🏀 Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 13)
📡 SBR Intel: Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Player Props Today
My Cavaliers vs. Mavericks player props today back James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-156). The Cavaliers star is still launching from beyond the arc despite playing alongside an elite scorer. I wrap up my NBA best bets with Naji Marshall Under 13.5 points. Marshall has fallen out of favor in this offense, and his scoring has taken a hit.
🏀 Best Cavaliers vs. Mavericks player props today: NBA picks for March 13
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -156 via FanDuel | 1.56u -> 1u | Has gone Over in 6 of last 7 with Mitchell |
| Naji Marshall Under 13.5 points | -114 via DraftKings | 1.14u -> 1u | Averaging just 24.8 minutes over last 6 games |
Total wagered: 2.7 units | Max profit: 2 units
💰 Best Cavaliers vs. Mavericks prop bet
The Cavaliers have the fifth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
James Harden Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-156)
We cashed this bet against the Orlando Magic on Wednesday, and the line has ballooned, but I still believe there's value. While Harden is shooting fewer 3-pointers as a member of the Cavaliers (6.8 with Cleveland compared to 8.8 with LA), he has still made three or more triples in six of his last seven games playing alongside Mitchell.
Harden has attempted seven or more 3-pointers in each of his five games in March, making them at a 41.5% clip. FanDuel lists his Over at -156, but this bet is good up to -185 at the best sports betting sites.
🔥 More Cavaliers vs. Mavericks prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Naji Marshall Under 13.5 points (-114)
I bet Marshall to go over his points several times in February, but his role on this team has been diminished. With Khris Middleton taking more shots and P.J. Washington assuming a larger role in the offense, Marshall is averaging only 24.8 minutes over his last six games.
Cleveland should also play better defensively tonight, as the Cavaliers have allowed 102 or fewer points in each of their last two games after a loss. Marshall Under 13.5 points is -114 at DraftKings, but I would still play it at the best NBA betting sites up to -130.
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 53-53-3 | -2.26 units ❌ | -1.8% ❌ |
| Player props | 52-45-3 | -0.91 units ❌ | -0.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-8 | -1.34 units ❌ | -49.68% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
I'm allocating 2.7 units for this game because, while I'm confident directionally in these plays, the lines aren't priced too far from where I'd set them. This is the typical amount I'd bet on two player props, though I'd consider risking up to 2.5 units on a bet if I believed there were a bigger edge.
I'm expecting a rout tonight, and while you usually don't want to bet Overs on player props in a blowout, I'm confident Harden can make three or more triples before the fourth quarter. He cashed this prop early in the third on Wednesday.
🚑 Cavaliers vs. Mavericks injuries
📺 How to watch Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
- Date: Friday, March 13
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
- TV: Streaming on Prime Video
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