🏀 Best NBA Player Props Tonight: Expert Picks for March 9
It's a new week, which means my best NBA player props are here to set you up for success once again on this fine Monday. I've targeted Donovan Mitchell, Nikola Jokic, and Jalen Brunson tonight - let's ride them to a sweep, how does that sound?
🏀 Best NBA player props tonight: March 9
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell, Cavaliers | Over 26.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 1.88u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nikola Jokic, Nuggets | Under 27.5 points (-115 via DraftKings) | 1.5u -> 2.80u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jalen Brunson, Knicks | 3+ 3-pointers (+130 via FanDuel) | .5u -> 1.15u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 5.83 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight
The Celtics have the fourth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Thunder to lock Jokic down tonight (-114)
The Thunder own the best defensive rating in the NBA (105.9) and are traditionally great at locking down opposing stars. Oklahoma City has consistently contained Jokic since 2023, allowing him to average just 23 points over that span.
In their last two meetings, the Joker recorded just 16 and 23 points. His game shifts from scorer to facilitator against the Thunder, as we've seen his assist numbers spike to double digits in his last three matchups vs. Thunder. The trends are in our favor tonight - let's follow 'em. This play is good to -120.
⛏️ Nikola Jokic player props!
This Nikola Jokic Under bet is also featured in Corey Scott's Nuggets vs. Thunder player props.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Back to the well with Spida vs. 76ers (-114)
The 76ers are decimated with injuries, which should pave the way for Mitchell to score at least 27 tonight. Without any rim protection, Mitchell will be able to attack the paint all night. The Sixers' defensive rating drops significantly without Joel Embiid on the floor, which makes me confident Mitchell will soar past this number. All concerns about Spida's injury should be eased after he dropped 30 against the Celtics just last night. Play this bet at our best NBA betting sites up to -125.
Brunson to splash from deep at Los Angeles (+130)
The Clippers are one of the worst teams in the league at defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to shoot 36.7% from deep. For his part, Brunson is averaging a career-high 7.5 3-point attempts this year, giving us the volume we need to hit three tonight. Over his last five games, Brunson has cleared this line three times, including a 3-of-8 performance yesterday against the Lakers and a 4-of-7 outing against the Spurs. This bet is good up to +105 on our best sports betting apps.
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props tonight
I'm allocating three total units (one unit = $100) across three players, exposing less of my bankroll to the one plus-money play we need to take advantage of. Monday's card is built around matchup edges I’ve identified, with all three bets either supported by historic trends in specific matchups or based on potential volume. However you like to play NBA player props, remember to keep your bankroll front of mind.
💰️ Bankroll management
LJ Blut breaks down his approach to bankroll management in sports betting.
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