Oregon vs. South Carolina Prediction & March Madness Odds: Will a Slow Pace Limit Dante?

Mike Spector

Last Updated: March 21, 2024 11:46 AM EDT • 3 min 19 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

South Carolina Gamecocks' Zachary Davis and Arkansa Razorbacks' Tramon Mark reach for a rebound in the first half as as we make our Oregons vs. South Carolina March Madness prediction. — Zachary Davis #12 of the South Carolina Gamecocks and Tramon Mark #12 of the Arkansa Razorbacks reach for a rebound in the first half during the second round of the SEC Basketball Tournament at Bridgestone Arena on March 14, 2024 in Nashville, Tennessee. Photo by Andy Lyons of Getty Images

The No. 11 Oregon Ducks and No. 6 South Carolina Gamecocks meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in what is expected to be a closely fought battle, and we have you covered with our top Oregon vs. South Carolina prediction based on the best March Madness odds.

The Oregon Ducks encountered difficulties in three of their last five regular-season games, leading to uncertainties about their March Madness prospects. However, they defied expectations by securing three consecutive victories in as many days, ultimately clinching the final Pac-12 Tournament title.

The Ducks have reached the Sweet 16 in their last four NCAA Tournament appearances, and they aim to capitalize on their previous March Madness success.

Meanwhile, the South Carolina Gamecocks have matched a single-season school record with 26 wins, a feat last achieved in 2017 when they advanced to the Final Four. Notably, three of their recent victories came against teams also participating in the NCAA Tournament.

As part of our March Madness predictions, here are our best Oregon vs. South Carolina predictions and college basketball picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Oregon vs. South Carolina odds

Oregon (No. 11) vs. South Carolina (No. 6) prediction: Midwest Region

N’Faly Dante Under 8.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via DraftKings

We are intrigued by the contrarian nature of this play, as Dante has grabbed nine or more rebounds in seven of the last nine games, including five of the previous six. However, South Carolina plays at a top-10 slowest tempo in the country and ranks 15th in average possession length offensively.

The Gamecocks have only played one game with 68 possessions all season, which needed an extra overtime period. Based on that, Dante should have fewer opportunities to grab boards than in the recent faster-paced games against Arizona and Colorado.

This is a four-star play, as South Carolina hits the offensive glass at a top-56 rate, securing 33.1% of its misses, and had the third-best defensive rebounding rate in SEC play.

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Oregon vs. South Carolina best odds

DraftKings (-120)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Under 8.5 rebounds	Under 8.5 rebounds	Under 8.5 rebounds	Under 8.5 rebounds	Under 8.5 rebounds
-120	-132	N/A	N/A	-130

As of this writing, only three of our top sports betting sites have player props for this matchup. The best value of those offered is at DraftKings at -120. A $10 wager at -120 odds would pay out $18.33, while the same winning wager at bet365 would pay out $17.69 at -130 odds. The -120 DraftKings odds offer an implied probability of 54.55%.

Compared to FanDuel and DraftKings, bet365 offers unique “player prop milestones” where bettors who like Dante’s chances of securing more rebounds than the projected total can get longer odds for him to grab double-digit rebounds.

Oregon vs. South Carolina spread & Over/Under analysis

Aside from DraftKings (-1), our best sports betting sites have South Carolina as 1.5-point favorites. DraftKings and bet365 have gone back and forth from -1 to -1.5 throughout Monday, while Caesars made a big leap from a pick’em opening line to the Gamecocks by -1.5. The Ducks have been a popular underdog thus far, attracting 71% of early wagers.

Most of our best sports betting sites are in unison with an O/U of 132.5, while FanDuel is on the high end at 133.5. BetMGM was the only other one of our top sportsbooks that reached a total as high as 133.5, but Under backers drove the line down.

Compared to the point spread, there is much better two-way action on the total, with a slight 55/45 split in favor of the Over.

Oregon vs. South Carolina game info

When: Thursday, March 21
Tip-off: 4:00 p.m. ET
Where: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pa.
How to watch: TNT

Oregon-South Carolina prediction made Monday at 1:39 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”