2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix Odds & Betting Favorites: Will Cold Conditions Cool McLaren's Chances?
One of the most hotly anticipated races of the season is on tap as we provide the Las Vegas Grand Prix odds and betting favorites.
Saturday's race from the Las Vegas Street Circuit starts at 11 p.m. ET (ESPN), and my early picks focus on whether Max Verstappen can win for the second time in three tries in Sin City.
📊 Las Vegas Grand Prix odds & betting favorites 2025
Latest Las Vegas Grand Prix odds to win Sunday's race via BetMGM.
| Driver | Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | +160 | 38.46% | $16 |
| Lando Norris | +300 | 25% | $30 |
| George Russell | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Oscar Piastri | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Oliver Bearman | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Isack Hadjar | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Fernando Alonso | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Alexander Albon | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Carlos Sainz | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Franco Colapinto | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
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🏁 Early pick to win Las Vegas Grand Prix
Max Verstappen (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Verstappen won the inaugural Las Vegas Grand Prix in 2023 and finished fifth last year. Red Bull's car has performed well in Sin City, particularly in colder conditions.
While Mercedes had the best-performing car in 2024, I'm worried their relatively mediocre track record in 2025 will prevent them from being the talk of Sin City on Saturday night.
McLaren, meanwhile, hasn't figured out how to create a symbiotic relationship with the cold, crisp desert night. The MCL39 usually benefits from one of the most innovative cooling systems. That won't be nearly as impactful on Saturday, with the temperature expected to dip to 46 degrees.
There is also a lack of long, quick corners, which is often where the most significant discrepancy lies between the performance of the MCL39 and other inferior cars on the grid. Without those advantages, the door is agape for Red Bull, particularly Verstappen.
In addition, Lando Norris has been rather negative in the lead-up to the race, saying he's not looking forward to it based on previous results in Vegas. He's not confident in his car's ability to perform in the comparatively frigid conditions.
His lack of confidence speaks volumes, so I'm backing Verstappen, the pre-race betting favorite. Of the best sports betting sites, DraftKings offers the best price (+175). A winning $10 bet will profit $17.50 on those odds, which carry an implied probability of 36.36%.
📈 Las Vegas Grand Prix trends & history
- Both Las Vegas Grand Prix races were won by the pole-sitter, with Verstappen winning in 2023 and George Russell in 2024
- The Las Vegas street circuit is the sixth-fastest on the circuit, with an average speed of 150.26 mph
- There are 17 high-speed turns and two DRS zones
- Drivers will reach speeds of 215 mph
- Norris holds the fastest lap (1:34.876 in 2024)
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🏆 Past Las Vegas Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | George Russell | Mercedes |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing Honda RBPT |
🗓️ 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix schedule
- Practice 1: Thursday, Nov. 20 (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Practice 2: Thursday, Nov. 20 (11 p.m. ET)
- Practice 3: Friday, Nov. 21 (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Qualifying: Friday, Nov. 21 (11 p.m. ET)
- Race: Saturday, Nov. 22 (11 p.m. ET)
📺 How to watch 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix
- Date: Saturday, Nov. 22
- Time: 11 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas Street Circuit (Las Vegas)
- How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+
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