Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Picks for Thursday Night Football: 'We're Not Dead'
Can the Green Bay Packers string together back-to-back wins on a short week against the Tennessee Titans? Check out our Aaron Rodgers player prop picks for Thursday Night Football.
In the wake of the Packers' Week 10 win over the Dallas Cowboys, Rodgers reiterated that his team isn't dead yet. As the Packers are 3.5-point home favorites against the Titans on Thursday Night Football, Rodgers will be under pressure once again to maintain the offensive momentum.
Here are our top player prop picks and predictions for Aaron Rodgers on Thursday Night Football (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, and FanDuel Sportsbook).
Check out Titans vs. Packers picks and our Thursday Night Football prop picks.
Titans vs. Packers Odds
Aaron Rodgers Thursday Night Football Prop Picks
Aaron Rodgers Thursday Night Football Prop Predictions
Under 243.5 passing yards (-113) ★★★
The Packers' offense finally got rolling last week against the Dallas Cowboys, but Rodgers didn't throw for many yards, even though he recorded three touchdown passes. Rodgers managed just 224 passing yards against the Cowboys, 58 of which came on a pass to Christian Watson.
Rodgers is projected for 235 yards against the Titans, so we have an edge for the Under on the total of 243.5, which by these projections should be trading at -150, not -113.
FanDuel is offering the best price on this prop with a 26-cent line (-113/-113) compared to DraftKings and BetMGM, which are trading it at a 30-cent line (-115/-115).
The Under is priced at 240.5 (-105) at PointsBet. Though this is a smaller amount of juice to pay for the Under, statistically it represents a worse bet than the 243.5 (-113) that we are seeing at FanDuel.
Check out our Titans vs. Packers same-game parlay picks!
Under 22.5 completions (+100) ★★
Rodgers' passing completions are trading right in line with his projections, so this is a really tight line. Due to this, my bet is solely determined by the pricing we can find on Rodgers' passing completions prop.
At BetMGM, there is a +100 available on the Under 22.5, which is the side I would wager on. Others, such as Caesars Sportsbook, have the Under 22.5 juiced to -127, which is not worth a wager.
Since the total and projections are dead even for Rodgers passing completions, I am simply taking the +100 price point.
Over 2.5 rushing yards (-110) ★★★★
For Rodgers' passing yards and completions, we're playing the Under, so hopefully, he'll decide to tuck and run instead of throwing when he rolls out of the pocket.
Rodgers has gone Over the total of 2.5 in three straight games and I see him projected for 9 rushing yards on Thursday, which would place him well Over the number for a fourth consecutive game.
We should also have a nice cushion if he takes some knees at the end of the game, considering he is projected to gain 6.5 more yards than the total.
Where to Bet on Aaron Rodgers Prop Picks
Aaron Rodgers prop picks made 11/17/2022 at 9:00 a.m. ET
