Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Tonight, July 30

It's an all-anticipated WNBA Finals rematch, and we've sourced a few reasons to back the underdogs.

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: July 30, 2025 7:43 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Tonight, July 30 — Pictured: Natasha Cloud and Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers in action as we offer our Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds. Photo by Jerome Miron via Imagn Images

The Minnesota Lynx (22-5) look to exact a morsel of revenge tonight (8 p.m. ET, ESPN) at Target Center in Minneapolis when they face the New York Liberty (17-8) in a rematch of last year's WNBA Finals showdown as we offer our Liberty vs. Lynx prediction.

The Liberty, the WNBA championship odds favorites, won't have Breanna Stewart at their disposal after the star injured her leg a few days ago against the Los Angeles Sparks.

Her absence has significantly impacted the odds, with the Lynx entering proceedings as the commanding 7.5-point betting favorite at our best sports betting sites.

🔮 Liberty vs. Lynx prediction: WNBA expert picks

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✅ Moneyline pick: Lynx ML (-310 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Liberty +8.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 163.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Liberty vs. Lynx?

✅ Moneyline pick: Lynx will win (-310 via FanDuel)

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New York has lost back-to-back games since Stewart suffered her leg injury, including a 10-point road loss to the Dallas Wings on Monday. This comes after the team went 7-5 without Jonquel Jones earlier this summer.

The Liberty aren’t the same team when one of their star posts is sidelined, which doesn’t bode well against Napheesa Collier and Co. Believe in Minnesota on Wednesday.

💰 Liberty vs. Lynx best bet & WNBA predictions

Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: July 30 — Pictured: Minnesota Lynx guard Courtney Williams (10) as we make our Liberty vs. Lynx prediction. Photo by Wendell Cruz via Imagn Images.

🔥 Over 163.5 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)

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Stewart’s absence has been most felt on the defensive end. The Liberty surrendered 101 points to the Los Angeles Sparks on Saturday and 92 to the Dallas Wings on Monday.

The data supports that theory, which shouldn’t be a surprise since Stewart is the best defender on the team. New York’s defensive rating is 92 without Stewart compared to an 83.7 clip with her this year.

So far this season, Minnesota leads the league in offensive rating. Collier paces all players with an average of 23.5 points per game, suggesting she should have her way with New York’s frontcourt.

I’d recommend taking the Lynx’s team total as my best Liberty vs. Lynx prediction - as a four-star play - when those markets become available. For now, this Over will suffice, especially since New York’s path to covering the spread is on the offensive end.

👀 Best player prop for Liberty vs. Lynx

📈 Napheesa Collier Over 21.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.09)

This is a big matchup for Collier’s MVP campaign, so I expect her to make a statement against a short-handed New York squad. Collier scored 32 points against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday, going 14-for-18 from the floor.

Collier has cleared this scoring prop in 16 of her 24 games so far this season.

🔢 Liberty vs. Lynx updated betting insights

66% of bets are on New York to cover as underdogs
The Lynx opened as 8.5-point betting favorites at DraftKings. That line has since decreased to 7.5 points
The total opened at 163.5 points at DraftKings. It sits at 166.5 the morning of tipoff

🏀 Liberty vs. Lynx odds today

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

💡 Expert WNBA predictions today

❓ WNBA betting FAQs

How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

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Written by:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.