Bengals vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Same-Game Parlay Picks

Top NFL same-game parlay picks for Bengals vs Chiefs in the NFC Championship. Don't miss out! SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years.

Henry John

Last Updated: January 27, 2022 9:11 AM EST • 6 minute read

When grouped together, these five Bengals-Chiefs picks produce a same-game parlay with +675 odds for the AFC Championship.

A spot in Super Bowl LVI will be on the line Sunday afternoon when the Cincinnati Bengals clash with the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game.

A long shot to even make the playoffs coming into the season, let alone with the AFC North, the Bengals (12-7 against the spread, 8-11 Over/Under) have gone further than almost anyone could have imagined. Despite quarterback Joe Burrow being sacked a whopping nine times last week, Cincinnati was still able to knock off the top-seeded Tennessee Titans to advance.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs (10-9 ATS, 12-7 O/U) are set to become the first team to host the AFC Championship in four consecutive seasons. Of course, Kansas City’s thrilling overtime win over the Buffalo Bills last weekend will not soon be forgotten. Patrick Mahomes and the two-time conference champs are laying a full touchdown to the Bengals in this week’s conference title game.

https://twitter.com/NFLonCBS/status/1485764352707895302

Here are my same-game parlay picks and predictions for the AFC Championship between the Bengals and Chiefs (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Bengals vs. Chiefs Same-Game Parlay Picks

Race to 25 points: Chiefs ????Bengals team total Under 24.5 ???Travis Kelce anytime touchdown ??Joe Mixon Over 24.5 receiving yards ???Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards ????

Bengals vs. Chiefs SGP Predictions

Race to 25 points: Chiefs

Sorry, but you cannot survive forever with a horrible offensive line. Fantasy football roster managers and plenty of public bettors love the Bengals because of their stars at the skill positions. If not for three brutal interceptions thrown by Titans QB Ryan Tannehill, Cincinnati would not even be playing this week.

The Titans accumulated their nine sacks last week while primarily rushing only four defenders. Not only is this a poor reflection on an offensive line that couldn’t keep their quarterback upright despite having a one-man advantage on most plays, but it also speaks to Burrow’s tendencies as a passer. The difference between Burrow’s numbers against the blitz as opposed to against a four-man rush this season is staggering. While the Chiefs may not have the best defense in the NFL, coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is certainly smart enough to capitalize on the weaknesses presented to him.

Defensively, the Bengals gave up 31 points to the Chiefs in Week 17 despite tight end Travis Kelce and receiver Tyreek Hill combining for only 65 receiving yards. Good luck holding them to that amount again this week. In addition, Cincinnati benefitted from some questionable officiating calls in the first meeting between these teams. With a chance to make defensive adjustments, it wouldn't be a shock to see the Bengals fail to reach 25 points, so we're picking the Chiefs to win the race to that number.

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1485697662460514304

Bengals team total Under 24.5

With the total set at 54.5 at most sportsbooks, note that half of an even 54 would be 27. The Chiefs are 7-point favorites at most sportsbooks. Thus, a 31-23 or 31-24 final score would see this game land directly on either side of the current betting number. Of course, most people are expecting a much higher-scoring affair than that. Based on this math, however, playing Under 24.5 for the Bengals’ team total makes a ton of sense.

Once again, it is worth bringing up the struggles of Burrow and the Bengals' offensive line against a four-man pass rush. With the Chiefs expected to play this style of defense and drop extra defenders into coverage, Cincinnati could wind up delivering a very underwhelming offensive performance relative to the expectations of the NFL betting public.

While we just saw Kansas City play in a shootout last week, keep in mind that the score was only 26-21 at the two-minute warning of the fourth quarter. While both offenses clearly have big-play potential, they are also both capable of working the clock.

By playing Under 24.5, Bengals-Chiefs bettors give themselves three full touchdowns and a field goal of a cushion with their picks.

Kelce anytime TD

The most sure-handed weapon for Mahomes continues to be Kelce. Not only has he proven capable of gashing teams over the middle and picking up yards after the catch, but he is also as sound as they come in the red zone. He hauled in the game-winning score in overtime for the Chiefs last week and has had at least five receptions in four of the last five games.

Kelce scored a touchdown in every one of the contests in that five-game stretch. While the Bengals did a nice job in holding him to just 25 yards in the Week 17 matchup, Kelce still managed to find the end zone. He has now scored 11 total touchdowns this season and figures to be a prime candidate for another in the AFC Championship. Even Mahomes will prefer to fire at his best and most familiar weapons with a Super Bowl berth at stake.

In addition, the Bengals were repeatedly gashed by opposing tight ends all season long. Their 1,083 receiving yards allowed to the position was the fifth-most of any defense. Cincinnati also ceded eight touchdowns and 15 total touches in the red zone to tight ends.

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1486062483974488067

In what many are expecting to be a high-scoring affair, it will simply be a matter of time before Kelce snags a TD pass to boost our Bengals-Chiefs SGP picks.

Mixon Over 24.5 receiving yards

The Chiefs have been vulnerable when it comes to stopping the run this season. However, concern lies in the question of whether or not the Bengals will even have the option to run the football regularly on Sunday. If Cincy falls behind early or is forced to match the Chiefs score-for-score, the ground game could fall by the wayside. Luckily, Mixon is still capable of impacting the game as a receiver.

The last four games, including the Week 17 matchup against Kansas City, serve as a great sampling of Mixon's involvement in the passing game. He finished with no fewer than 28 yards receiving in all four games and hauled in six or more receptions in three of them. He had seven catches for 40 yards against the Chiefs and posted a six-catch, 51-yard line last week.

After letting receiver Ja’Marr Chase run roughshod over them in the first meeting, one has to believe that the Chiefs will have a game plan in place defensively to limit him. Thus, Burrow will have to find his other playmakers, and Mixon is certainly one of them.

Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards

No need to go crazy here when rounding out our AFC Championship same-game parlay picks with the Over on Mahomes' passing yards. Simply playing the best quarterback in football to go over the lowest total being offered at 249.5 boosts our parlay odds up to +675. Of course, Mahomes figures to exceed that and then some. However, he had only 259 passing yards in the Week 17 matchup against Cincinnati.

The Chiefs have far too much offensive firepower for the Bengals’ secondary to contain. This is a secondary, by the way, that counts safety Vonn Bell as its best player. The lack of any true cover corners figures to burn the Bengals in Sunday’s game. Speedsters like Hill and Mecole Hardman could find ample success stretching the field. Mahomes truly has an embarrassment of riches at his disposal in the passing game. Playing Over 249.5 is a conservative pick but just what we need to round out our Bengals-Chiefs same-game parlay.

https://twitter.com/SportsCenter/status/1485411005744046081

5-leg same-game parlay picks: Chiefs win race to 25 points + Bengals team total Under 24.5 + Kelce anytime touchdown + Mixon Over 24.5 receiving yards + Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards = +675

SEE ALSO: All picks and odds. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Bengals-Chiefs Same-Game Parlay picks made on 1/27/2022 at 2:04 p.m. ET

Written by:
Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball, and NASCAR. He counts NFL, WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.