Liberty vs. Sky Prediction, Expert Picks & WNBA Odds: Can New York Win Back to Back?

Familiar foes face off Saturday when the New York Liberty (19-4) and Chicago Sky (9-13) meet for the second time in three days. The Liberty are favored by 7.5 points in the rematch, which tips off at 1 p.m. ET on ABC from Wintrust Arena in Chicago.

Our best sports betting sites have New York dealing among the favorites in the latest WNBA championship odds, though we're intrigued by the home underdogs in our Liberty vs. Sky prediction and expert picks.

Liberty vs. Sky expert picks

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best sports betting sites.

• Sky win 1Q, Liberty win game (+330 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Breanna Stewart Over 18.5 points (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Liberty vs. Sky predictions for Saturday

Sky win 1Q, Liberty win game ⭐⭐⭐

After the Liberty won this exact matchup by 15 points at home on Thursday, it's tough to justify backing the Sky to trim that margin in half two days later. But Chicago did quietly win the first quarter of that first meeting before falling apart in the fourth.

New York also has a habit of playing down to its opponent in the second leg of these back-to-back spots. This marks the fourth time the Liberty have faced an opponent twice in a row; they swept the previous three times but won the second game by 14.3 points fewer on average.

Obviously, that big of a drop here would swing toward a Sky win, and I'm not so sure we'll see that. But I do like Chicago's chances of stealing some early momentum before New York shuts the door late, especially with these +330 odds paying out $33 in profit on a $10 wager, per our odds converter.

Best odds: +330 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 23.26%

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Breanna Stewart Over 18.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

When you've just played against (and prepared for) an opponent days earlier, it's a lot easier to lean on your stars in the rematch. And that's exactly what the Liberty have done this season.

Stewart was the leading scorer in all three previous times that New York faced an opponent for the second time in a row, averaging 26.3 points on 52% shooting with at least 22 points in all three games. She also scored 19 points on Thursday, which came after a 33-point showing in her last trip to Chicago.

I have respect for the Sky's emerging frontcourt, but I don't think they have the horses to stop Stewie if she makes a concerted effort to lead the way Saturday.

Best odds: -130 via bet365 | Implied probability: 56.52%

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Liberty vs. Sky odds

Liberty vs. Sky game info

• When: Saturday, July 13
• Tip-off: 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Wintrust Arena (Chicago)
• How to watch: ABC
• Favorite: Liberty -7.5 (-108 via FanDuel)

Liberty-Sky predictions made Friday at 2 p.m. ET.

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