Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Odds: Joshua (-1300) vs. Paul (+700) Betting Lines
We're two weeks away from Fight Night on Netflix (Friday, Dec. 19), and the betting lines are holding steady as the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds continue to list the former world heavyweight champion as the -1300 moneyline favorite. Paul is the +700 underdog for the professional heavyweight bout at Kaseya Center in Miami.
The full fight card, also featuring Anderson Silva vs. Tyron Woodley and Alycia Baumgardner vs. Leila Beaudoin, will be free for Netflix subscribers.
📊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds: Who will win?
Odds as of Friday, Dec 5, via FanDuel - one of our best boxing betting sites.
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| Anthony Joshua | -1300 | 92.86% | $0.77 |
The moneyline odds for Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have held steady over the past several weeks. The former world heavyweight champion and Olympic gold medalist is the heavy favorite, but a winning $10 bet at -1300 moneyline odds would return a profit of just 77 cents with an outright win - regardless of how victory is decided.
Joshua has a profession record of 28-4 with four knockout victories. Paul, who rose to fame with exhibition wins over the like of former NBA player Nate Robinson and most recently beat a then-58-year-old Mike Tyson, is 12-1 with seven knockouts. His only loss was via split decision to Tommy Fury in 2023.
⚖️ Method of victory odds
Here are the odds for the method of victory in the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight:
| Method | Odds |
|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua KO/TKO | -425 |
| Anthony Joshua points or decision | +500 |
| Jake Paul KO/TKO | +1000 |
| Jake Paul points or decision | +1400 |
| Draw | +2500 |
Joshua by KO/TKO is the heavy favorite in this market with the -425 odds representing an implied probability of 80.95%. It's still the much more profitable way to bet on the outright favorite as a winning $10 bet here would return a profit of $2.35.
Generally, a less popular bet, placing a wager on both fighters to win on points or decision could be a profitable endeavor. With this being a fight for the masses on Netflix, this likely gets drawn out for closer to the full eight rounds by both combatants.
⏰ Will fight go the distance?
Here are the odds for the fight to go the distance on Friday, Dec. 19. It was announced the fight will consist of eight, 3-minute rounds:
| Will fight go the distance? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +360 |
| No | -600 |
No is the favorite, as can be seen in the above method of victory odds for either fighter to win by KO/TKO. Still, a winning $10 bet on Yes would return a profit of $36 as the value bet.
🎤 What will be Jake Paul's walkout song?
FanDuel Canada has a market asking for Jake Paul's walkout song, stating bets will be settled "on the Song(s) that Jake Paul uses during his entrance to the ring for his fight vs Anthony Joshua on 20/12/2025".
- Sweet Caroline (Neil Diamond) +175
- Any Jake Paul Original Track +340
- Wonderwall (Oasis) +550
- You'll Never Walk Alone (Gerry & The Pacemakers) +850
- Power (Kanye West) +1000
- London Calling (The Clash) +1000
- First Person Shooter (Drake & J.Cole) +1100
- Lose Yourself (Eminem) +1400
- DNA (Kendrick Lamar) +1400
- God Save the Queen (Sex Pistols) +1600
- Seven Nation Army (The White Stripes) +1600
- Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) +1800
- Dream On (Aerosmith) +1800
- All I Want For Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) +1800
- Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) +2000
- Remember The Name (Fort Minor) +2000
- Bank Account (21 Savage) +2200
- War (Pop Smoke) +2200
- I Will Survive (Gloria Gaynor) +2200
- Fix You (Coldplay) +2700
- Hells Bells (AC/DC) +2700
- Eye of the Tiger (Survivor) +3000
- Hustlin' (Rick Ross) +3000
- Sandstorm (Darude) +3500
- Bring Me to Life (Evanescence) +3500
- Man I Need (Olivia Dean) +4000
- It's All Coming Back to Me Now (Celine Dion) +4000
- Ordinary (Alex Warren) +4000
- American Pie (Don McLean) +4500
- Golden (HUNTR/X) +4500
- Thick Of It (KSI ft. Trippie Redd) +5500
- Warriors (Imagine Dragons) +5500
- Von dutch (Charli xcx) +6500
- Good Luck, Babe! (Chappell Roan) +6500
- Khe Sanh (Cold Chisel) +7500
🔮 Who will win Jake Paul (+700) vs. Anthony Joshua (-1300) prediction
Here is my best bet for the Dec. 19 fight between Paul and Joshua in Miami:
Anthony Joshua to win (-1300)
As I said above, this is the only bet to make at this stage. Joshua is older, more experienced - and more accomplished - heavier, taller, and has more to lose. Paul has previously hand-picked opponents such as Davis for exhibition bouts in which he held the considerable size (and/or age) advantage. He's now in the big leagues with this fight against the Englishman and former world champion.
That said, -1300 is not a great value bet. I'd prefer to wait for some additional betting lines to become available closer to fight night. Betting on Joshua to win via decision (+500) may be the best bet. It's important to remember that while a professional bout, this fight - on Netflix - is for entertainment purposes.
📜 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua rules
Per Ring Magazine, Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua on Friday, Dec. 19, will be a sanctioned professional fight - and it will go on record for both fighters.
- Fight will consist of eight, 3-minute rounds
- Fighters will wear 10 ounce gloves
- Joshua cannot weight over 245 pounds
🥊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua tale of the tape
Here is a look at how Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua match up ahead of their Dec. 19 match in Miami:
| Jake Paul | Anthony Joshua | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Age | 36 |
| 12-1 | Record | 28-4 |
| 6-foot-1 | Height | 6-foot-6 |
| 76 inches | Reach | 82 inches |
| 199.4 pounds | Last weigh-in | 252.7 pounds |
📇 Full Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card
Here is every fight on the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card on Netflix; all odds via FanDuel:
| Favorite | Underdog | Weight class |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua (-1300) | Jake Paul (+700) | Heavyweight |
| Anderson Silva (NA) | Tyron Woodley (NA) | Cruiserweight (6 rounds) |
| Alycia Baumgardner (-1600) | Leila Beaudoin (+830) | Featherweight (Championship bout) |
| Cherneka Johnson (-1300) | Amanda Galle (+580) | Bantamweight (Championship bout) |
| Yokasta Valle (-1300) | Yadira Bustillos (+580) | Strawweight (Championship bout) |
| Avious Griffin (-550) | Justin Cardona (+360) | Welterweight |
| Keno Marley (NA) | Diarra Davis Jr. (NA) | Cruiserweight |
👛 What is the fight purse?
Looks like Jake Paul has already answered the question: how much are Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua being paid? It's not for a few loose coins in your couch cushions, let me tell ya.
❓ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight info
- When: Friday, Dec. 19
- Where: Kaseya Center (Miami)
- How to watch: Netflix (8 p.m. ET)
- Weight class: Heavyweight
- Favorite: Anthony Joshua (-1300)
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