Northern Star Award Odds: Gilgeous-Alexander Favored, with Guerrero Not Far Behind

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to be named Canada's top athlete of the year again, but Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is chasing him down.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander smiles at a fan, and he leads the Northern Star Award odds.
Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander smiles at a fan, and he leads the Northern Star Award odds. Photo by Troy Wayrynen / Imagn.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander still leads the way in the Northern Star Award odds to get his second such honor as Canada's top athlete of the year.

However, his lead on the oddsboard was far more comfortable during the summer. Now he's facing a significant challenge from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on the heels of the Toronto Blue Jays' remarkable run to the World Series.

🏅 Northern Star Award odds 2025

FanDuel Ontario, which is one of the best Ontario sports betting sites, is offering odds for who will win the Northern Star Award in 2025.

Candidate FanDuel Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -250 71.43% $4
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +115 46.51% $11.50
Marie-Philip Poulin +3500 2.78% $350
Summer McIntosh +3500 2.78% $350
Sam Bennett +8000 1.23% $800
Connor McDavid +10000 0.99% $1,000
Conor Bedard +10000 0.99% $1,000
Andrew Nembhard +10000 0.99% $1,000
Corey Connors +10000 0.99% $1,000
Aaliyah Edwards +10000 0.99% $1,000

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🎖️ Betting favorites to win the Northern Star Award

⭐ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (-250)

As it stands, nine athletes have won the Northern Star Award multiple times, with Wayne Gretzky the all-time leader at four. Gilgeous-Alexander is likely to make it 10 after also being recognized two years ago.

It would be a richly deserved honor after SGA led the league in points per game (32.7) last season while finishing tied for fourth in steals per contest (1.7). He stepped it up in the playoffs as expected, too, averaging 29.9 points per outing (third) while guiding the Thunder to their first championship in Oklahoma City. He then became the first Canadian to be given the NBA Finals MVP Award.

However, he once held a much more overwhelming lead by the Northern Star Award odds at -3500 in July.

⚾ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+115)

While SGA remains an easily justifiable favorite based on his accomplishments after leading his team to a championship, Guerrero came agonizingly close to doing the same.

The Montreal-born Toronto Blue Jays star produced a quality regular season for the eventual American League champs who took the Los Angeles Dodgers to extra innings in Game 7. But he went nuclear during the playoffs while clubbing eight home runs with a .397 batting average and other-worldly 1.289 OPS.

He also established a new franchise record for home runs in a single postseason, and Guerrero's 28 playoff hits rank third in MLB history.

It still seems likely that he finishes narrowly behind SGA in the Northern Star Award voting, though recency bias could play a role. Vlad's odds have shortened dramatically, moving from +2300 in mid-July to +115 now.

🏆 Past Northern Star Award winners

Year Winner
2024 Summer McIntosh
2023 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2022 Marie Philip-Poulin
2021 Damian Warner
2020 Alphonso Davies, Laurent Duvernay-Tardif
2019 Bianca Andreescu
2018 Mikael Kingsbury
2017 Joey Votto
2016 Penny Oleksiak
2015 Carey Price

❓ Northern Star Award FAQs

Who is the favorite to win the Northern Star Award in 2025?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win the Northern Star Award. He's receiving -250 odds, which leads to an implied probability of 71.43%.

When is the Northern Star Award winner announced?

Voting for the award takes place in early December, with the winner named shortly thereafter. Last year's winner was announced on Dec. 9

Who won the Northern Star Award last year?

Summer McIntosh, the Canadian swimmer who took home three gold medals at the 2024 Olympics, was named the Northern Star Award winner last year.

How is the Northern Star Award winner decided?

A panel of Canadian journalists from across the country vote on the award.


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