Fever vs. Dream Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: WNBA Best Bets for Sept. 14
The playoff game featured on ABC during Sunday’s Round 1 slate is a matchup between the Indiana Fever and Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center. This is a chance for Atlanta to put on a show, something I’m counting on for my Fever vs. Dream prediction. Tipoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (ABC).
Atlanta is a 7.5-point betting favorite against an Indiana team without Caitlin Clark. My WNBA picks believe in the Dream’s offense, which is why I’m taking their team total and the Over on Allisha Gray’s scoring prop for Game 1.
🏀 Fever vs. Dream prediction
WNBA expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Dream ML (-311 via bet365) ⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Fever +7.5 (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 158.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Fever vs. Dream preview & best bet
⬆️ Dream Over 82.5 points (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I project a few points of value on the full-game Over, but I’d rather just trust the Dream to do their part in Sunday’s Game 1 at home.
Atlanta ranked second in offensive rating (108.2) this season under first-year head coach Karl Smesko, who will finish runner-up in Coach of the Year voting, and I’m not at all mad about it after betting on him in the preseason. The Dream averaged 84.4 points per game this season, which ranked fifth.
Both marks have improved since the team inserted Naz Hillmon into the starting lineup ahead of Brittney Griner. In the 17 games since Aug. 1, Atlanta is averaging 85.5 points per contest and has posted an offensive rating of 111.7. The Dream cleared this team total 10 times over that span, including the final six games of the season.
This team total is as high as 83.5 in the market, indicating a discount at Caesars. A $10 bet generates a profit of $8.70.
💰 Best Fever vs. Dream player prop bet
🔥 Allisha Gray Over 16.5 points (-104) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Allisha Gray was Atlanta’s best player this season, averaging 18.4 points per game and establishing herself as one of the top stars in the league. So, why is this scoring prop so low?
I think the market might be reacting to Gray’s finish to the regular season, when she scored 28 total points on 12 attempts over her final two games. However, she didn’t play more than 20 minutes in either contest.
In a game where Gray gets her usual playing time, I like grabbing the -104 value at FanDuel on this Over to net $9.62 on a $10 bet.
📊 Fever vs. Dream odds: Sept. 14
WNBA odds update live in real time.
📈 Fever vs. Dream betting odds analysis
The Dream began as 7.5-point favorites, but the line has dropped down to 7 after some early action. As of this writing, 64% of wagers have come in on Indiana. The total started at 158.5, with 72% of bets on the Over.
🔢 Fever vs. Dream stats
Season stats courtesy of WNBA.com.
| Fever (24-20) | Statistic (per game) | Dream (30-14) |
|---|---|---|
| +4.5 | Net rating | +9.3 |
| 106.2 | Offensive rating | 108.2 |
| 101.8 | Defensive rating | 98.9 |
| 84.9 | Points | 84.4 |
| 81.5 | Points allowed | 76.8 |
| 33.4 | Rebounds | 36.6 |
| 20.6 | Assists | 21.4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12.5 |
| 45.6 | FG% | 44.3 |
| 34.6 | 3PT% | 33.7 |
📺 Fever vs. Dream game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 14
- Tipoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Gateway Center (Atlanta)
- How to watch: ABC
❓ Fever vs. Dream FAQs
Who is favored to win Fever vs. Dream?
The Dream are the -325 moneyline betting favorite to defeat the Fever, which gives them an implied probability of 76.47% to win Game 1.
What is the spread for Fever vs. Dream?
Atlanta is a 7.5-point favorite against Indiana for Sunday’s Round 1 matchup.
What is the Over/Under for Fever vs. Dream?
The total for the Fever-Dream battle is set at 158.5.
What are the best bets for Fever vs. Dream?
My best bets for Sunday’s Fever-Dream matchup are Atlanta Over 82.5 points (-115) and Allisha Gray Over 16.5 points (-104).
When is the Fever vs. Dream game?
Tipoff for Fever vs. Dream is 3 p.m. ET on Sunday on ABC.
How do WNBA odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -5.5 must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +5.5 must win outright or lose by 5 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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