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Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts after committing a foul against the Philadelphia 76ers in the third quarter at the Wells Fargo Center.
Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts after committing a foul against the Philadelphia 76ers in the third quarter at the Wells Fargo Center. Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images/AFP.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has popped up on the injury report. If he does play, there could be value on the Milwaukee Bucks against the Portland Trail Blazers. Read on for our Bucks vs. Trail Blazers NBA picks based on the best NBA odds.

The Bucks (36-17) are one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference and in spite of their 17-9 road record, they’ve been less than effective against the spread as an away team.

Has uncertainty over the status of Giannis Antetokounmpo pushed the line into reasonable territory against a Trail Blazers (26-27) team narrowly clinging to the postseason picture?

Here is our best Bucks vs. Trail Blazers NBA pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Bucks vs. Trail Blazers pick

Bucs -4 vs. Trail Blazers (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Milwaukee is just 10-12-3 ATS in road games this season, and with Giannis on the injury report, trepidation would be understandable against a Portland team that has handled its business for bettors at home. The Blazers are 14-11 ATS in home games this season.

But Antetokounmpo is listed as probable to participate despite right knee soreness. If the Bucks are confirmed to have their star in the lineup, we’re suddenly looking at a 4-point spread for one of the league’s best teams as being rather attainable.

Although Milwaukee’s overall ATS numbers on the road are underwhelming, they’ve been better when you isolate it to road games in which the Bucks are favored. They are 6-5-2 ATS in those scenarios this season.

Milwaukee has won nine of its past 10 with eight of the nine wins coming by a margin greater than Monday’s line. At the end of the day, Portland is a fringe playoff contender that simply doesn’t have anyone with the combination of size and athleticism to slow down a Bucks team featuring Giannis.

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers best odds

DraftKings, Caesars, PointsBet (-110)

Bucks -4Bucks -4.5Bucks -4.5Bucks -4Bucks -4

DraftKings, Caesars, and PointsBet all offer the line at Bucks -4 with standard -110 odds. Avoid FanDuel for this wager as that book offers neither an ideal line nor the ideal odds on the Bucks. If the line increases to -5.5 or greater in the aftermath of a positive update on Antetokounmpo, the value of the pick would drop to three stars, so it’s recommended to lock in your position before that happens.

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers odds

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Bucks vs. Trail Blazers odds analysis

The Bucks opened as 4.5-point favorites and have remained in that place at two of our affiliated sportsbooks. The rest have seen the line move to -4, with 53% of wagers on the underdog Blazers.

The total opened at 239.5 and has increased to between 242 and 242.5 across the board. At this time, 54% of wagers have come in on the Under.

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers game info

  • Date: Monday, Feb. 6, 2023
  • TV: NBA TV
  • Location: Moda Center, Portland, OR

Bucks-Trail Blazers pick made 2/6/2023 at 1 p.m. ET.

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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

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