Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Basketball Picks Today (Feb. 14)

My Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina prediction backs the home favorites to cover despite the injury news to Caleb Wilson.
North Carolina Tar Heels center Henri Veesaar (13) grabs a rebound as we break down our Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina prediction, picks & odds.
Pictured: North Carolina Tar Heels center Henri Veesaar (13) grabs a rebound as we break down our Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina prediction, picks & odds. Photo by Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
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The Panthers look to get out of last place in the ACC when they face No. 11 North Carolina as I make my Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina prediction. 

The Tar Heels are 10.5-point betting favorites in a game that tips from the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, N.C. at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). 

Pittsburgh aims to snap a four-game losing streak, but I am backing North Carolina to play with a sense of urgency after losing to an unranked Miami squad earlier this week. And while Tar Heels leading scorer Caleb Wilson will miss his first game with a fractured hand, that should open up more scoring possibilities for Henri Veesaar.


🏀 Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina predictions

See our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.

Prediction Best odds Confidence
North Carolina -10.5 -114 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐
Over 143.5 -110 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐
Henri Veesaar Over 16.5 points -128 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina best bet: North Carolina -10.5 (-114)

Check out all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.

I’m giving North Carolina a pass for losing to a desperate Miami squad coached by Jai Lucas, who had plenty of familiarity with the Tar Heels’ personnel after serving as a Duke assistant for several years.

Pittsburgh barely covered as 18-point home underdogs to Duke this week, after limiting the Blue Devils to just eight free throw attempts. But the rebounding disparity in that game (minus-14) is concerning, and the Tar Heels entered their last game against Miami as one of nine teams that overperformed their season norm in each of their five-plus previous games against D-I opposition.

Score prediction: North Carolina 79, Pittsburgh 66


🔥 Best Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina player prop: Henri Veesaar, North Carolina, Over 16.5 points (-128) 

North Carolina’s offense often ran through fellow frontcourt mate Caleb Wilson, whose 28.5 usage rate ranked 97th among all D-I players. While Wilson set a UNC record by scoring in double figures in all 24 games this season, I expect Henri Veesaar to carry much more of the scoring load with Wilson out with a fractured hand.

North Carolina was undone against Miami by poor shooting from Seth Trimble and Derek Dixon, who combined for six points on 1-of-14 shooting. That should put even more emphasis on pounding the ball inside and exposing Pittsburgh’s lack of interior depth.


📊 Live Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina odds


📈 Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina betting trends

Pittsburgh Statistic North Carolina
9-16 W-L record 19-5
10-15 ATS record 13-11
13-12 O/U record 11-13
1-4 Last 5 games 4-1

📺 How to watch Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina

  • Date: Saturday, Feb. 14
  • Tipoff: 2 p.m. ET
  • Location: Dean E. Smith Center (Chapel Hill, N.C.)
  • TV: ESPN

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