NASCAR Cup Series Championship Odds 2024: Favorite Byron Narrowly Leads Hamlin, Larson
William Byron, Kyle Larson, and Denny Hamlin lead the favorites by the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds after the first eight races of the 2024 season.
Kyle Larson and William Byron were the clear favorites across our best sportsbooks to win the Cup Series championship entering the 2024 season. Sure enough, those two remain atop the betting odds after the first eight races, but a familiar name as joined them atop the oddsboard.
Denny Hamlin has emerged as a co-favorite to win his first-ever NASCAR championship after winning two of the last four races and leading 66 laps at Martinsville Speedway last Sunday. Byron won that race, and he now paces the field with three checkered flags and is getting the shortest title odds at four of five best sports betting sites.
Those two are the only drivers with multiple wins this season, though that could change Sunday at Texas Motor Speedway, where Larson is the consensus favorite to score his second victory of the year. He's also led the most laps (454) and ranks first in the NASCAR Cup Series standings ahead of this weekend's AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400.
Here is our updated look at the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds (via the best sports betting apps) and our top picks among the field.
For more on Sunday's race, check out our 2024 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 preview and picks.
NASCAR Cup Series championship odds 2024
(Odds updated April 11)
| Driver | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Byron | +450 | +450 | +525 🔥 | +475 | +500 |
| Denny Hamlin | +500 | +550 🔥 | +525 | +450 ❄️ | +500 |
| Kyle Larson | +550 | +550 | +525 | +500 | +500 |
| Christopher Bell | +700 | +750 🔥 | +600 | +600 | +700 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +800 | +750 ❄️ | +900 | +1000 🔥 | +800 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1000 ❄️ | +1000 | +1200 | +1100 | +1200 |
| Chase Elliott | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1100 ❄️ | +1200 |
| Ross Chastain | +1400 | +1200 ❄️ | +1600 | +1800 🔥 | +1600 |
| Joey Logano | +1400 | +1400 | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
Favorites to win NASCAR Cup Series Championship
William Byron (+525 via BetMGM)
Nobody has won more often or more impressively than Byron, whose win at Martinsville on Sunday was his third of the season - already half his six-win total from 2023 in 29 fewer races.
At just 26, Byron has already established himself as perhaps the premier driver in the field, and he's among the betting favorites for every race. That remains the case on short tracks, superspeedways, and even road courses, as he's picked up one win apiece on each of those types of tracks.
We said last week that Byron's +575 odds at BetMGM might be the best we see all season. His price is even shorter now after another win, and I don't expect that to reverse course before the NASCAR playoffs.
Denny Hamlin (+550 via FanDuel)
If you were to hold the playoffs right now, there's a pretty good chance Hamlin would win the first Cup Series championship of his nearly two-decade career at NASCAR's highest level.
The No. 11 has secured two of the last four races and entered this past Sunday as the favorite to win at Martinsville. Even though he finished just outside the top 10, it's still been an epic run for the NASCAR veteran, whose car and pit crew are both among the best in the field through the first two months of the season.
While Hamlin's only top-five results have come in those two wins, he's been in contention just about every week, and his team seems to be firing on all cylinders. Watch out.
Kyle Larson (+550 via DraftKings)
While Larson finds himself as the "third" choice among the three favorites - at least by consensus odds - the preseason favorite remains a threat every time he hits the track after a second-place finish in 2023.
The 2021 champion has already recorded one dominant win at Las Vegas, and he's posted the overall most laps led (454) of any driver in the field through the first eight races. He was one of just two drivers to lead more than 1,000 laps in 2023 (Byron was the other), and he leads the NASCAR Cup Series standings after top-five finishes at Richmond and Martinsville.
Larson has been the fastest driver in the field since breaking onto the scene with 10 wins and his first Cup Series title in 2021. Anything can happen in the playoff era, but you can expect Larson to be among the final drivers in the field.
Ty Gibbs (+1600 via Caesars)
We've been banging the drum on Gibbs' long-shot odds all season long, including when he was dealing at 28/1 way back in February. His price has been slashed since then, but these odds at Caesars are still a relative bargain for arguably the best young driver in the field.
Gibbs has proven to be one of the circuit's best after only two seasons in the Cup series, with three top-five finishes and five top-10s through the first eight races of the campaign. He's also led the fourth-most laps (195) and has finished in the top three twice over his last five races - both tying his career best.
The 2023 Rookie of the Year is closing in on his first win, and it feels inevitable that Gibbs - the grandson of Joe Gibbs - will win a Cup Series trophy at some point in his career. With the way he's racing thus far, I wouldn't be shocked if that comes ahead of schedule.
