NBA Play-In Tournament Odds 2025-26: Heat, Mavericks, Grizzlies Among Favorites to Qualify

We're exploring the NBA Play-In Tournament odds ahead of the 2025-26 season, with the Miami Heat (-105), Dallas Mavericks (+100), and Memphis Grizzlies (+100) among the favorites to qualify.

It's important to note that betting on this market is predicting a team makes the play-in specifically - you'll lose your wager if they qualify for the NBA Playoffs outright.

With that said, let's break down the odds for all 30 teams while offering my NBA Play-In Tournament best bets as part of our NBA picks.

📊 NBA Play-In Tournament odds

Odds via FanDuel.

Eastern Conference

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Western Conference

🏆 NBA Play-In Tournament odds favorite

🔥 Heat (-105)

Miami has made the NBA Play-In Tournament each of the last three seasons, and oddsmakers expect the Heat to continue to be stuck in the playoff picture's no-man's land.

This is still a veteran-laden team, led by Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro, but it's an overall mediocre roster without an All-NBA star to lead the way. Miami is also seriously lacking in young talent as their all-in maneuvers to win a title leave them with limited options for improvement.

Miami's -105 odds translate to an implied probability of 51.22%, according to our odds calculator. A successful $10 wager would net a $9.52 profit.

👀 My NBA Play-In Tournament prediction & best bet

☀️ Suns (+310)

Phoenix outright missed the playoffs last year after making the postseason four years in a row. While it will be a challenge for the Suns to remain competitive in a loaded Western Conference, I think there is a path for them to make the play-in.

It's truly a new era in Phoenix after the team gave up on the hope that Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal could help the franchise win its first championship. Both are now on other West contenders, leaving Devin Booker to again carry the load as the team's lone star.

Joining him in 2025-26 are Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks (acquired in the Durant trade), as well as underrated center Mark Williams.

New head coach Jordan Ott will be the Suns' fourth bench boss in as many seasons, but at least this change signals Phoenix's intent to build a sustainable team rather than continuing to double down on its bad investments.

I think the Suns will be on the playoff bubble, but in a stacked Western Conference, Phoenix will have to battle in the play-in if it wants to make the postseason in 2026.

The Suns have an implied probability of 24.39% to make the play-in. If they do, a $10 bet would bring home a $31 profit.

❓ NBA Play-In Tournament FAQs

When is the NBA Play-In Tournament?

The 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament will run from April 14-17.

What is the NBA Play-In Tournament?

The NBA play-in tournament determines the final two seeds from each conference in the NBA playoffs, as only the top six seeds are guaranteed a spot in the dance. In the past, the top eight seeds were guaranteed a spot, but now the teams that rank ninth or 10th in the standings can play their way into the playoffs. 

 NBA Play-In Tournament format

The ninth and 10th seeds will face off, with the winner of that game getting the opportunity to steal the eighth seed from the loser of the game featuring the seventh and eighth seed.

You need to win only one game to make the playoffs if you finish the regular season as the seventh or eighth seed. For a team to qualify for the playoffs if it finishes ninth or 10th in its respective conference, two games must be won. 

💰 NBA betting odds pages

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