Indiana vs. Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Basketball Picks Today (Feb. 15)
The Fighting Illini are coming off consecutive overtime losses heading into this Big Ten matchup as I make my Indiana vs. Illinois prediction. Tipoff from State Farm Center in Champaign, Ill., is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS).
No. 8 Illinois is a 10.5-point betting favorite, as it looks to avoid a season-long three-game losing streak. But the Fighting Illini should get a key piece back in Kylan Boswell from a seven-game absence, and that huge addition to the team’s depth should go a long way in helping them cover as home favorites.
🏀 Indiana vs. Illinois predictions
See our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.
| Prediction | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Illinois -10.5 | -108 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 151.5 | -110 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐ |
| Keaton Wagler Over 4.5 assists | -155 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Indiana vs. Illinois best bet: Illinois -10.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Check out all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
Illinois gets a pass for its last two overtime losses, as it played those games with essentially a seven and six-man rotation.
With Kylan Boswell (14.3 points per game) and Andrej Stojakovic (17 points in each of his last two games) potentially returning from injury, the Fighting Illini defense should play much more aggressively.
This is a four-star play, as Illinois is built to take away Indiana’s biggest strengths. The Hoosiers rank in the 94th percentile in rim cuts and 98th percentile in efficiency, while Illinois allows cuts and catch-and-shoots at a 10th and 18th percentile, respectively.
Score prediction: Illinois 80, Indiana 66
🔥 Best Indiana vs. Illinois player prop: Keaton Wagler, Illinois, Over 4.5 assists (-155) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Illinois has torched drop coverages all season with one of the most efficient ball screen offenses in the country, spearheaded by Keaton Wagler.
Indiana’s defense allows ball screens at a 97th percentile, and just allowed 1.2 points per possession in its last game against Oregon in ball screen situations with Wei Lin.
Wagler is coming off a 34-point game (his second-highest total of the season), and head coach Brad Underwood should continue to rely on his playmaking abilities and his top-21 offensive rating among all D-I players.
📊 Live Indiana vs. Illinois odds
📈 Indiana vs. Illinois betting trends
| Indiana | Statistic | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| 17-8 | W-L record | 20-5 |
| 13-12 | ATS record | 14-11 |
| 12-13 | O/U record | 9-16 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 3-2 |
📺 How to watch Indiana vs. Illinois
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 15
- Tipoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Center (Champaign, Ill.)
- TV: CBS
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