🏀 Spurs vs. Nuggets Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (April 4)

My Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today feature Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama.
Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) and San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) are featured in our Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today.
Pictured: Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) and San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) are featured in our Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today. Photos by Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images / Daniel Dunn-Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Jokic Goes Pass-First in Spur of the Moment

My Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today feature Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists (-135). He hasn't faced Victor Wembanyama yet this season and should struggle to score against the best defender in the league - making him more of a distributor as the game goes on. I wrap up my NBA best bets with Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds (+104), who has been aggressively stuffing the stat sheet to make a run at the NBA MVP award.


πŸ€ Best Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today: NBA picks for April 4

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick πŸ’‘ Best odds βš–οΈ Bet size 🧠 Why I'm making this bet
Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists -135 via BetMGM 2.03u -> 1.5u Should struggle to score in first game vs. Wemby
Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds +104 via FanDuel 0.96u -> 1u Has recorded 15+ rebounds in 5 straight games

Total wagered: 2.99 units | Max profit: 2.5 units


πŸ’° Best Spurs vs. Nuggets prop bet

The Nuggets have the fourth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.

Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists (-135)

Jokic has not played Wembanyama since Jan. 4, 2025, and while he had success scoring against him last season, it's unlikely that continues. Wembanyama is currently a -8000 betting favorite to win NBA Defensive Player of the Year and is well rested after sitting against the Clippers on Thursday.

Jokic, who has recorded 12+ assists in five of his last six games, will likely need to set up teammates today to have any impact on offense. Jokic Over 10.5 assists is -135 at BetMGM, but I would play it up to -165 on the best sports betting sites.


πŸ”₯ More Spurs vs. Nuggets prop picks

Victor Wembanyama has the second-shortest odds to win NBA MVP.

Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds (+104)

Wembanyama has been focused on closing the gap in the NBA MVP race between himself and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. As a result, he has been aggressive in crashing the boards, recording 15+ rebounds in five consecutive games.

Wembanyama hasn’t played since Wednesday and is coming off an 18-rebound performance against the Warriors - he should be able to grab at least 13 today. FanDuel lists Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds at +104, but this bet is good up to -110 on the best NBA betting sites.


πŸš€ Spurs vs. Nuggets same-game parlay

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

With the Nuggets listed as just a +110 moneyline underdog today, this is expected to be a close matchup. Wembanyama recording more than 12 rebounds shouldn’t be heavily influenced by which team wins, as it’s very unlikely this game turns into a rout on either side. Bet365 offers strong value on this +360 parlay, as FanDuel lists it at just +305.

💵 Spurs vs. Nuggets SGP picks

  • Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds
  • Nuggets ML

Best odds: +360 via bet365 (0.56u -> 2u)


πŸ’΅ My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 87-100-3 -17.17 units βŒ -7.7% βŒ
Player props 82-81-3 -17.04 units βŒ -8% βŒ
Spreads 1-0 +1.5 units βœ… 87% βœ…
Parlays 4-19 -1.63 units ❌ -21.8% ❌

πŸ’‘ How I'm betting Spurs vs. Nuggets

I'm allocating 2.99 units for this game, which is more than I would usually risk on two player props.

While I'm confident in both of these bets directionally, I'm almost certain that Jokic's assists prop is set too low at BetMGM. If I thought I had a bigger edge, I would wager even more - up to 2.5 units per bet (or 5 units in a once-in-a-year scenario).


πŸš‘ Spurs vs. Nuggets injuries


πŸ“Ί How to watch Spurs vs. Nuggets

  • Date: Saturday, April 4
  • Tipoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
  • TV: Streaming on Prime Video

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