🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Top Picks, Odds & Predictions for March 31

My NBA player props today feature Luka Doncic continuing his historic scoring run.
Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77), seen here walking off the court, is featured in our NBA player props today.
Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77), seen here walking off the court, is featured in our NBA player props today. Photo by Jerome Miron / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Doncic Keeps the Good Times - and Points - Rolling

My NBA player props today feature Daniss Jenkins Over 20.5 points + assists (-125), as he has played a bigger role on the shorthanded Pistons lately. My next NBA best bet is Bennedict Mathurin Over 23.5 points + rebounds (-122), as he has consistently cashed this bet since going to the Clippers. I wrap up with Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points (-106), as he has been on one of the most impressive scoring streaks I have seen since Kobe Bryant was in the league.


๐Ÿ€ Best NBA player props today: March 31

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Pick ๐Ÿ’ก Best odds โš–๏ธ Bet size ๐Ÿง  Why I'm making this bet
Daniss Jenkins Over 20.5 points + assists -125 via BetMGM 1.88u -> 1.5u Has cashed this prop in 5 of last 6 games
Bennedict Mathurin Over 23.5 points + rebounds -122 via Caesars 1.83u -> 1.5u Has gone Over in 8 of last 9 contests
Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points -106 via FanDuel 1.59u -> 1.5u Has scored 33+ points in 6 of last 7 games

Total wagered: 5.3 units | Max profit: 4.5 units


๐Ÿ’ฐ Best NBA player prop bet today

The Pistons have the seventh-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.

Daniss Jenkins Over 20.5 points + assists (-125) vs. Raptors

Jenkins has become a huge part of the offense since Cade Cunningham - who we're monitoring in our NBA awards eligibility tracker - went down with a collapsed lung.

He has totaled 21 or more points + assists in five of his last six games, including Monday against the Thunder, who rank first in defensive efficiency. Against the Raptors, he should have a much easier time hitting this number. This bet is -125 at BetMGM, but I would play it up to -155 on the best sports betting sites.


๐Ÿ”ฅ More NBA player prop picks

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Bennedict Mathurin Over 23.5 points + rebounds (-122) vs. Trail Blazers

Mathurin is the No. 2 option on the Clippers, behind Kawhi Leonard, and he has been aggressive crashing the boards since being traded to Los Angeles. Heโ€™s averaging nearly three more points per game as a Clipper, along with an additional half-rebound per contest.

He has recorded 24 or more points + rebounds in eight of his last nine games and has cashed this prop in three straight. Caesars lists his Over at -122, but this bet is good up to -150 on the best NBA betting sites.

Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points (-106) vs. Cavaliers

Now is not the time to get cute - or contrarian - and take the Under on Doncicโ€™s points. He has scored 33 or more points in six of his last seven games and should come out even more aggressive tonight after missing Mondayโ€™s game due to a league suspension.

A well-rested Doncic facing a Cavaliers team on the second night of a back-to-back seems like a perfect storm for his scoring streak to continue. This bet is -106 at FanDuel, but I would play it up to -125 on the best sports betting apps


๐Ÿš€ Best NBA parlay picks today

One concern about why Doncic might not score 34 points is that he could play fewer minutes if the Lakers are winning comfortably against the Cavaliers.

If the Cavaliers keep this game close - and the spread suggests thatโ€™s the most likely outcome - then Doncic has a better shot at playing more minutes (and scoring more points).

💵 Best NBA parlay bet today

  • Cavaliers +2
  • Doncic Over 33.5 points

Best odds: +310 via bet365 (0.32u -> 1u)


๐Ÿ’ต My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 83-93-3 -14.3 units โŒ -6.9% โŒ
Player props 78-77-3 -15.56 units โŒ -7.8% โŒ
Spreads 1-0 +1.5 units โœ… 87% โœ…
Parlays 4-16 -0.24 units โŒ -3.9% โŒ

๐Ÿ’ก How I'm betting NBA player props today

I'm allocating 5.3 units for tonight's slate, which is more than I would usually risk on three player props.

I'm confident that these three bets are mispriced. If I thought that I had a bigger edge, I would wager even more, up to 2.5 units per bet (or 5 units in a once-in-a-year type scenario).

I treat 1 unit as 1 percent of my bankroll, and while I'm coming off a bad week, my NBA betting typically has high highs and low lows, so I'm expecting things to turn around before the regular season wraps up.


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