Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Betting Odds & Fight Lines: Tonight's Netflix Card
It's time for the most anticipated bout of the year as we dive into the latest Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting odds ahead of tonight's (professional) heavyweight battle on Netflix.
Paul vs. Joshua and tonight's main card at Kaseya Center in Miami will air live and at no additional cost to subscribers on Netflix. Joshua, the former world heavyweight champion, is the -1200 betting favorite. Paul, the +700 underdog. Meanwhile, the full card includes Anderson Silva and Tyron Woodley, Alycia Baumgardner vs. Leila Beaudoin, and Caroline Dubois vs. Camila Panatta.
🥊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds: Who will win?
Here are the latest Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua moneyline odds via DraftKings as of Friday, Dec. 19.
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| Anthony Joshua | -1200 | 92.31% | $0.83 |
The Paul vs. Joshua moneyline odds are holding steady, with Joshua remaining the heavy betting favorite to win Friday's main event. Joshua is the more accomplished boxer, holding a 28-4 professional record with 25 knockout victories and two losses by knockout.
The Englishman stands 6-foot-6 with an 82-inch reach. He last lost to Daniel Dubois via knockout on Sept. 21, 2024. He had previously won four straight fights against Jermaine Franklin Jr., Robert Helenius, Otto Wallin, and Francis Ngannou.
Paul earned seven of his 12 victories by knockout, with only one loss by split decision on his record (Tommy Fury). Those wins include fights against Nate Robinson, Ben Askren, Tyron Woodley (twice), Anderson Silva, and a then-58-year-old Mike Tyson. He most recently beat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. by unanimous decision in late June.
As such, Joshua is being given a 92.31% chance to beat Paul on Friday night. A winning $10 bet would return a profit of 83 cents if he does. It makes sense that the lion's share of the early Paul vs. Joshua betting action has come in on the former champ.
⚖️ Paul vs. Joshua odds movement
There was some fluctuation in the odds to win the Paul vs. Joshua fight on Thursday, but we've returned to the opening lines as of Friday morning. Joshua lengthened only slightly from -1200 to -1000 late Thursday, and Paul's odds temporarily dropped from +700 to +650.
It's likely that through today the odds move further in Joshua's direction once more sharp money comes. Current betting action - mostly from public bettors - heavily sides with Paul.
⚖️ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds: Method of victory
Here are the odds from DraftKings for how the Paul vs. Joshua fight will be won:
| Fight outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua by KO/TKO/DQ | -380 |
| Anthony Joshua by decision or technical decision | +425 |
| Jake Paul by KO/TKO/DQ | +1400 |
| Jake Paul by decision or technical decision | +1400 |
| Draw | +2200 |
💰 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
💡 What to consider when betting Paul vs. Joshua
Anthony Joshua is five inches taller, has eight inches more reach, and weighs nearly 30 pounds more than Paul. Oh, he's also far more accomplished in professional boxing and sports an Olympic gold medal.
As with all Paul endeavors in the ring, the only real question here is the legitimacy of the fight. With it being deemed professional and sanctioned, fears of any wrongdoings should be eliminated. Joshua at -1200 seems about as safe of a bet as we could hope for tonight.
- Read more in Gary Pearson's Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
Anthony Joshua by decision or technical decision (+450)
Anthony Joshua has the better resume, plain and simple. Rather than betting into the steep -1200 moneyline odds, I'm going to turn a $10 bet into a $45 profit with Joshua to win by decision.
The most important factor for me when handicapping any Jake Paul bout - especially one on Netflix, on the Friday before Christmas - is that these fights are for the masses, not the boxing purists. Paul's marketing has been heavily laden with Rocky and David vs. Goliath references.
Rocky lost his first fight - against Apollo Creed - via decision. This will get drawn out one way or another.
🔔 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds: Total rounds
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua is scheduled for eight, three-minute rounds. Here are the odds for how long the fight will last:
| Over 2.5 rounds | Under 2.5 rounds |
|---|---|
| -145 | +110 |
There was some early movement in this market overnight, with the Over 2.5 rounds moving from -115 to -140, and the Under going from -115 to +105.
