Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Picks & Predictions Tonight: Heavyweight Preview
Weights are official, and we are set to go with our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua predictions ahead of tonight's 8 p.m, ET fight card on Netflix (at no extra cost for subscribers). The betting odds favor the two-time unified heavyweight champion to deliver a statement knockout on Friday at Miami's Kaseya Center. Joshua is a prohibitive -1200 betting favorite to win (92.31% implied win probability).
The fight is slated for eight, 3-minute rounds with 10 oz., gloves. We've broken down all the need-to-know Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight info to get you ready for Friday's main event, which is expected to start around midnight.
🥊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua predictions
See all of our boxing picks for tonight's fights.
| Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua predictions | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua to win fight | -1200 (DraftKings) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 rounds | -145 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Anthony Joshua to win fight (-1200) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
💡 What to consider when betting Paul vs. Joshua
Anthony Joshua is five inches, has eight inches more reach, and weights nearly 30 pounds more than Paul. Oh, he's also far more accomplished in professional boxing and sports an Olympic gold medal.
As with all Paul endeavors in the ring, the only real question here is the legitimacy of the fight. With it being deemed professional and sanctioned, fears of any wrongdoings should be eliminated. Joshua at -1200 seems about as safe of a bet as we could hope for tonight.
- Read more in Gary Pearson's Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
The physical advantages here border on absurd. Yet, the majority of the early Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting action has come in on the YouTuber.
Joshua will enjoy a five-inch height edge, six inches of reach, and approximately 45 pounds at fight time despite the contractual 245-pound weigh-in limit. More importantly, he brings a championship pedigree and a devastating right hand that former Great Britain coach Richie Woodhall called the hardest he's ever felt on pads.
Paul has never faced anyone remotely close to this caliber. His resume includes a 58-year-old Mike Tyson and former UFC fighters with minimal boxing experience. Joshua's recent knockout of Francis Ngannou in two rounds demonstrated his ability to dismantle powerful athletes transitioning to boxing.
Expect Joshua to establish his jab early, walk Paul down behind a tight guard, and unload combinations once he closes distance. Paul's only path to victory involves landing a miracle shot before Joshua finds his range. That scenario seems highly unlikely given the vast experience gap. Joshua finishes this, very likely inside six rounds.
However, there's simply no value to be found in a -1000 betting line. We've broken down the full Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting odds and have come to our best bet below.
💰 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
Search the best player prop odds for any fighter across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
Over 2.5 rounds (-145) ⭐⭐⭐
This is where the real value lives.
Paul's durability shouldn't be underestimated. He's never been stopped and possesses enough defensive awareness to survive the early rounds while Joshua finds his rhythm. The British champion typically starts cautiously before overwhelming opponents once he establishes control. Joshua's last three stoppages came in rounds 2, 5, and 7, showing he doesn't always rush for the early finish.
Anthony Joshua vs. Jake Paul expert picks
- How to bet Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua at Kalshi
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua prop bets
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- How long will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua last?
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua novelty picks
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting action
📊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds
Odds via BetMGM; subject to change.
| Jake Paul | Method of victory | Anthony Joshua |
|---|---|---|
| +550 | Win outright | -1000 |
| +1200 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | -400 |
| +1200 | Win by unanimous decision | +450 |
| Draw (+2000) | ||
| Yes: +275 | Fight to go the full 8 rounds | No: -400 |
💰️ How much are Paul and Joshua being paid?
Our Dustin Saracini looked at how much Paul and Joshua will make for Friday's fight on Netflix. With the total purse believed to be around $267 million.
🆚 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua tale of the tape
| Jake Paul | Anthony Joshua | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Age | 35 |
| 6-foot-1 | Height | 6-foot-6 |
| 216.6 pounds | Weight | 243.4 pounds |
| 76" | Reach | 82" |
| 12-1 | Record | 28-4 |
| 7 | Wins by KO | 25 |
📇 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card & odds
Here is the full Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card on Netflix, with odds from DraftKings:
| Favorite | Underdog | Weight class |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua (-1200) | Jake Paul (+700) | Heavyweight |
| Alycia Baumgardner (-1400) | Leila Beaudoin (+750) | Featherweight (championship) |
| Anderson Silva (-275) | Tyron Woodley (+210) | Cruiserweight (195 pounds) |
| Jahmal Harvey (-3500) | Kevin Cervantes (+1300) | Featherweight |
| Cherneka Johnson (-900) | Amanda Galle (+550) | Bantamweight (championship) |
| Caroline Dubois (-3500) | Camila Panatta (+1300) | Lightweight (championship) |
| Yokasta Valle (-1400) | Yadira Bustillos (+700) | Strawweight (championship) |
| Avious Griffin (-600) | Justin Cardona (+400) | Welterweight |
| Keno Marley (-10000) | Diarra Davis Jr. (+1800) | Crusierweight |
🤑 Other fight predictions
Here are our predictions for tonight's other top fights on the Paul vs. Joshua Netflix card:
📺 How to watch Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Sean Tomlinson looks at how to watch Paul vs. Joshua, with the entire fight card free for subscribers on Netflix.
- Date: Friday, Dec. 19
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center (Miami)
- TV: Netflix
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