Knicks vs. Nuggets NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Thursday
The Denver Nuggets have their sight set on leveling the season series with the New York Knicks on Thursday, and our Knicks vs. Nuggets NBA player props are based on the best NBA odds.
The New York Knicks have won four on the bounce, but face a stern challenge as they aim for a rare victory against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena. Every win is significant for the fourth-seeded Knicks, who trail the second-seeded Milwaukee Bucks by just 2.5 games. However, they also sit only 3.5 games ahead of the No. 7 seed, underpinning how tight the standings are.
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets boast an impressive 8-2 record in their last 10 games, trailing only the Boston Celtics for the best record since the All-Star break. With a record of 48-21, they currently hold the No. 2 seed in the West, just half a game behind the Oklahoma City Thunder and one game ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves.
In their previous encounter on Jan. 25, the Knicks secured a dominant 122-84 victory over the Nuggets at home, even with the Nuggets fielding a full-strength team.
Now, the question remains: Can Denver seek revenge in front of their home crowd?
Here are our best Knicks vs. Nuggets NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Knicks vs. Nuggets NBA player props: Thursday
- Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (+140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Hart Over 15.5 assists + rebounds (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook
Knicks vs. Nuggets props
Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (+140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Jokic’s assists prop is set at 7.5 across our best sports betting sites, but the odds are -125 to -135, and we can do better than that.
For just one assist more, we can get odds as long as +140 at DraftKings, which is what we’ll do. The implied probability of these odds is 41.7%, likely a result of Jokic's recent assists slump. However, if we look at the bigger picture, this wager is offered at a tremendous discount.
Jokic has averaged just 7.3 dimes over his last seven. He came out of the All-Star break with four straight double-digit assist games, but he’s dished at least nine dimes in only two of his last 10.
On the season, Jokic has hit the Over on this line in more than 50% of games, doing so in 34 of 67 appearances. That includes 20 of 33 games at home, good for 60.7%.
To sweeten the deal here, Jokic has averaged 9.6 assists per game at home compared to just 8.3 on the road this season.
+ No Sweat SGP Every Day of NBA Playoffs 🏀
Josh Hart Over 15.5 assists + rebounds (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Hart has worked his way into Tom Thibodeau’s good graces, and when players do that, they tend to play a ton of minutes.
Before the All-Star break, Hart averaged 29.9 minutes per game, but his playing time has ballooned to 42.8 minutes following it. He played a full 48 minutes against the Warriors on Monday, posting a 10-point, 11-rebound, 11-assist triple-double.
Hart’s new opportunities have come with increased production, and he’s hit the Over in each of his last four, posting assists + rebounds totals of 22, 16, 17, and 29. He’s posted at least 16 assists + rebounds in six of his last nine, averaging 19.5 in that span.
Denver’s defense doesn’t offer the most favorable matchup, but Hart is being provided a ridiculous amount of playing time right now, and we can comfortably bet the Over based on volume alone.
We can get standard -110 odds at bet365, which offer an implied probability of 52.4%. Hart has hit the Over on this line in 66.7% of his last nine outings, and the odds should be much shorter. We’ll take them at a discount.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Much like Jokic’s prop above, we’re looking at a player prop for MPJ that he’s hit in half of his games this season. Porter has knocked down at least three triples in 34 of 68 games this season, including 17 at home. He’s averaged 3.1 threes in 14 games since the All-Star break, hitting the Over in eight.
The Knicks rank 15th in three-point percentage allowed at 36.6%, and, on the road, New York allows the 12th-highest 3-point percentage at 37.2%.
Porter has hit the Over in each of his last two, and we’re banking on him extending that streak on Thursday.
The implied probability of -125 odds is 55.5%, and MPJ has hit the Over in 57.1% of games since the break. This line might seem a little juiced, but we’re still getting some value here based on the sharpshooting forward’s recent performance.
Knicks-Nuggets NBA player props made Thursday at 1:45 a.m. ET.
North Carolina sportsbook offers
Editor's note: With North Carolina sports betting now live, check out our best North Carolina sports betting apps and the best North Carolina sportsbook promos! 21+ and present in NC. Take advantage of these pre-launch offers!
FanDuel (bet $5 get $250) | Caesars (bet $10, get $250) | bet365 (bet $5, get $200) | DraftKings (bet $5, get $250) | BetMGM (bet $5, get $150)
(21+ only. Underage persons are not allowed to wager. Gambling Problem? Call 877-718-5543 or text “morethanagamenc” to 53342.)
Here are our best NBA betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
Related Articles
