Best Warriors vs. Thunder Player Props: NBA Prop Bet Picks for Nov. 11
Last Updated: November 11, 2025 3:36 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
My Warriors vs. Thunder player props target Stephen Curry, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Jimmy Butler as part of my NBA best bets for tonight.
The Thunder are a 7.5-point betting favorite over the Warriors, with tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City set for 8 p.m. ET (NBA League Pass).
✅ Warriors vs. Thunder player prop bets
See all of our experts' NBA picks this week.
💵 Best Warriors vs. Thunder player prop bets
💰 Best Warriors vs. Thunder player props
⬆️ Stephen Curry player prop: Over 4.5 assists (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Curry has missed the Warriors' last three games with an illness, but unlike returning from a traditional injury, he should immediately be back to playing at 100%.
The Warriors have been underdogs in only one game this season with Curry playing: a 98-79 win over the Los Angeles Clippers as a 1.5-point underdog on Oct. 28. Curry recorded a season-high eight assists in that outing, topping his seven-assist performance against the Denver Nuggets on Oct. 23. While Curry is averaging just 4.3 assists per game this season, he has been dishing out more assists against higher-end competition.
The +110 odds for Curry to go Over 4.5 assists at BetMGM offer the best value. That price comes with an implied probability of 47.62%, and a winning $10 wager would profit $11.
⬆️ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop: Over 31.5 points (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 35 points in two of his last three games.
The one time he didn’t clear this total during that span, he scored 30 points in just 29 minutes, sitting out the entire fourth quarter of a 132-101 win over the Sacramento Kings. Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 35 or more points in each of the last two meetings between these teams, including a 52-point performance in San Francisco in January.
The -109 odds at BetRivers come with the leading value among the best sports betting sites. These odds hold an implied probability of 52.15%, and a winning $10 wager would translate to a $9.17 profit.
Our Shane Jackson has a play worth tailing on Gilgeous-Alexander's teammate, Ajay Mitchell, in his NBA player props tonight.
⬆️ Jimmy Butler player prop: Over 5.5 rebounds (-104) ⭐⭐⭐
Butler has cleared this total in three of his last five games, averaging 6.4 rebounds per game over that span.
He recorded four rebounds in just 14 minutes against the Phoenix Suns on Nov. 4 before leaving the game with lower back soreness. However, Butler is no longer listed on the injury report and has played 30-plus minutes in each of the Warriors’ last two games, including a nine-rebound performance against the Indiana Pacers on Sunday.
BetRivers' -104 odds for Butler to go Over 5.5 rebounds are the best available. That price carries an implied probability of 50.98%, and a winning $10 bet would profit $9.62.
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📺 How to watch Warriors vs. Thunder
- Date: Tuesday, Nov. 11
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
- TV: NBA League Pass
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