🏀 Best Calcutta Auction Picks & Targets for March Madness 2026: Seed Rankings & More

I break down my best Calcutta auction picks for March Madness 2026, including my rankings and targets for every seed line.
Vanderbilt Commodores guard Duke Miles (2) drives to the basket past Arkansas Razorbacks guard Meleek Thomas (1) in the SEC Tournament.
Pictured: Vanderbilt Commodores guard Duke Miles (2) drives to the basket past Arkansas Razorbacks guard Meleek Thomas (1) in the SEC Tournament. Photo by Steve Roberts / Imagn Images.
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If you're reading this, you already know what a Calcutta auction is and are presumably counting down the seconds to enjoy one of the great traditions of March Madness. I've broken down all 68 teams in the 2026 NCAA Tournament field using KenPom rankings and the latest March Madness odds to identify the best value opportunities on every seed line with my Calcutta auction picks.

Below, I break down my five favorite Calcutta targets followed by a complete ranking of every seed line from the 1-seeds through the 12-seeds, with a section on the 13-16 bundles at the bottom. Each seed-line table ranks teams in the order I'd spend on them - put another way, if I had $100 to allocate across a seed line, that's the order I'd look to spend on those teams. I'll also highlight my favorite target at each seed line and why.


🎯 My best Calcutta targets for March Madness 2026

See the official March Madness bracket for every team's path to the Final Four.

1. Vanderbilt (No. 5 seed, South Region)

The Commodores are a top-12 team nationally by advanced metrics with the seventh-best offense and a battle-tested lineup that doesn't make mistakes. They just beat the defending national champion - a No. 1 seed in their own region - by 17 points in the SEC tournament. Everything about this team screams March success except for the name on the front of the jersey ... and that's how you make money in a Calcutta auction.

2. Iowa State (No. 2 seed, Midwest Region)

The Cyclones are a top-six team by advanced metrics, but the gap between them and the top five is so large in most people's view that I'm scooping up all the Iowa State stock I can get. This team turns over its opponents at a prolific rate while draining threes on the other end, and I'll always take a chance on that profile.

3. Gonzaga (No. 3 seed, West Region)

This is a 30-win team that ranks in the top 10 by KenPom net rating, and we all just shrug our shoulders with Gonzaga fatigue. This is an entirely different roster than any of those previous Zags teams, one with a top-10 defense and a legitimate case as the team best equipped to challenge Arizona in the West. The wrinkle is Braden Huff: the star forward has been out since January, but a return by the Sweet 16 is on the table. You might be buying a team at a discount that gets meaningfully better as the tournament goes on.

4. UCLA (No. 7 seed, East Region)

There's a clear drop after the top six seed lines in this year's bracket, and UCLA is the team I'm most willing to pay up for in that next tier. The Bruins enter the tournament just outside the top 25 by KenPom ratings after surviving a tough Big Ten slate, and their offense makes them a tough out in the tournament. I could see a deep run for Mick Cronin's group, and you can probably get them for much cheaper than most top-six seeds.

5. Nebraska (No. 4 seed, South Region)

Be honest: does it make you a little queasy to spend money on a team that has never won an NCAA Tournament game? Now imagine how the rest of the room feels. The reality is this team - which is not an amalgamation of Cornhusker past despite popular belief - ranks 14th in KenPom with the seventh-best defense in the country. I'm not in love with their path (because of Vandy in Round 2), but I'd rather spend up for both teams as a fade against Florida and the South Region as a whole and enjoy the heck out of that second-round matchup.

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📊 1-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Duke (East) 1 +370 -135
Arizona (West) 3 +360 -135
Michigan (Midwest) 2 +360 -130
Florida (South) 4 +800 +170

My favorite target: Arizona. Duke was my pick when the March Madness odds were first released, and I'd still rather spend more on the Blue Devils - but so will just about everyone else in your pool, judging by the early returns at ESPN, where 25% of all brackets have Duke winning it all. I'd rather pay a little less and maybe get a little more with the 'Cats, who have looked like the best team in the country for most of the season and face the easiest path to the Final Four.


📊 2-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Iowa State (Midwest) 6 +1600 +320
Houston (South) 5 +1100 +210
Purdue (West) 8 +2700 +460
UConn (East) 12 +3500 +500

My favorite target: Iowa State. I'm always a sucker for teams that pressure the ball at an elite rate like TJ Otzelberger's teams always seem to do - the Cyclones force a turnover on 22.4% of possessions and turn that into layups and threes on the other end. This is a talented and experienced bunch led by senior Joshua Jefferson, who is ready for his star turn. I'd nominate them early and let the crowd pay up for Houston, Purdue, and UConn.


