🏀 NBA Player Props & Best Bets Tonight: Top Picks, Predictions & Odds for March 13
🎙️ SBR Intel: NBA player props (March 13)
After a 5-1 week, we're targeting Cade Cunningham, who's about to expose one of the worst defenses in the league. Elsewhere, I have Jalen Brunson to stay hyper-efficient against the high-paced Pacers, and Anthony Edwards, who should have his way against the injury-depleted Warriors.
🏀 Best NBA player props tonight: March 13
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham, Pistons | Over 24.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 1.98u | Playing against the 18th-ranked defense, coming off just 28 mins after blowing out Philly. |
| Jalen Brunson, Knicks | Over 26.5 points (-105 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 1.95u | Blowout potential, Indiana's high pace will lead to plenty of Knicks possessions. |
| Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves | 4+ made 3-pointers (+102 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 2.02u | Golden State gives up 13 3-pointers per game, Edwards has gone over in three of last five. |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 5.93 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight
Cade Cunningham Over 24.5 points vs. Grizzlies (-102)
Cade didn't touch the court in the fourth-quarter of last night's blowout win against the 76ers, and is in a prime spot for a bounce-back game after dropping just eight points. Historically, after a single-digit scoring outing, his usage rate spikes, and in his last three games following a sub-15 point performance, he has averaged 29.3 points the following contest. The Grizzlies' injury report is a disaster, expect Cunningham to take advantage tonight.
🤑 More NBA player props
Looking for another game to wager on? Our Corey Scott has everything you need in his Cavaliers vs. Mavericks player props piece.
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: Pistons -15.5 (-110)
- How to watch Grizzlies vs. Pistons: FDSDET
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points vs. Pacers (-105)
The Pacers remain one of the most favorable matchups in the NBA for elite scoring guards. Indiana is currently ranked 27th in the NBA against point guards, allowing an average of 26.6 points per game to the position. The Pacers own the third-worst opponent shooting percentage, leading me to believe that their pace and transition scheme will be absolutely exposed by Brunson and the Knicks tonight. Play this bet at our best NBA betting sites up to -120.
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: Knicks -13.5 (-105)
- How to watch Knicks vs. Pacers: MSG, FanDuel Sports Network Indiana (FDSNIN)
Anthony Edwards 4+ 3-pointers vs. Warriors (+102)
Edwards is averaging nearly 10 3-point attempts per game in March. When an elite shooter like Ant-Man takes double-digit looks from deep, hitting four should be routine. It helps that the Warriors currently rank in the bottom third of the league (24th) in opponent 3-point percentage, allowing teams to shoot roughly 36.7% from deep. This bet is good up to -105 at our best sports betting apps.
🤑 More Anthony Edwards props
When Edwards dips below his season average in one category, as he did in his rebounding last night, he fills the stat sheet in the next game to compensate. In 60% of his games this year, he's cleared 38.5 PRA simply because he's the focal point of every Wolves possession.
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Spread: Timberwolves -6.5 (+100)
- How to watch Timberwolves vs. Warriors: Peacock, and Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA
Anthony Edwards 3-point tracker
| Stat | Last 10 games | Season avg | Matchup vs GSW |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3PM per game | 3.9 | 3.5 | Projection: 4.2 |
| 3PT attempts | 9.7 | 8.4 | Expect 10+ attempts tonight. |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 37.5% | Facing a 24th-ranked perimeter defense. |
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks tonight
💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight
- Cunningham Over 24.5 points (-102)
- Brunson Over 26.5 points (-105)
- Edwards 4+ 3-pointers (+102)
Best odds: +681 via FanDuel (.2u -> 1.36u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 10
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Player props | 5-1 | +4.42 units ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-1 | +0.93 units ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props tonight
I'm allocating three total units (one unit = $100) across three players, exposing an equal amount of my bankroll on each one. Friday's card is built around matchup edges I’ve identified, with all three bets looking to exploit defensive mismatches. While I usually don't expose more than a .5 unit on plus-money plays, the data supports backing Anthony Edwards tonight. However you like to play NBA player props, remember to keep your bankroll front of mind. Let's kick off the weekened in style.
💰️ Bankroll management
LJ Blut breaks down his approach to bankroll management in sports betting.
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