Best Warriors vs. Knicks NBA Picks Tonight: Odds, Player Props & Score Predictions for March 4

Andrew Brennan offers his best Warriors vs. Knicks prediction and player props for tonight's showdown between playoff contenders.
Warriors vs. Knicks Prediction Tonight: Best NBA Odds, Picks & Player Props for March 4
Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Moses Moody (4) drives to the basket against New York Knicks guard Josh Hart (3). Photo by Brad Penner via Imagn Images.

Madison Square Garden will play host to two NBA championship odds contenders tonight when the New York Knicks host the Golden State Warriors. Tipoff from New York is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT).

Our Warriors vs. Knicks prediction and player props expect the two to continue their fine form and play out a tightly-contested contest.

One of the players we're focusing on also headlines our NBA player prop bets tonight, as we're backing Karl-Anthony Towns to be an active passer in this matchup. Meanwhile, we're fading two Warriors role players, so a lot of the scoring load will land on the shoulders of Stephen Curry.

💰 Best Warriors vs. Knicks predictions & NBA player props tonight: March 4

Here are my best Warriors vs. Knicks predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.    

  • Game pick: Warriors to cover +4.5 (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Karl-Anthony Towns player prop pick: Over 2.5 assists (+110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Moses Moody player prop pick: Under 12.5 points (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Brandin Podziemski player prop pick: Under 13.5 points (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Warriors vs. Knicks pick & odds: Who will win tonight's NBA matchup?

As of Tuesday morning, the Knicks are favored by 4.5 points to beat the Warriors in tonight's NBA matchup at 7:30 p.m. ET from Madison Square Garden in New York City.

I'm predicting the Knicks will beat the Warriors but won't cover the spread (-4.5).

🔢 Warriors vs. Knicks odds & betting lines

Here are the latest Warriors vs. Knicks odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.

🎯 Warriors vs. Knicks score prediction: Knicks 114, Warriors 110

Though I believe the Warriors will cover the spread, I still project them to lose this game by a pair of baskets. That's how I'm getting to the four-point margin of victory for the Knicks.

As for how I arrived at this specific score, I also handicapped the total, which has been dropping ever since getting as high as 232. It now sits at 228. I'm going with a total slightly Under that one, at 224.

Based on those two numbers, I predict New York will beat Golden State by a final score of Knicks 114, Warriors 110.

Best bet: Warriors +4.5 (-105 via Caesars)

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💰 Best Warriors vs. Knicks player prop bet odds & expert picks: March 4

Here are my best Warriors vs. Knicks player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.    

🏀 Best Karl-Anthony Towns prop pick: Over 2.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +110 via bet365 ($10 to win $11)

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I offered this bet in another one of our articles, and that was at +115. However, we're still getting good value at these +110 odds. Here's what I wrote there:

Towns is managing 3.1 assists per game, and he's projected for right around the mark tonight despite a slow month of February in that regard.

The big man is listed as questionable for tonight's game with the cited reason being "personal," so it's possible he doesn't play.

However, if he does, we're getting great value on this Over, as the break-even price is -148. That's why DraftKings and Caesars are already at -120.

📊 Best Karl-Anthony Towns prop bet odds

🏀 Best Moses Moody prop pick: Under 12.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8.70)

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Moses Moody is coming off his best month scoring-wise this season, but that's a big reason we're getting a good number today for those looking to back the Under.

Moody is projected for just below 10.5 points tonight against the Knicks, and based on that number, we're getting nearly 30% +EV on this Under.

What does that mean, exactly? Well, this Under should really be trading at heavy minus money. In fact, the break-even price on this Under is -208.

That's why some of our other best sports betting apps are already at a total of 11.5, and I imagine all will follow suit and be trading in the -130 range closer to tipoff.

📊 Best Moses Moody prop bet odds

🏀 Best Brandin Podziemski prop pick: Under 13.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)

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We're fading another one of the Warriors' role players here, which admittedly feels risky considering you don't expect two starters to go Under their scoring total if you also expect the team to cover. However, this is the direction the numbers are pointing us in.

Brandin Podziemski is projected for just 11.5 points tonight, which is slightly low considering he's averaging 13.6 as a starter this season. He's a wildly inconsistent scorer, though, which is likely why his projection is this low.

Additionally, we're getting a relatively high points total for Podziemski tonight following his 19-point outburst during the Warriors' previous game.

The break-even price on this Under is -216, and I expect this prop will move to the -140 range ahead of tipoff.

📊 Best Brandin Podziemski prop bet odds

🚑 Warriors vs. Knicks injuries

Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Warriors vs. Knicks matchup, which will update in real time.

📺 How to watch Warriors vs. Knicks tonight

📅 Date: Tuesday, March 4
🕗 Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Madison Square Garden (New York City)
📺 TV: TNT
💻 Streaming: Max

❓ Warriors vs. Knicks FAQs

Who is favored to win Warriors vs. Knicks?

The Knicks are as short as -205 on the moneyline, odds which come with a 67.21% implied probability that they'll win tonight by the updated lines.

What are the odds for Warriors vs. Knicks?

The Knicks serve as 5.5-point favorites and tonight's total is hovering around 227.

What time is Warriors vs. Knicks tonight?

The Warriors vs. Knicks game still start around 7:30 p.m. ET.

How to watch Warriors vs. Knicks

You can watch tonight's game on TNT and stream it on Max.

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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