📊 3-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Gonzaga (West) 10 +6000 +850
Illinois (South) 7 +2200 +400
Michigan State (East) 9 +6000 +800
Virginia (Midwest) 13 +6500 +1000

My favorite target: Gonzaga. Illinois is the best team on this line and is priced accordingly, but I'm more intrigued by the road ahead for Gonzaga, which will need to survive the first round (or two) without star forward Braden Huff (17.8 PPG) but should see him return by the Sweet 16. A storybook matchup with 'Zona wouldn't come until the Elite Eight, if it happens.


📊 4-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Arkansas (West) 18 +6500 +900
Alabama (Midwest) 17 +10000 +1600
Nebraska (South) 14 +15000 +1800
Kansas (East) 21 +8000 +1300

My favorite target: Nebraska. As I laid out above, Nebraska isn't the best No. 4 seed in this tournament and it doesn't face the easiest path, either. But it is certain to be the cheapest, and that's what matters when building a portfolio that will profit come April. If Nebraska wins one game, there's a good chance you'll be sitting on a plus-money ticket for them to win in Round 2 against Vanderbilt with upside beyond that - that's what makes the Calcutta auction format so great.


📊 5-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
St. John's (East) 16 +8000 +1200
Vanderbilt (South) 11 +8000 +1100
Texas Tech (Midwest) 20 +17500 +2500
Wisconsin (West) 22 +12500 +1700

My favorite target: Vanderbilt. St. John's is the flashy 5-seed that everybody wants, and I won't stand in anyone's way. But if your auction room is letting Vanderbilt slip on name recognition alone, take advantage. The Commodores rank five spots higher in KenPom than the Red Storm with a more vulnerable top seed in their region - one they just pummeled less than a week ago.


📊 6-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Tennessee (Midwest) 15 +10000 +1700
Louisville (East) 19 +17500 +2000
BYU (West) 23 +40000 +3500
North Carolina (South) 29 +100000 +8000

My favorite target: Tennessee. This isn't a seed line I'm in love with chasing, to be honest, but Tennessee is worth staying in a bidding war on if the rest of the room agrees. This is a top-15 team by advanced metrics that attacks the offensive glass better than any team in the country - that's a well-worn recipe that plays in March and April.


📊 7-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
UCLA (East) 27 +25000 +2700
Saint Mary's (South) 24 +40000 +4500
Miami FL (West) 31 +70000 +4500
Kentucky (Midwest) 28 +25000 +3500

My favorite target: UCLA. I expect three of these four teams to win in Round 1, which could be enough to get your money back depending on how your auction treats the higher-seeded teams. But the Bruins have the best Final Four potential of this group given what we've seen against a strong Big Ten slate and their ability to score efficiently without turning it over.


📊 8-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Ohio State (East) 26 +35000 +4000
Clemson (South) 36 +50000 +7000
Villanova (West) 33 +100000 +15000
Georgia (Midwest) 32 +100000 +15000

My favorite target: Ohio State. This is not a seed line I am targeting in Calcutta auctions, to be frank. If you're forcing me to bid on a team - or if the rest of the room plays even further below consensus - I'd take a shot on Ohio State, which took its blows against a tough schedule but has shown high-level upside that is worth tossing a few bucks on.


📊 9-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Iowa (South) 25 +30000 +3500
Utah State (West) 30 +50000 +7000
Saint Louis (Midwest) 41 +50000 +8000
TCU (East) 43 +50000 +8000

My favorite target: Iowa. The Hawkeyes are one of the most underseeded teams in this tournament relative to their advanced profile, and they draw a wounded Clemson team in the first round before taking aim at the weakest No. 1 seed in Florida. I wouldn't go chasing Iowa, but I'd pay more than a typical No. 9 seed commands for a shot at the upside here.


📊 10-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Santa Clara (Midwest) 35 +50000 +10000
Missouri (West) 52 +50000 +10000
UCF (East) 54 +50000 +8000
Texas A&M (South) 39 +50000 +8000

My favorite target: Santa Clara. This is another group that doesn't scream "deep tournament run" to me, but Santa Clara stands out as the best team with the easiest first-round matchup. The Broncos also have the worst name recognition of any school at this seed line, which usually means an opportunity for value in a Calcutta auction.


