Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Picks, Predictions: Will Morant Soar with Mitchell Likely Out?

Check out our best Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies picks based on the top odds.
Philip Wood
Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 18, 2023 5:07 AM EST • 4 minute read

Donovan Mitchell, the Cleveland Cavaliers' leading scorer, is doubtful against the Memphis Grizzlies. Here are our Cavaliers-Grizzlies NBA picks based on the best basketball odds.

The Grizzlies are in the midst of a 10-game winning streak, including six double-digit victories. They’re currently a half-game back of the Denver Nuggets for the top spot in the West, and Memphis has opened up a 4.5-game lead over the third-place New Orleans Pelicans.

Meanwhile, the Cavaliers continue to impress after winning three out of five games to sit fifth in the Eastern Conference. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 28.4 points per game, nearly a full point more than the Grizzlies’ Ja Morant. But he's doubtful for Wednesday night’s contest.

Here is our best Cavaliers-Grizzlies NBA pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Jan. 18, 8 p.m.
TV: NBA League Pass
Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Odds

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Odds Analysis

The Grizzlies opened as 6.5-point favorites. But the spread has climbed as high as 7.5 at some of the major sportsbooks with Mitchell expected to miss this contest. Currently, 76% of bettors are backing the Grizzlies against the spread. If and when Mitchell is officially ruled out, look for this number to climb near double digits, with Memphis still getting support.

The total opened at 224.5 everywhere except for FanDuel, where it started at 222.5. The number is currently at 226.5 at all four of the major sportsbooks that list the line. Right now, 56% of bettors are backing the Over, though that could change if the game’s top scorer is ruled out.

Check out our NBA Finals 2023 odds and NBA MVP 2023 odds.

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Pick

Under 226.5 (-110 via DraftKings Sportsbook) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Grizzlies covering feels like a lock if Mitchell sits. But the Cavs actually haven’t been struggling without Mitchell so far in 2022-23. They're 2-3 in games without him, with only one double-digit defeat (121-108 to the Denver Nuggets). So rather than going with the spread, let's take a look at the total.

The Cavaliers boast the NBA's top scoring defense while allowing 106.9 points per matchup. That number only goes up to 108.2 when the team is on the road. The Grizzlies rank in the top 10 in the league in points allowed, and Mitchell's 28.4 points per game being on the bench will make Memphis’ job much easier. 

The Grizzlies are averaging the fourth-most points per contest at home with 120.3. They've scored over 120 in seven consecutive games. However, the Cavaliers haven't allowed a team to notch over 120 in five consecutive outings. Without Mitchell, the Cavs will need to win this game with defense, something they're more than capable of doing.

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Best Odds

DraftKings (-110)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars PointsBet
Under 226.5 Under 226.5 N/A Under 226.5 Under 226.5
-110 -110 N/A -110 -110

BetMGM currently isn't listing a total, likely because that book is awaiting official word that Mitchell is out. Every other sportsbook is showing the number at 226.5, a full basket higher than where this line opened across the board.

It's best to get in on this Under as soon as possible, as Mitchell is the type of player who can make a line move significantly. Any of the above four books are good options for Under bettors. But if you're on the Cavs to cover, DraftKings is currently offering the best line at +7.5.

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Cavaliers-Grizzlies pick made 01/18/2023 at 8:47 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.