2024 NASCAR schedule and winners
| Date | Race | Location | Winner (open) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday, Feb. 3 | Busch Light Clash at The Coliseum | Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum | Denny Hamlin (+1100) |
| Monday, Feb. 19 | Daytona 500 | Daytona International Speedway | William Byron (+1400) |
| Sunday, Feb. 25 | Ambetter Health 400 | Atlanta Motor Speedway | Daniel Suarez (+3000) |
| Sunday, March 3 | Pennzoil 400 | Las Vegas Motor Speedway | Kyle Larson (+400) |
| Sunday, March 10 | Shriners Children's 500 | Phoenix Raceway | Christopher Bell (+1000) |
| Sunday, March 17 | Food City 500 | Bristol Motor Speedway | Denny Hamlin (+500) |
| Sunday, March 24 | EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix | Circuit of the Americas | William Byron (+1000) |
| Sunday, March 31 | Toyota Owners 400 | Richmond Raceway | Denny Hamlin (+425) |
| Sunday, April 7 | Cook Out 400 | Martinsville Speedway | William Byron (+1200) |
| Sunday, April 14 | AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 | Texas Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, April 21 | GEICO 500 | Talladega Superspeedway | TBD |
| Sunday, April 28 | Würth 400 | Dover Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, May 5 | AdventHealth 400 | Kansas Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, May 12 | Goodyear 400 | Darlington Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, May 19 | NASCAR All-Star Race | North Wilkesboro Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, May 26 | Coca-Cola 600 | Charlotte Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 2 | Enjoy Illinois 300 | World Wide Technology Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 9 | Toyota / Save Mart 350 | Sonoma Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 16 | Iowa Corn 350 | Iowa Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 23 | NASCAR Cup Series Race at New Hampshire | New Hampshire Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 30 | Ally 400 | Nashville Superspeedway | TBD |
| Sunday, July 7 | Grant Park 165 | Chicago Street Course | TBD |
| Sunday, July 14 | NASCAR CUP Series Race at Pocono | Pocono Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, July 21 | Brickyard 400 | Indianapolis Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Aug. 11 | Cook Out 400 | Richmond Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, Aug. 18 | FireKeepers Casino 400 | Michigan International Speedway | TBD |
| Saturday, Aug. 24 | Coke Zero Sugar 400 | Daytona International Spedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 1 | Cook Out Southern 500 | Darlington Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 8 | Quaker State 400* | Atlanta Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 15 | Go Bowling at The Glen* | Watkins Glen International | TBD |
| Saturday, Sept. 21 | Bass Pro Shops Night Race* | Bristol Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 29 | Hollywood Casino 400* | Kansas Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 6 | YellaWood 500* | Talladega Superspeedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 13 | Bank of America ROVAL 400* | Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 20 | South Point 400* | Las Vegas Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 27 | NASCAR Cup Series Race at Homestead-Miami* | Homestead-Miami Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Nov. 3 | XFINITY 500* | Martinsville Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Nov. 10 | NASCAR Cup Series Championship* | Phoenix Raceway | TBD |
* NASCAR Cup Series Championship playoff race
NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds over time
We haven't seen much change across our best sportsbooks through the first eight weeks with William Byron, Denny Hamlin, and Kyle Larson comfortably slotting into the top three.
The 2023 winner Ryan Blaney has fallen back to the middle of the pack after opening with +750 odds, while Christopher Bell and Martin Truex Jr. round out the top five just ahead of the reigning champion. The odds for Youngsters Chase Elliott (28), Tyler Reddick (28), and Ty Gibbs (21) have also been moving after strong starts to the season.
NASCAR Cup Series Championship opening odds
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +550 |
| William Byron | +550 |
| Ryan Blaney | +750 |
| Denny Hamlin | +800 |
| Chase Elliott | +850 |
| Christopher Bell | +900 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1000 |
| Joey Logano | +1200 |
| Kyle Busch | +1200 |
| Ross Chastain | +1400 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1400 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1800 |
| Chris Buescher | +2000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2800 |
| Bubba Wallace | +3000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3500 |
| Josh Berry | +6000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +7000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +7000 |
Recent NASCAR Cup Series Championship winners
| Year | Driver | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ryan Blaney | +1000 |
| 2022 | Joey Logano | +1400 |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson | +1100 |
| 2020 | Chase Elliott | +1200 |
| 2019 | Kyle Busch | +600 |
| 2018 | Joey Logano | +800 |
| 2017 | Martin Truex Jr. | +800 |
| 2016 | Jimmie Johnson | +700 |
| 2015 | Kyle Busch | +1000 |
| 2014 | Kevin Harvick | +2000 |
| 2013 | Jimmie Johnson | +350 |
How to bet on NASCAR Cup Series Championship
While there is no dominant driver in the NASCAR field as there once was, preseason favorites Kyle Larson and William Byron have established themselves as the top two competitors in the overall field and are among the favorites in just about every race. Denny Hamlin has entered the mix, too, after two wins in the last four weeks.
Betting on any of those drivers isn't a bad way to invest in the season, with all three looking likely to be among the final cars in the playoff field. If you're looking for a way to fade those leaders, you might find better value on a race-to-race basis - like when Daniel Suarez won in Atlanta with odds as high as 45/1.
That said, NASCAR's playoff format adds volatility to the overall field, so we recommend picking off relative values like Ryan Blaney (+1200), Joey Logano (+1600), and Ty Gibbs (+1600), who all have the makeup and team to compete with a bigger payoff than the top three.
NASCAR Cup Series Championship FAQs
Who is the NASCAR Cup Series Championship favorite?
William Byron is the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship favorite with odds as high as +525, which comes with an implied probability of 16%. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson are also favored at some sportsbooks with odds as high as +550, which implies a 15.38% chance of winning the Cup Series.
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship?
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, outlasting Kyle Larson and William Byron in the final race of the season at Phoenix Raceway.
When will the NASCAR Cup Series Championship be decided?
The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship will be decided on Nov. 10, when the final four drivers compete at Phoenix Raceway.
Where will the NASCAR Cup Series Championship take place?
For the fifth straight year, the NASCAR Cup Series Championship will take place at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Arizona, as the conclusion of the 16-driver playoff.
When is the next NASCAR race?
The next race in the NASCAR Cup Series is the AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400, which is scheduled for Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas.
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