Liberty vs. Aces Predictions, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 13

Can A'ja Wilson continue her jaw-dropping pace in a potentially high-scoring matchup with the Liberty?

Rob Paul

Last Updated: August 13, 2025 11:26 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Pictured: Our Liberty vs. Aces predictions are backing A'ja Wilson to continue her dominant play. Photo by Lucas Peltier via Imagn Images.

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Two WNBA championship odds contenders meet tonight at Michelob Ultra Arena in Paradise, Nev., as the Las Vegas Aces host the New York Liberty at 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Given the tear A'ja Wilson is on and New York's defensive issues, our Liberty vs. Aces predictions expect the scoreboard to be lit up all night in Sin City.

🔮 Liberty vs. Aces predictions: WNBA expert picks

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✅ Moneyline pick: Aces (-142 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Aces -2.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 171.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Liberty vs. Aces?

✅ Moneyline pick: Aces will win (-142 via DraftKings)

This is the second leg of a back-to-back for the Liberty, who had to win a shootout on the road against the Los Angeles Sparks last night. New York's defense struggled in that matchup and has backslid since the team's 9-0 start. It doesn't help that the Liberty are still without Breanna Stewart, which should make things easier for A'ja Wilson down low.

The Aces have also completely turned around their season after a 9-11 start to the year. Vegas has won nine of its last 12, including four straight. I expect the win streak to continue tonight, and I'm projecting a 90 to 86 win for the Aces.

💰 Liberty vs. Aces best bet & WNBA predictions

🚀 Over 171.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.09)

The Aces' improved play has coincided with them consistently hitting Overs; they're 8-4 betting the Over since mid-July. This offense has come to life in recent weeks, with Wilson being the most obvious reason why. However, it hasn't just been her who's pulled Las Vegas up to No. 7 in offensive rating. Jackie Young, Jewell Loyd, and Chelsea Gray are all scoring in the double digits.

In July and August, Vegas is averaging 83.1 points per game, up from their average of 79.6 in June when the team went just 5-6. Their improved offensive play should help them push a Liberty defense that's fallen to the back half of the league in points allowed per game (81.4) and has allowed 80-plus points in 12 of their last 23 games after allowing more than 78 just once over their first nine games.

Luckily for the Liberty, their offense is still No. 1 in points per game (87.0) and No. 2 in offensive rating (109.0). While being down Stewart hurts, Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones, Emma Meesseman, and Natasha Cloud should be able to capitalize against a Vegas defense that's fifth-worst in defensive rating (106.2).

👀 Liberty vs. Aces player prop

♠️ A'ja Wilson Over 32.5 points + rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -120 via bet365 ($10 to win $8.33)

Wilson remains at an MVP level this season and sits No. 2 in the W in points per game (22.2) and rebounds per game (9.6) after three straight ridiculous performances. Over her last three games, Wilson is putting up a combined 42.3 points and rebounds per game, and is coming off a 32-point, 20-rebound outing against the Connecticut Sun.

With Stewart out for the Liberty, and New York allowing the most rebounds per game in the league (36.3), Wilson has a clear path to hitting this Over.

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Written by:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor and Analyst at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024. Rob's main focus is collegiate sports, specifically college football and college basketball. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props. A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the day/week by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup. Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.