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NBA Player Props & Best Bets Today: Predictions, Picks for Wednesday

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: March 13, 2024 5:12 PM EDT • 4 min 39 sec read.

Head coach Monty Williams of the Detroit Pistons talks with Cade Cunningham as we look at the best NBA player props & best bets for Wednesday
Head coach Monty Williams of the Detroit Pistons talks with Cade Cunningham #2 against the Chicago Bulls. Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images via AFP.

Tremendous values abound for Wednesday’s nine-game slate in the Association, and our NBA player props and best bets for Wednesday based on the best NBA odds will point out our favorite ways to find them.

We’re halfway through the week, but the NBA schedule doesn’t slack. We have nine contests and four props on tap and ready to roll.

Since the break, Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham has excelled offensively and aims to maintain his momentum against the struggling Toronto Raptors. As Luka Doncic continues his historic triple-double streak, the Dallas Mavericks will rely on him again as they host the Golden State Warriors.

With Trae Young sidelined, Dejounte Murray has taken on added responsibilities in the Atlanta Hawks' backcourt, and he's poised for another significant workload as they take on the Portland Trail Blazers.  

Wednesday's busy schedule culminates with a showdown between the Sacramento Kings and the Los Angeles Lakers. Since the arrival of star big man Domantas Sabonis in Sacramento, this rivalry has been one-sided, with the Kings boasting a perfect 4-0 record against the Lakers over the past two seasons. Will Sabonis once more outshine Anthony Davis?

Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Wednesday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Wednesday’s NBA best bets

  • Cade Cunningham Over 23.5 points vs. Raptors (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Luka Doncic triple-double vs. Warriors (+115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Dejounte Murray Over 2.5 3-pointers vs. Trail Blazers (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Domantas Sabonis Over 42.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Lakers (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Wednesday’s NBA player props

Cade Cunningham Over 23.5 points vs. Raptors (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Cunningham’s line feels too low on Wednesday, so we will take advantage and bet the Over. In 10 games since the All-Star break, Cunningham has averaged 25.4 points and 3.2 3-pointers. Toronto is shorthanded, and the team’s defense has recently been a bit lackadaisical. 

On the season, the Raptors rank seventh in points per game allowed at 118.3, but the defense has been even more generous over the last 10 outings. Since the All-Star break, the Raptors have allowed 121 points per game, a number topped only by the Washington Wizards and Dallas Mavericks.

Toronto has allowed opponents to shoot 37.6% from beyond the arc this season (eighth-highest), and Cunningham has been on fire from distance. His 3.2 triples since the break are nearly double the 1.7 he averaged before the break.

We can bet this one with relative comfort up to 24.5, but we’ll take the safer wager with -115 odds at DraftKings. The implied probability of these odds is 53.49%, but Cunningham has hit the Over in 70% of games since the break, so we’re getting some quality value at DraftKings.

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Luka Doncic triple-double vs. Warriors (+115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Since the All-Star break, Doncic has played like a man possessed, and he’s on a historic run with monster stat line after monster stat line. Doncic has posted seven straight triple-doubles, all 20-point performances, including a record six straight 30-point games. Until he slows down, we’re taking the plus-money odds on this prop.

Over their last three games, the Warriors have allowed the sixth-most assists, the 11th-most rebounds, and the seventh-most points.

Doncic posted 39 points, eight rebounds, and 10 assists against Golden State earlier in the season, and over his last three games against the Warriors dating back to last season, he’s averaged 36.7 points, nine rebounds, and 13 assists.

He produced a double-double in all three of those games, including one triple-double.

Surprisingly, the odds are still somewhat long, with an implied probability of 46.51%. He’s hit this in seven straight, and with Dallas just a game out of the No. 6 seed in the West and a guaranteed spot in the postseason, Doncic won’t be slowing down any time soon.

Dejounte Murray Over 2.5 3-pointers vs. Trail Blazers (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Murray hasn’t been known as a prolific 3-point shooter throughout his career, but he’s improved in that department since joining the Hawks. This season, he’s knocking down a career-best 2.3 triples while shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc. Portland’s perimeter defense has hit the skids over the last week, and we’ll take the Over on Murray’s three-point prop tonight.

Murray has hit the Over on this line in three of his last four games, including 10 total triples over his last two outings. He’s knocked down at least three triples in five of 13 games with Trae Young out, four of which on the road. 

Murray has been marginally better from three on the road this season, and he’ll look to take advantage of a favorable matchup. Over the last three games, Portland has allowed the 10th-highest three-point percentage (37.5) and the sixth-most made three-pointers (15).

Murray has hit the Over on this prop in 28 of 61 games (45.9%). The implied probability on these odds at -105 is 51.2%, but given Murray’s recent success from beyond the arc, the odds feel appropriate, and we'll get the best value by using our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.

Domantas Sabonis Over 42.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Lakers (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sabonis has had a big edge over Anthony Davis throughout his career and owns a 9-0 head-to-head record. That includes a 4-0 record over the last two seasons since joining the Kings. Sabonis has averaged 19.5 points, 15.3 rebounds, and 7.5 assists in those four games, hitting the Over in his last two.

In the last six (including one matchup with AD), Sabonis has averaged 22.5 points, 16.5 rebounds, and 8.2 assists, good for 47.5 points + rebounds + assists.

He hit the Over in five of those. Sabonis has averaged slightly more PRAs at home than on the road, and he’s hit the Over on this mark in seven of his last 10 at home.

The Lakers are middle-of-the-pack in rebounds allowed, 10th in points allowed, and 13th in paint points. Los Angeles has allowed the fourth-most points in the paint over their last three. The implied probability of this line is 53.27%, but Sabonis has been hitting it regularly since the All-Star break and in two straight against tonight’s opponent.

If that’s not value, I don’t know what is!

NBA best bets made Wednesday at 8:25 a.m. ET.

Here are our best NBA betting sites:

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Sportsbook Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.