📹 College Basketball Play of the Day: Michigan -2.5 vs. Duke (WATCH)

My college basketball Pick of the Day for Saturday, Feb. 21, expects a statement win out of Michigan in Michigan vs. Duke.

This matchup tips off at 6:30 p.m. ET, with ESPN broadcasting the game live from Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Michigan is favored by 2.5 points, and the total is set at 150.5.

📹 college basketball play of the day: Michigan -2.5

Here is our college basketball play of the day featuring Michigan vs. Duke. For more picks, follow @AlphaDogBets and @SBRReview on X.

💰 Michigan vs. Duke best bet

See all of our experts' college basketball picks for today's slate.

Michigan is in a prime spot to take down Duke tonight, especially with this being a true neutral-site matchup. Without the Cameron Indoor edge, Duke loses a major advantage, and that exposes a team that has looked slightly overrated against elite competition.

Michigan’s physicality, defensive versatility, and ability to control tempo should travel well in this setting. If the Wolverines limit turnovers and win the battle on the glass, they can dictate the flow. In a pressure environment away from home, Michigan’s toughness gives them the edge and a statement opportunity.

Our Shane Thurston wrote about this game in depth in his Michigan vs. Duke prediction.

Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Units: 1

💡 How I'm handicapping Michigan vs. Duke

Duke is a team that I have had marked as overrated for a few weeks now, and Michigan is truly the top team in the country in my rankings. While the Blue Devils continue to receive national praise and benefit from brand recognition, their résumé has not been as dominant as the headlines suggest. They have shown stretches of inconsistency, particularly when facing physical teams that can match their size and athleticism. Both teams are exactly 14-12 ATS on the season, so there is no advantage 

Michigan, on the other hand, has consistently proven itself on both ends of the floor. The Wolverines defend at a high level, rebound with purpose, and execute efficiently in half-court sets. Their ability to control tempo and limit second-chance opportunities gives them a clear edge in high-level matchups. If Michigan plays to its standard, this is a spot where the more complete and disciplined team should prevail.

This play is a 1-unit play for me. I have a total of eight plays on today’s slate, and this is by far my favorite of them all. This play will represent 12.5% of my daily action.

⚖️ Video Play of the Day record: 7-1

We have started tracking every Video Play of the Day, opening with a 7-1 record for +5.6 units. Now, we’re looking to build on that profit with another college basketball Video Play of the Day and keep stacking units. 

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📊 Live Michigan vs. Duke odds

Here are the live Michigan vs. Duke odds; see all of our college basketball odds here.