Best NBA Parlays Today: Picks, Predictions for Tuesday's Games

Jon Metler analyzes the NBA player prop market and builds a same-game parlay for plus-money odds.

Jon Metler

Last Updated: April 18, 2023 4:47 PM EDT • 4 minute read

The Phoenix Suns are looking to even the series against the Los Angeles Clippers, but more importantly, can Kevin Durant score more than 28.5 points? Jon Metler shares two of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Tuesday's games using the latest NBA odds.

I'm not sure which is hotter at the moment, the Sacramento Kings or the NBA same-game parlay article. In the last two articles, we have cashed a +1489 and a +309 ticket, and we're up 15.98 units. It would be nice if I had a beam on top of my house that would light up whenever we earned some green checks.

I hope you enjoy the assists market as much as I do, since we're backing two New York Knicks players to surpass their assist total on Tuesday.

Here are our NBA SGP picks for Tuesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).

Tuesday's NBA SGP picks

Game	Props	Combined Odds
Knicks-Cavaliers	Randle Over 3.5 assists, Brunson Over 5.5 assists	+297
Clippers-Suns	Durant Over 28.5 points, Powell Over 14.5 points	+244

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NBA SGP predictions: Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Julius Randle Over 3.5 assists vs. Cavaliers (+116)

I cashed an Over 3.5 assists bet on Julius Randle in Game 1 at +133, and I'm surprised to see it trading at plus money once again. There are no complaints coming from me, as I'll just bet it again, and FanDuel has the best price at +116.

As Randle is projected to have 4.3 assists against the Cavaliers on Tuesday, we can price this prop at -155 to go over the total of 3.5 assists. Based on this projection, this Knicks vs. Cavaliers prediction has an expected value of 31%.

Jalen Brunson Over 5.5 assists vs. Cavaliers (-115)

With FanDuel offering us the best price on both Randle's and Brunson's assists props, we will double dip in this market. As Brunson had only two assists in Game 1, we're able to obtain a much more favorable price point for Game 2.

Brunson is projected to record 6.3 assists against the Cavaliers, which means this prop should trade at -150 rather than -115. It should also be noted that FanDuel has also gone rogue with its pricing, which makes this prop even more intriguing. At Caesars, the Over is trading at -132, while DraftKings is at -130, which is much closer to where we believe it should be.

NBA SGP predictions: Clippers vs. Suns

Kevin Durant Over 28.5 points vs. Clippers (-102)

I considered playing Durant for 30-plus points instead of the Over 28.5 points, but we'll get roughly 1% more from our expected value if we attack this price point rather than Durant for 30-plus points at +115. If you're making your parlay and can buy Durant at a price longer than +115 for 30-plus points, I would recommend doing so.

Check out our NBA best bets and our Hawks vs. Celtics prediction

In Tuesday's game against the Los Angeles Clippers, Durant is projected to score 29.8 points, and the Suns are going to need every one of those points to not fall behind 2-0 in the series. We can price Durant at -116 to go over the total of 28.5 points based on this projection.

Norman Powell Over 14.5 points vs. Suns (-128)

Powell scored only 14 points in Game 1, which was below this total, but the Suns' bench is horrible and Powell is capable of exploding at any moment. There's also some steam on the Over for Powell's points prop on Tuesday, and our projections indicate that it's worth chasing, particularly since several of the sports betting sites have not yet adjusted their odds.

Pinnacle opened Powell at Over 14.5 points (-128) and has been bet up to -150. While Pinnacle has adjusted their line, FanDuel and Caesars are still trading this prop at -128 for the Over. As Powell is projected to score 16.6 points on Tuesday, we can price the Over at -150, which is in line with Pinnacle's adjusted price.

NBA player prop picks made 04/18/2023 at 5:30 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Jon Metler

Jon Metler is a Sports Betting Analyst at SportsbookReview.com. Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, he immediately turned his attention to the NBA and College Basketball when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 13 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve; let the numbers do the talking. A graduate of the University of Windsor with a degree in Sports Studies, Jon enjoys spending time with his dogs when he isn't watching basketball.