🏀 Notre Dame vs. UConn Prediction & Picks: Women's March Madness Elite Eight Today
No. 1 UConn will look to defeat No. 6 Notre Dame to advance to the Final Four for the 25th time in program history.
My best Notre Dame vs. UConn prediction for today's 1 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+) women's March Madness game at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, locks in on UConn's ability to defend Hannah Hidalgo and an upset-minded Notre Dame.
UConn is favored by 27.5 based on the latest women's March Madness odds.
🏀 Notre Dame vs. UConn picks & odds: Women's March Madness Elite Eight today
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Pick | Best odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| UConn -27.5 | -110 via FanDuel | 2u -> 1.82u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 140.5 | -110 via FanDuel | 1u -> 0.91u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Hannah Hidalgo Under 20.5 points | -114 via FanDuel | 1u -> 0.91u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.73 units
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🏆 Who will win Notre Dame vs. UConn?
I'm taking UConn to win this game by 32 points because, as impressive as Hidalgo was in the Sweet 16, the Huskies boast the best defense in the country. They already held Notre Dame to 47 points earlier this season.
Score prediction: UConn 82, Notre Dame 50
💰 Notre Dame vs. UConn prediction & best bet
UConn -27.5 (-110)
UConn will cover this massive spread because Notre Dame's defense isn't among the best in the nation. Notre Dame ranks 190th in scoring defense, and in the first meeting between these two, UConn's second-ranked offense scored 85 points and shot 56% from the field.
Notre Dame shoots 35.6% from 3-point range (19th nationally), but the Fighting Irish average just 6.4 makes per game. Notre Dame won't hit enough shots to keep up, as UConn ranks 19th in opponent's 3-point field-goal percentage. And in the first clash between these schools, Notre Dame was just 1-of-16 from deep.
🔥 Best Notre Dame vs. UConn player prop bet
Hannah Hidalgo Under 20.5 points (-114)
UConn is the best defensive team in the country, allowing 50.1 points per game. Hidalgo scored just 16 points when these two teams met on Jan. 19, tied for her third-fewest of the season. She shot just 5-of-15 from the floor and 1-of-6 from 3-point range in that outing.
Hidalgo is shooting 47.8% from the floor and is averaging 25.3 points per game. She's also scored at least 23 points in 10 consecutive outings. But UConn hasn't allowed more than 52 points in nine consecutive contests, and opponents are shooting just 33.3% against the Huskies this season. Simply put, there won't be enough scoring in this game for Hidalgo to reach 20 points.
🚀 Notre Dame vs. UConn same-game parlay
It was a grind early for UConn against North Carolina in the Sweet 16, but I expect no such offensive struggles in this game. Notre Dame's defense is simply too inconsistent, and even if UConn's defense holds Notre Dame's offense below 50 again, I expect the Huskies to score enough to hit this Over. While Hidalgo has been excellent all season, she's already proven she doesn't match up well against the nation's best defense.
💵 Notre Dame vs. UConn SGP picks
- UConn -27.5
- Over 140.5
- Hannah Hidalgo Under 20.5 points
Best odds: +380 via FanDuel (1u -> 3.8u)
💵 My betting record for college basketball
All college basketball picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 13.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-44 | +33.51 units ✅ | +31.5% ✅ |
| Game picks | 26-19 | +20.90 units ✅ | +31.7% ✅ |
| Player props | 6-10 | -9.23 units ❌ | -37.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 4-15 | +21.84 units ✅ | +136.5% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Notre Dame vs. UConn: Women's March Madness
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions for March Madness.
It's hard not to love UConn is this matchup after what the Huskies did to Notre Dame earlier this season. Notre Dame is too reliant on its offense, and the Fighting Irish simply aren't good enough to keep up with UConn's high-powered offense.
Therefore, I'm risking two units on UConn to cover, and because I think the Huskies will score so easily, I'm also putting one unit on the Over.
📊 Live Notre Dame vs. UConn odds: Women's March Madness Elite Eight
UConn opened as a 29.5-point favorite, and the spread quickly dropped to 27.5. It hasn't moved since then, but I expect bettors to back UConn once the awe over Hidalgo's performance in the Sweet 16 wears off.
Don't be surprised if this hits 29.5 before tipoff, though I would still take UConn. As for the total, it opened at 140.5, and has stayed there. The first meeting went below this number, but both offenses have been great this season, so I don't anticipate much movement.
🎟️ Notre Dame vs. UConn betting insights
Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours before tipoff between Notre Dame and UConn.
| Spread | Total |
|---|---|
| Open: -27.5 -> -27.5 (73% of the bets and 76% of the handle are on Notre Dame covering +27.5) | Open: 137.5 -> 141.5 (62% of the bets and 60% of the handle are on the Over) |
Most bet women's March Madness Elite Eight spreads
- Notre Dame +27.5
- UCLA -11.5
- South Carolina -14.5
- Texas -9.5
Most bet women's March Madness Elite Eight totals
- Duke-UCLA Over 130.5
- Notre Dame-UConn Over 141.5
- Michigan-Texas Over 138.5
- TCU-USC Over 132.5
📺 How to watch Notre Dame vs. UConn: Women's March Madness Elite Eight
- Date: Sunday, March 29
- Tipoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Dickies Arena (Fort Worth, Texas)
- TV: ABC
- Streaming: ESPN+
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