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NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson (5) leads driver Denny Hamlin (11) as we examine the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds.
NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson (5) leads driver Denny Hamlin (11) during the FireKeepers 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Photo by Mike Dinovo / USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

It's been a dramatic week for the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds with just two races left before the postseason begins in Atlanta.

On Monday, Tyler Reddick won the FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan for his second victory of the season, seizing the top spot in the regular-season standings. That came a week after Austin Dillon crashed his way to the checkered flag at Richmond but was denied a playoff spot for his actions.

Denny Hamlin is the favorite across our best sports betting sites to win Saturday's Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona, which begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC/NBC, and he's in a virtual dead heat with Kyle Larson in the championship betting odds.

NASCAR Cup Series championship odds 2024

(NASCAR Cup Series odds via best sports betting apps as of Aug. 20 | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

DriverDraftKingsBetMGMCaesars
Kyle Larson+380 🔥+375+375
Denny Hamlin+380+400 🔥+375 ❄️
Christopher Bell+400+400+400
Tyler Reddick+500 ❄️+600 🔥+550
William Byron+800+700 ❄️+800
Ryan Blaney+800 ❄️+900 🔥+850
Chase Elliott+1100+1100+1200 🔥
Martin Truex Jr.+1600+1600+1600
Joey Logano+1600 ❄️+1800+1800
Brad Keselowsi+2200+1800 ❄️+2200
Ty Gibbs+3500+3000 ❄️+3500
Alex Bowman+3500+4000 🔥+3300 ❄️
Ross Chastain+3500 ❄️+6000 🔥+5000
Chris Buescher+5000 ❄️+6000+6000

2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship favorites

Kyle Larson (+380)

For all of the ups and downs he's endured this season, Larson has hardly relinquished his grip among the favorites to win this year's NASCAR Cup Series championship.

He entered the year as the co-favorite with William Byron, and he's the only driver with four wins. His five poles are also the most in the Cup Series, though his crash last week - which derailed multiple cars - and a no-show at Charlotte have him fourth in the standings.

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That may cost him some playoff points, but Larson still has the shortest odds in this field for a reason. He's arguably the best pure driver in auto racing, with a world-class team behind him and championship experience from his 2021 title.

Anything can happen in the postseason, which is why Larson and Hamlin aren't dealing at shorter odds. But they've been the story of this season and sure feel like they're headed for a duel in November to crown a champion.

Best odds: +380 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 20.83%

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Denny Hamlin (+400)

Hamlin's best odds are a tick higher than Larson's, but the former is the one who seems to have the inside track ahead of the postseason.

The No. 11 has led 896 laps, most in the field, and he's tied with Larson for the second-most top-fives (nine) behind Reddick. He could be tied with Reddick for the most wins, if not for Dillon's reckless move to end the day at Richmond.

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Regardless, Hamlin is the most accomplished driver in NASCAR history yet to win a championship, and he's been perhaps the most consistent and dangerous driver on a weekly basis. He'd be my best bet among the favorites, though it's tough to lay short odds on anyone, given the volatility of the postseason.

Best odds: +400 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 20%

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Christopher Bell (+400)

There was a time not long ago when it looked like Bell might drive his way right to the front of this championship race.

From May 26 to June 23, Bell finished in the top 10 in five straight races, with two wins in that stretch. He's been the fastest driver on the track in more races than anyone else, even as he ranks outside the top five in top fives (seven).

Bell is still one of only three drivers to lead more than 500 laps - he's paced the field 720 times - and he's coming off a Championship 4 berth a season ago. He also won the race earlier this year in Phoenix, which is the site of this year's final championship race.

Best odds: +400 via Caesars | Implied probability: 20%

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My driver to watch in NASCAR Cup Series

Ty Gibbs (+3500)

We've had Gibbs in this spot all season long, even though the youngster is yet to win a race in his Cup Series career. And I'm still high on his chances at these odds after one of his best races of the season.

The 21-year-old finished third at Michigan and had a chance to win late, which has been a common theme for last year's Rookie of the Year. He quietly ranks in the top 10 in finishes inside the top five (six) and top-10 (10), and he ranks seventh in total laps led (351).

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So why is Gibbs, backed by one of the sport's best teams in Joe Gibbs Racing, still dealing outside the top 10 in championship odds despite ranking inside the top 10 by just about every metric?

For one, he's yet to clinch a playoff spot without that elusive win, though he's in a strong position with just two races to go and a decent lead in points over the other bubble contenders. And if he does make it? He has the team, talent, and tenacity to surprise as a long shot.

