Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Jokic, Gobert, Edwards
The Denver Nuggets play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves in Wednesday's clash between Western Conference foes, as we offer our best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props based on the best NBA odds.
With the NBA postseason just over a week away, the Denver Nuggets (55-24) and Minnesota Timberwolves (55-24) are staring down their final three games to help their NBA championship odds and playoff seeding in the Western Conference. Those two teams meet Wednesday at Ball Arena in Denver, Colo., with tipoff set for 10 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Nuggets are dealing as 6-point favorites across our best sports betting sites to beat the Timberwolves, who have won four of five games in April and 11 of their last 14 games overall. One of those losses came against Denver, but Minnesota returned the favor 10 days later and could win the season series on Wednesday.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Heat player props and our other NBA player props and best bets, here are our best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player prop prediction and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game info & odds
- When: Wednesday, April 10
- Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colo.
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Nuggets -6 (-110 via bet365)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props
- Nikola Jokic Under 49.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Rudy Gobert Over 0.5 steals (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction
Nikola Jokic Under 49.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nobody enjoys betting against Jokic, who currently leads the NBA MVP odds en route to his third trophy in four seasons. But I'm simply not buying his stock ahead of a tough matchup against Minnesota.
For one, Jokic's combined season averages (26.4 PPG, 12.4 RPG, 9.0 APG) fall nearly two ticks below this prop total, which he's fallen short of in two consecutive games and five of his last eight. That includes a subpar showing against the Timberwolves on March 29, when he scored 32 but finished with just 10 rebounds and five assists.
Minnesota ranks in the top 10 in fewest points (21.7), rebounds (13.5), and assists (4.1) allowed to opposing centers, thanks in large part to elite interior defense from Rudy Gobert - the clear frontrunner by the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds. Expect him to make life difficult for Jokic all night long.
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Rudy Gobert Over 0.5 steals (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Speaking of Gobert, the Timberwolves center has been particularly active on the defensive end as his team jockeys for the No. 1 seed in the West. And I'd expect him to maintain that effort and energy for Wednesday's pivotal showdown.
Gobert is known for his gaudy block totals, but the three-time DPOY winner has finished with two steals in back-to-back games, and he's picked up at least one in four of his last six contests while mostly staying out of foul trouble.
Conversely, Jokic has committed four-plus turnovers in four straight games entering this one. If he keeps coughing up the rock in the paint, I like Gobert's chances of extending his steals streak to three games.
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Anthony Edwards Under 26.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
One of my favorite NBA "trend plays," if you will, is fading a player's point total following a big scoring night. That certainly qualifies here after Edwards dropped a career-high 51 points in Tuesday's win over the Washington Wizards.
Unsurprisingly, his points prop is dealing at 26.5 across our best sportsbooks, even though he's cleared that mark just twice in his last 10 games. In fact, the Timberwolves' top scorer is averaging just 23.8 points on 42.2% shooting over that stretch with three games below 20 points.
The Nuggets own a top-10 defense this season and have held Edwards to 25 points or fewer in five of their last six meetings - including their most recent clash on March 29, when he scored 25 points on 8-for-19 shooting. With this wager dealing as short as -125 at Caesars, I love these odds from FanDuel on a letdown spot for Edwards. The -125 odds imply a 55.56% probability Edwards' Under hits, according to our odds calculator.
Timberwolves-Nuggets player props made Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET.
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