🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Prop Picks for Sunday, May 10
Last Updated: May 10, 2026 10:32 AM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Sunday's NBA playoff doubleheader features a pair of Game 4s, with the Philadelphia 76ers hosting the New York Knicks and the Minnesota Timberwolves welcoming the San Antonio Spurs.
Both home teams are down 2-1, looking for a chance to even their respective series. My NBA player props today target one player from each home team, while fading a road player as part of Sunday's NBA picks and best bets.
🏀 Best NBA player props today: May 10
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid, C, 76ers | Under 38.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via Caesars) | 1u -> 0.87u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Mikal Bridges, F, Knicks | Under 2.5 assists (+110 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 1.1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Ayo Dosunmu, G, Timberwolves | Over 1.5 3-pointers (+102 via bet365) | 1u -> 1.02u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.99 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet today
Joel Embiid Under 38.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115) vs. Knicks
76ers center Joel Embiid's player props have been all over the place this postseason. His PRA line was as low as 27.5 in his first playoff game, and it's been as high as 41.5. But even at 38.5, this line is a tad high, especially with most shops sitting at 37.5.
Embiid is averaging 24 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game in the playoffs. He's failed to clear this PRA line in three of his previous four matchups, including 29 or fewer in both New York matchups, as a sign that he's fading due to his health.
For more Knicks vs. 76ers player props, our Liam Fox has you covered.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Mikal Bridges Under 2.5 assists (+110) vs. 76ers
With OG Anunoby listed as questionable, there has been slight steam on Mikal Bridges' props. But Bridges' passing isn't really affected by the presence of his fellow Knicks wing.
Dating back to the regular season, Bridges is averaging 2.8 assists on 5.2 potential dimes in 15 games without Anunoby. This postseason, Bridges has averaged two assists on 3.1 potential dimes. He's failed to clear this line in seven of nine matchups, including his one-assist performance without Anunoby on Friday.
As long as this Under is plus-money, it's worth a play, especially if the Knicks are closer to full strength than expected.
Court surfing tonight? Fox has you handled with his Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props, too.
Ayo Dosunmu Over 1.5 3-pointers (+102) vs. Spurs
Timberwolves guard Ayo Dosunmu looked back in Friday's Game 3, knocking down a trio of 3-pointers on eight attempts in 32 minutes. He's now hit multiple 3-pointers in four of the seven playoff games, including an 80% hit rate when he's played at least 23 minutes.
With Donte DiVincenzo out with an Achilles injury, Dosunmu is an important backcourt partner for Anthony Edwards. It's also a favorable matchup against the Spurs, who rank 13th in 3-point attempts allowed this postseason.
I like the plus-money price on multiple triples from Dosunmu.
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks today
A parlay of my favorite player props produces a +628 payout at FanDuel. Considering they are player props from two different games, I wouldn't put too much on this one. These three legs aren't at all correlated.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Joel Embiid Under 38.5 points + rebounds + assists (-118)
- Mikal Bridges Under 2.5 assists (+110)
- Ayo Dosunmu Over 1.5 3-pointers (-104)
Best odds: +628 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.63u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 28.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39-48 | +6.35 units ✅ | 10.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 34-26 | +8.05 units ✅ | 13.9% ✅ |
| Parlays | 5-21 | -0.7 units ❌ | -26.9% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props today
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
On some level, all my player props are injury related on Sunday. That's likely the best way at finding value as markets becomes more efficient.
Embiid's player props have been inconsistent due to his health, but the market has to respect his ceiling too much to drop his lines much further. Bridges is getting a bit too much respect due to potential injury news for a teammate, while Dosunmu might be a bit underrated as he works his way back to full strength.
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Shane Thurston X social