📊 11-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
VCU (South) 46 +50000 +10000
Texas/NC State (West)* 37/34 +50000/+100000 +10000/+20000
South Florida (East) 49 +100000 +20000
SMU/Miami OH (Midwest)* 42/93 +50000/+100000 +15000/+30000

My favorite target: VCU. I fully expect the Rams to beat North Carolina in the first round, as the Tar Heels are not the same team without expected NBA lottery pick Caleb Wilson, who is out for the season after breaking his right thumb. That's probably all it takes to get your money back on an 11-seed, and I'm less confident about these other teams' chances to survive the first round.

*First Four matchup (winner advances to the main bracket)


📊 12-seed rankings

Team (region) KenPom Odds to win title Odds to win region
Akron (Midwest) 64 +50000 +10000
High Point (West) 92 +100000 +30000
McNeese (South) 68 +100000 +20000
Northern Iowa (East) 71 +50000 +15000

My favorite target: Akron. The Zips are my favorite 5-vs-12 upset pick this year because of how well they match up with Texas Tech, which hasn't been the same since losing star JT Toppin. Akron can shoot the lights out, which is always something I'm looking to target with these cheaper bids.


📊 13-16 seed rankings

Most Calcutta auctions bundle the 13-16 seeds per region into a single lot. Here's how I'd rank the four bundles:

Rank Region Best team in bundle KenPom Notable
1 South Troy (13) 143 While I expect Nebraska to win its first-ever NCAA Tournament game, that kind of pressure on a 4-seed is exactly how 13-seed upsets happen.
2 Midwest Hofstra (13) 88 Hofstra is easily the best 13-seed in the field and draws the most volatile 4-seed in Alabama.
3 East Cal Baptist (13) 106 Cal Baptist has a top-50 defense and a 23-PPG scorer in Dominique Daniels Jr. against the weakest 4-seed by KenPom in Kansas.
4 West Hawaii (13) 107 Neither Hawaii nor Kennesaw State profiles as a serious upset threat, and the West region's top seeds are relatively stable.

📋 Calcutta auction cheat sheet

Here's every seed line ranked at a glance with my target at each seed line in bold.

Seed 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Duke Arizona Michigan Florida
2 Iowa State Houston Purdue UConn
3 Gonzaga Illinois Michigan State Virginia
4 Arkansas Alabama Nebraska Kansas
5 St. John's Vanderbilt Texas Tech Wisconsin
6 Tennessee Louisville BYU North Carolina
7 UCLA Saint Mary's Miami (FL) Kentucky
8 Ohio State Clemson Villanova Georgia
9 Iowa Utah State Saint Louis TCU
10 Santa Clara Missouri UCF Texas A&M
11 VCU Texas/NC State South Florida SMU/Miami OH
12 Akron High Point McNeese Northern Iowa
13-16 South Midwest East West

🆚 March Madness first-round matchups & previews

Here is the first-round March Madness schedule, and our betting preview:

East Region West Region South Region Midwest Region
TCU vs. Ohio State (3/19) Texas vs. NC State (3/17) PVAM vs. Lehigh (3/18) UMBC vs. Howard (3/17)
South Florida vs. Louisville (3/19) High Point vs. Wisconsin (3/19) Troy vs. Nebraska (3/19) Miami (OH) vs. SMU (3/18)
Siena vs. Duke (3/19) Hawaii vs. Arkansas (3/19) McNeese vs. Vanderbilt (3/19) TBD vs. Michigan (3/19)
ND State vs. Michigan St. (3/19) TBD vs. BYU (3/19) VCU vs. UNC (3/19) Saint Louis vs. Georgia (3/19)
N. Iowa vs. St. John's (3/20) Kennesaw St. vs. Gonzaga (3/19) Texas A&M vs. Saint Mary's (3/19) Santa Clara vs. Kentucky (3/20)
UCF vs. UCLA (3/20) LIU vs. Arizona (3/20) Penn vs. Illinois (3/19) Akron vs. Texas Tech (3/20)
Cal. Baptist vs. Kansas (3/20) Utah State vs. Villanova (3/20) Idaho vs. Houston (3/19) Wright St. vs. Virginia (3/20)
Furman vs. UConn (3/20) Queens vs. Purdue (3/20) Iowa vs. Clemson (3/20) Tenn. State vs. Iowa State (3/20)
Missouri vs. Miami (3/20) TBD vs. Florida (3/20) Hofstra vs. Alabama (3/20)
TBD vs. Tennessee (3/20)

🏀 March Madness bracket previews: East | Midwest | West | South