Round betting
Here are the odds for who will win and in which round specifically:
| Round for fight to be won | Jake Paul to win | Anthony Joshua to win |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +6500 | +300 |
| 2 | +6500 | +350 |
| 3 | +6500 | +500 |
| 4 | +8000 | +700 |
| 5 | +10000 | +1000 |
| 6 | +10000 | +1600 |
| 7 | +10000 | +2500 |
| 8 | +10000 | +3500 |
| Decision | +1400 | +450 |
| Draw | +2200 | +2200 |
The fight is +330 to go the distance ($10 bet wins $33 profit), with -500 odds for No. The fight to end within the first 60 seconds of Round 1 is +1000.
🔻 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds: Knockdowns
Here are the odds for total knockdowns in the Paul vs. Joshua fight, along with various knockdown-related prop bets:
| Total knockdowns | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -115 | -115 |
Both fighters to be knocked down is priced at +800 at DraftKings. Either fighter to be knocked down carries -700 odds for Yes and +450 odds for No.
| Jake Paul | Anthony Joshua | |
|---|---|---|
| To be knocked down | Yes: -500 | No: +340 | Yes: +550 | No: -1000 |
| To be knocked down and win | +3000 | +1000 |
💰️ How much are Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua making?
Dustin Saracini is breaking down how much Paul and Joshua are being paid for Friday's fight on Netflix. A $267 million purse suggests both fighters could walk away with nearly $100 million.
Anthony Joshua vs. Jake Paul expert picks
- How to bet Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua at Kalshi
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua prop bets
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory
- How long will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua last?
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua novelty picks
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting action
🎟️ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua tale of the tape
Here is a look at how Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua match up ahead of Friday's fight in Miami:
| Jake Paul | Anthony Joshua | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Age | 36 |
| 12-1 | Record | 28-4 |
| 6-foot-1 | Height | 6-foot-6 |
| 76 inches | Reach | 82 inches |
| 216.6 pounds | Weight | 243.4 pounds |
⚖️ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua weigh-in
Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua had their official weigh-ins on Thursday, with Paul checking in at 216.6 pounds, and Joshua coming in just below his mandated 245-pound limit. The fight is on!
📇 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card & odds
Here is the full Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card on Netflix, with odds from DraftKings:
| Favorite | Underdog | Weight class |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua (-1200) | Jake Paul (+700) | Heavyweight |
| Alycia Baumgardner (-1400) | Leila Beaudoin (+750) | Featherweight (championship) |
| Anderson Silva (-275) | Tyron Woodley (+210) | Cruiserweight (195 pounds) |
| Jahmal Harvey (-3500) | Kevin Cervantes (+1300) | Featherweight |
| Cherneka Johnson (-900) | Amanda Galle (+550) | Bantamweight (championship) |
| Caroline Dubois (-3500) | Camila Panatta (+1300) | Lightweight (championship) |
| Yokasta Valle (-1400) | Yadira Bustillos (+700) | Strawweight (championship) |
| Avious Griffin (-600) | Justin Cardona (+400) | Welterweight |
| Keno Marley (-10000) | Diarra Davis Jr. (+1800) | Crusierweight |
🤑 Other fight predictions
Here are our predictions for tonight's other top fights on the Paul vs. Joshua Netflix card:
- Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua predictions
- Anderson Silva vs. Tyron Woodley predictions
- Alycia Baumgardner vs. Leila Beaudoin predictions
- Caroline Dubois vs. Camilla Panatta predictions
❓ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight info
- When: Friday, Dec. 19
- Where: Kaseya Center (Miami)
- How to watch: Netflix (8 p.m. ET)
- Weight class: Heavyweight
- Favorite: Anthony Joshua (-1200 via DraftKings)
📺️ How to watch Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Sean Tomlinson looks at how to watch Paul vs. Joshua, with the entire fight card free for subscribers on Netflix.
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