🏀 Spurs vs. Nuggets Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (April 4)
Last Updated: April 4, 2026 12:06 PM EDT β’ 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
📡 SBR Edge: Jokic Goes Pass-First in Spur of the Moment
My Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today feature Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists (-135). He hasn't faced Victor Wembanyama yet this season and should struggle to score against the best defender in the league - making him more of a distributor as the game goes on. I wrap up my NBA best bets with Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds (+104), who has been aggressively stuffing the stat sheet to make a run at the NBA MVP award.
π Best Spurs vs. Nuggets player props today: NBA picks for April 4
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists | -135 via BetMGM | 2.03u -> 1.5u | Should struggle to score in first game vs. Wemby |
| Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds | +104 via FanDuel | 0.96u -> 1u | Has recorded 15+ rebounds in 5 straight games |
Total wagered: 2.99 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
π° Best Spurs vs. Nuggets prop bet
The Nuggets have the fourth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists (-135)
Jokic has not played Wembanyama since Jan. 4, 2025, and while he had success scoring against him last season, it's unlikely that continues. Wembanyama is currently a -8000 betting favorite to win NBA Defensive Player of the Year and is well rested after sitting against the Clippers on Thursday.
Jokic, who has recorded 12+ assists in five of his last six games, will likely need to set up teammates today to have any impact on offense. Jokic Over 10.5 assists is -135 at BetMGM, but I would play it up to -165 on the best sports betting sites.
π₯ More Spurs vs. Nuggets prop picks
Victor Wembanyama has the second-shortest odds to win NBA MVP.
Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds (+104)
Wembanyama has been focused on closing the gap in the NBA MVP race between himself and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. As a result, he has been aggressive in crashing the boards, recording 15+ rebounds in five consecutive games.
Wembanyama hasnβt played since Wednesday and is coming off an 18-rebound performance against the Warriors - he should be able to grab at least 13 today. FanDuel lists Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds at +104, but this bet is good up to -110 on the best NBA betting sites.
π Spurs vs. Nuggets same-game parlay
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
With the Nuggets listed as just a +110 moneyline underdog today, this is expected to be a close matchup. Wembanyama recording more than 12 rebounds shouldnβt be heavily influenced by which team wins, as itβs very unlikely this game turns into a rout on either side. Bet365 offers strong value on this +360 parlay, as FanDuel lists it at just +305.
💵 Spurs vs. Nuggets SGP picks
- Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds
- Nuggets ML
Best odds: +360 via bet365 (0.56u -> 2u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 87-100-3 | -17.17 units β | -7.7% β |
| Player props | 82-81-3 | -17.04 units β | -8% β |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units β | 87% β |
| Parlays | 4-19 | -1.63 units β | -21.8% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Spurs vs. Nuggets
I'm allocating 2.99 units for this game, which is more than I would usually risk on two player props.
While I'm confident in both of these bets directionally, I'm almost certain that Jokic's assists prop is set too low at BetMGM. If I thought I had a bigger edge, I would wager even more - up to 2.5 units per bet (or 5 units in a once-in-a-year scenario).
π Spurs vs. Nuggets injuries
πΊ How to watch Spurs vs. Nuggets
- Date: Saturday, April 4
- Tipoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
- TV: Streaming on Prime Video
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Corey Scott X social