🏀 Hawks vs. Pistons Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 25)
📡 SBR Edge: Hawks vs. Pistons Player Props Today
My Hawks vs. Pistons player props today back Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125). He has taken on a larger role with the Hawks, and that should continue tonight. My other NBA best bet is Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists (-115), as his line has been inflated after two games that were somewhat lucky.
π Best Hawks vs. Pistons player props today: NBA picks for March 25
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists | -125 via BetMGM | 1.88u -> 1.5u | Has taken on larger role in offense over last 3 |
| Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists | -115 via BetMGM | 1.73u -> 1.5u | Market is overreacting to 2 good games |
Total wagered: 3.61 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best Hawks vs. Pistons prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125)
I'm projecting that Kuminga's role on offense will continue to grow tonight - especially if Jalen Johnson (shoulder) doesn't play. Kuminga has attempted nine or more shots in two of his last three games and has played 20+ minutes in each of his last two.
He's finished with 24 points + rebounds + assists in two of his last three contests, and his median P/R/A is 24 since he joined the Hawks. BetMGM lists Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists at -125, but this bet is good up to -155 on the best sports betting sites.
π₯ More Hawks vs. Pistons prop picks
The Pistons have the seventh-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists (-115)
I get it: Jenkins has recorded 30-plus P/A in each of his last two games. I think that's noise more than anything else, though. While Cade Cunningham is out with a collapsed lung - you can check his status in our NBA awards eligibility tracker - that doesn't mean Jenkins should be upgraded this much.
Jenkins has never cashed this Over in three career meetings with Atlanta, and his median P/A since the All-Star break is 9. Jenkins Under 24.5 P/A is -115 at BetMGM, but I would play this up to -140 on the best NBA betting sites.
🏀 More NBA player props tonight
I feature Bennedict Mathurin, Jerami Grant, and more in my NBA player props tonight.
π Hawks vs. Pistons same-game parlay
The two most likely paths for Daniss Jenkins to go Under his points + assists line tonight are:
- The Hawks defend him well and keep the game close.
- The Pistons blow out the Hawks, and Jenkins plays fewer minutes in the second half.
I believe thereβs value in the second outcome, as bet365 is offering +550 when the Pistonsβ spread is adjusted to -9.5.
💵 Hawks vs. Pistons SGP picks
- Pistons -9.5
- Daniss Jenkins Under 24.5 points + assists
Best odds: +550 via bet365 (0.27u -> 1.5u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 71-76-3 | -6.99 units β | -4% β |
| Player props | 69-64-3 | -6.05 units β | -3.5% β |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units β | 87% β |
| Parlays | 1-12 | -2.45 units β | -64.3% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Hawks vs. Pistons
I'm allocating 3.61 units for this game, which is more than I would usually risk on two NBA player props.
I believe both of these bets are mispriced. Kuminga Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists is -125 at BetMGM, but FanDuel is listing him at 19.5 P/R/A (Over: -120 | Under: -110). And Jenkins' prop is an overreaction to him putting up 30 or more points + assists in each of his last two gamesβhe should regress toward the mean tonight.
π Hawks vs. Pistons injuries
πΊ How to watch Hawks vs. Pistons
- Date: Wednesday, March 25
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit)
- TV: ESPN
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