🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Value Bets, Points Totals & Expert Picks for April 6
📡 SBR Edge: Jokic Doesn't Score When Laying Points
My NBA player props today feature Daniss Jenkins Over 24.5 points + assists (-130), as he has cashed this prop in three straight contests. My next top NBA pick is Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points (-114). He hasn't been as aggressive on offense when the Nuggets are a favorite. I wrap up my best bets with Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 rebounds (+108), as he has recorded 15+ boards in each of his last six games.
π Best NBA player props today: April 6
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins Over 24.5 points + assists | -130 via BetMGM | 1.3u -> 1u | Has gone Over in 3 straight games |
| Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points | -114 via FanDuel | 1.14u -> 1u | Has gone Under in 6 of last 7 as a favorite |
| Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 rebounds | +108 via Caesars | 0.93u -> 1u | Has recorded 15+ rebounds in 6 straight games |
Total wagered: 3.37 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet today
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Daniss Jenkins Over 24.5 points + assists (-130) at Magic
Jenkins has taken on a much larger role in the Pistons' offense since Cade Cunningham went down with a collapsed lung.
Most recently, he has totaled 26 or more points + assists in three straight games, including a 16-point, 14-assist performance against the 76ers on Saturday.
He ranks 31st in the NBA in this category over the last two weeks, averaging 26.43 points + assists per game over that span. BetMGM lists Jenkins Over 24.5 points + assists at -130, but this bet is good up to -155 on the best sports betting sites.
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
The Nuggets have the fourth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points (-114) vs. Trail Blazers
Jokic scored 40 points in an upset win over the Spurs on Saturday, but that hasn't been the norm lately. He has scored 25 or fewer points in six of his last seven games as a favorite, focusing more on assists and rebounds.
As an 8-point betting favorite tonight against the short-handed Trail Blazers, this game could get out of hand quickly, with Jokic sitting out the fourth quarter. His Under is listed at 27.5 points (-114) at FanDuel, but I would play this up to -135 on the best NBA betting sites.
Nikola Jokic player prop trends
Hereβs a look at how Nikola Jokic has performed recently, as well as against the Trail Blazers:
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 26.5 points | -124 via DraftKings | 2-3 β | 2-3 β |
| Over 13.5 rebounds | +110 via FanDuel | 4-1 β | 3-2 β |
| Over 10.5 assists | -130 via Caesars | 4-1 β | 1-4 β |
| Over 1.5 three-pointers made | -140 via BetMGM | 2-3 β | 4-1 β |
Jokic has gone Under on his points in three of his last five games overall, as well as three of his last five against the Trail Blazers.
While he has rebounded well in both samples, I wouldn't recommend his Over on boards, as he may play fewer minutes in the fourth quarter today as such a large favorite.
Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 rebounds (+108) vs. 76ers
Wembanyama is trying to catch Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in the NBA MVP race.
He won't be able to do it with scoring, but rebounding and defensive stats could help him pull off the upset. Because of that, he has been extra aggressive crashing the boards lately, recording 15+ rebounds in six straight games.
I also wouldn't be against a ladder bet on Wembanyama's rebounds, as he has grabbed 18 boards in each of his last two games. Caesars lists this bet at +108, but I would play it up to -105 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More NBA expert picks today
I feature Karl-Anthony Towns and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in my Knicks vs. Hawks player props.
π Best NBA parlay picks today
Jokic hasn't put up a lot of points recently when the Nuggets play as a favorite.
The best-case scenario for Jokic to go Under on his points is for the Nuggets to win in a rout, as he would play fewer minutes in the fourth quarter. Bet365 lists this two-legger at +310, while FanDuel offers just +236 for the same parlay.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points
- Nuggets alt spread -8.5
Best odds: +310 via bet365 (0.32u -> 1u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 94-105-3 | -13.58 units β | -5.8% β |
| Player props | 87-85-3 | -16.25 units β | -7.3% β |
| Parlays | 6-20 | +1.17 units β | 13.8% β |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units β | 87% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props today
I'm allocating 3.37 units for the bets in this article, which is what I would usually risk on three player props.
While I'm confident in all of these bets directionally, they aren't priced too far from where I'd set them. If I thought I had a larger edge, I would risk up to 2.5 units on that bet - or up to 5 units in a once-in-a-year type scenario. I treat 1 unit as 1% of my bankroll.
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
