khalil Shakir anytime TD scorer (+230) ⭐⭐⭐
I’m actually surprised this bet didn’t cash in the Wild Card Round, as Shakir was Allen’s go-to wide receiver last weekend, catching 12 passes on 12 targets.
With Keon Coleman apparently still in the doghouse - he was targeted just once last weekend - and every other Bills receiver catching three or fewer passes against the Jaguars, Shakir should be the most likely option to catch a touchdown pass from Allen on Saturday. I played this at BetMGM, but FanDuel also offers +230 odds.
🚀 Bills vs. Broncos same-game parlay
See all of our NFL same-game parlays for the Divisional Round, and our best NFL parlay betting sites.
- Josh Allen Over 208.5 passing yards
- Bo Nix Over 22.5 rushing yards
- Khalil Shakir anytime TD scorer
Best SGP odds: +821 via FanDuel
📺 How to watch Bills vs. Broncos: NFL Divisional Round
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 17
- Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV: CBS
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Corey Scott X social