Best odds: +3500 via Caesars | Implied probability: 2.78%

2024 NASCAR schedule and winners

DateRaceLocationWinner (open)
Saturday, Feb. 3Busch Light Clash at The ColiseumLos Angeles Memorial ColiseumDenny Hamlin (+1100)
Monday, Feb. 19Daytona 500Daytona International SpeedwayWilliam Byron (+1400)
Sunday, Feb. 25Ambetter Health 400Atlanta Motor SpeedwayDaniel Suarez (+3000)
Sunday, March 3Pennzoil 400Las Vegas Motor SpeedwayKyle Larson (+400)
Sunday, March 10Shriners Children's 500Phoenix RacewayChristopher Bell (+1000)
Sunday, March 17Food City 500Bristol Motor SpeedwayDenny Hamlin (+500)
Sunday, March 24EchoPark Automotive Grand PrixCircuit of the AmericasWilliam Byron (+1000)
Sunday, March 31Toyota Owners 400Richmond RacewayDenny Hamlin (+425)
Sunday, April 7Cook Out 400Martinsville SpeedwayWilliam Byron (+1200)
Sunday, April 14AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400Texas Motor SpeedwayChase Elliott (+1400)
Sunday, April 21GEICO 500Talladega SuperspeedwayTyler Reddick (+2200)
Sunday, April 28Würth 400Dover Motor SpeedwayDenny Hamlin (+750)
Sunday, May 5AdventHealth 400Kansas SpeedwayKyle Larson (+380)
Sunday, May 12Goodyear 400Darlington RacewayBrad Keselowski (+1800)
Sunday, May 19NASCAR All-Star RaceNorth Wilkesboro SpeedwayJoey Logano (+900)
Sunday, May 26Coca-Cola 600Charlotte Motor SpeedwayChristopher Bell (+1300)
Sunday, June 2Enjoy Illinois 300World Wide Technology RacewayAustin Cindric (+25000)
Sunday, June 9Toyota / Save Mart 350Sonoma RacewayKyle Larson (+750)
Sunday, June 16Iowa Corn 350Iowa SpeedwayRyan Blaney (+900)
Sunday, June 23USA Today 301New Hampshire Motor SpeedwayChristopher Bell (+450)
Sunday, June 30Ally 400Nashville SuperspeedwayJoey Logano (+1800)
Sunday, July 7Grant Park 165Chicago Street CourseAlex Bowman (+2200)
Sunday, July 14The Great American Getaway 400Pocono RacewayRyan Blaney (+1500)
Sunday, July 21Brickyard 400Indianapolis Motor SpeedwayKyle Larson (+600)
Sunday, Aug. 11Cook Out 400Richmond RacewayAustin Dillon (+10000)
Sunday, Aug. 18FireKeepers Casino 400Michigan International SpeedwayTyler Reddick (+850)
Saturday, Aug. 24Coke Zero Sugar 400Daytona International SpedwayTBD
Sunday, Sept. 1Cook Out Southern 500Darlington RacewayTBD
Sunday, Sept. 8Quaker State 400*Atlanta Motor SpeedwayTBD
Sunday, Sept. 15Go Bowling at The Glen*Watkins Glen InternationalTBD
Saturday, Sept. 21Bass Pro Shops Night Race*Bristol Motor SpeedwayTBD
Sunday, Sept. 29Hollywood Casino 400*Kansas SpeedwayTBD
Sunday, Oct. 6YellaWood 500*Talladega SuperspeedwayTBD
Sunday, Oct. 13Bank of America ROVAL 400*Charlotte Motor Speedway Road CourseTBD
Sunday, Oct. 20South Point 400*Las Vegas Motor SpeedwayTBD
Sunday, Oct. 27NASCAR Cup Series Race at Homestead-Miami*Homestead-Miami SpeedwayTBD
Sunday, Nov. 3XFINITY 500*Martinsville SpeedwayTBD
Sunday, Nov. 10NASCAR Cup Series Championship*Phoenix RacewayTBD

* NASCAR Cup Series Championship playoff race

NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds over time

Odds via DraftKings.

DriverOpening oddsJuly 8Aug. 20
Kyle Larson+550+400+380
William Byron+550+550+800
Ryan Blaney+750+1000+800
Denny Hamlin+800+450+380
Chase Elliott+850+1000+1100
Christopher Bell+900+450+400
Martin Truex Jr.+1000+1400+1600
Joey Logano+1200+1200+1600
Kyle Busch+1200+5000+10000
Ross Chastain+1400+2800+5000
Tyler Reddick+1400+1400+500
Brad Keselowski+1800+2000+2200
Chris Buescher+2000+2500+6000
Ty Gibbs+2800+2800+3500
Bubba Wallace+3000+10000+10000
Alex Bowman+3500+2500+3500
Josh Berry+6000+10000+70000
Daniel Suarez+7000+10000+10000
Chase Briscoe+7000+10000+30000

Past NASCAR Cup Series Championship winners

YearDriverPreseason odds
2023Ryan Blaney+1000
2022Joey Logano+1400
2021Kyle Larson+1100
2020Chase Elliott+1200
2019Kyle Busch+600
2018Joey Logano+800
2017Martin Truex Jr. +800
2016Jimmie Johnson+700
2015Kyle Busch+1000
2014Kevin Harvick+2000
2013Jimmie Johnson+350

How to bet on the NASCAR Cup Series Championship

While there is no dominant driver in the NASCAR field as there once was, there's a clear top three with Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and Christopher Bell trading wins every few weeks. You can toss William Byron into that mix, as well, though his three wins all came within the first eight weeks of the season.

Betting on any of those drivers isn't a bad way to invest in the season, with all looking likely to be among the final cars in the playoff field. If you're looking for a way to fade those leaders, you might find better value on a race-to-race basis - like we saw with Alex Bowman (+2200), Daniel Suarez (+4500), Austin Dillon (+10000), and Austin Cindric (+25000) as long-shot winners.

That said, NASCAR's playoff format adds volatility to the overall field, so we recommend picking off relative values like Ty Gibbs, who has the makeup and team to compete if he can secure his spot in the playoffs.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship FAQs

Who is the NASCAR Cup Series Championship favorite?

Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin are tied as consensus favorites to win the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series championship with odds as short as +380. Those odds represent an implied probability of 20.83% according to our odds converter.

Who won the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship?

Ryan Blaney won the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, outlasting Kyle Larson and William Byron in the final race of the season at Phoenix Raceway.

When will the NASCAR Cup Series Championship be decided?

The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship will be decided on Nov. 10, when the final four drivers compete at Phoenix Raceway.

Where will the NASCAR Cup Series Championship take place?

For the fifth straight year, the NASCAR Cup Series Championship will take place at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Arizona, as the conclusion of the 16-driver playoff.

When is the next NASCAR race?

The next race in the NASCAR Cup Series is the Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway, which will be televised on ABC and NBC on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Motorsports betting odds pages

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