Baker Mayfield Player Props vs. Falcons: Will Baker Cook on TNF?
Lace up for Thursday Night Football as the Falcons take on the Buccaneers with my Baker Mayfield player props as part of our NFL predictions for Week 15. The matchup kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium on Prime Video, with Tampa Bay entering as a 4.5-point favorite.
Will Mayfield and the Bucs take control of the NFC South at home? Let’s get into it.
Baker Mayfield player prop bets vs. Falcons
See all of our NFL picks for Week 15 based on the latest NFL odds.
💵 Best Baker Mayfield player props
- Baker Mayfield player prop: Over 217.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Baker Mayfield player prop: Over 31.5 passing attempts (-114 via FanDuel)⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Baker Mayfield player prop: Over 18.5 rushing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Looking for more plays for Thursday Night Football? Dive into my Bijan Robinson player props or my Falcons vs. Buccaneers player props.
Best Baker Mayfield player prop picks
Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
Baker Mayfield Over 217.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
No one has crashed back to reality harder than Baker Mayfield. After briefly entering the MVP conversation, he hasn’t thrown for more than 200 yards in four straight games. Tampa Bay might be one of the most fraudulent teams in the league, but they’re fortunate to face the Falcons - a team that can’t seem to get anything right.
🤑 Baker Mayfield special (+244)
If you want to stack Mayfield's Over 217.5 passing yards with his Over 31.5 passing attempts, I'd absolutely go for it. There's a good chance he puts the game into his own hands tonight and wills the Bucs to a win, and I'll be there to celebrate alongside him.
With ideal weather conditions on Thursday night, the Buccaneers have a prime chance to create some distance in the division race with the Carolina Panthers, and Mayfield’s performance should be a major factor in making that happen.
Roll with Mayfield as part of my top Falcons vs. Buccaneers player props. At -115 odds, a $10 winning bet returns $8.70.
Baker Mayfield Over 18.5 rushing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mayfield is an absolute gamer, and with the division potentially on the line tonight, I expect him to be using his legs more than ever against the Falcons' defense. He's gone over this number in four straight games, averaging close to six attempts over that span. That type of volume should be enough to get us over the hump and cash this play.
Mayfield won't let the division slip away tonight, and will do anything in his power to make sure it doesn't - I'd bet this up to 25.5 rushing yards if you're feeling a bit greedy on Thursday Night Football.
At -112 betting odds from FanDuel, you're getting a 52.83% chance this play hits. I'd play this up to -120 with confidence as part of our best Baker Mayfield player props.
💡 More Week 15 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for Week 15.
Best Baker Mayfield SGP bets
💵 Baker Mayfield same-game parlay picks
- 1st leg: Over 217.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- 2nd leg: Over 31.5 passing attempts (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- 3rd leg: Over 18.5 rushing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +551 via FanDuel ($10 to win $55.10)
How to watch Thursday Night Football: Falcons vs. Buccaneers
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 11, 2025
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa Bay, Fla.)
- TV: Prime Video
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