Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Method of Victory Prediction: How Will Friday's Fight End?
I'm breaking down the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory odds, with my best prop prediction ahead of their heavyweight fight tonight on Netflix from the Kaseya Center in Miami. The main card begins at 8 p.m. ET.
Joshua is a heavy -1000 betting favorite to win, but you'll get more value if you bet on a specific outcome to the fight rather than the winner alone.
⚖️ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory odds
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory odds via DraftKings.
| Fight outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Anthony Joshua by KO/TKO/DQ | -380 |
| Anthony Joshua by decision or technical decision | +450 |
| Jake Paul by KO/TKO/DQ | +1200 |
| Jake Paul by decision or technical decision | +1400 |
| Draw | +2200 |
No matter who wins this fight, our best boxing betting sites cleary aren't expecting it to go the distance.
The outcome with the shortest odds is Joshua by KO/TKO/DQ at -380, which translates to an implied probability of 79.16%. That far outweighs the odds on Joshua winning by decision (+450, 18.18% implied probability).
While Paul's method of victory odds are closer, the more likely outcome is him winning by KO/TKO/DQ at +1200, compared to +1400 by decision.
📜 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua boxing records
Nearly all of Joshua's pro fights throughout his decorated boxing career have ended early.
A whopping 26 of Joshua's 32 bouts have resulted in either a KO or TKO (81.3%). Meanwhile, only seven of Paul's 13 fights have ended early (53.8%) as nearly half have gone the distance.
When combined, 86.7% of Paul and Joshua's boxing appearances have been decided by KO/TKO/DQ.
🥊 Everything you need to know about Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Our Sean Tomlinson breaks down all the key information for Friday's bout in his Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight info.
💰 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory best bet
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory best bet: Anthony Joshua by decision or technical decision (+450 via DraftKings)
Joshua is very likely to win this fight, as his -1200 odds imply a 92.31% chance he has his hand raised when all is said and done. However, I'm betting against history here in my method of victory best bet, especially given the nature of this Paul-centric Netflix event.
Paul's lone defeat came via decision to Tommy Fury in 2023, and I'm banking on the younger and lighter fighter holding on through all eight rounds versus Joshua.
Therefore, I'm putting some cash down on Joshua to win by decision or technical decision at DraftKings' +450 odds (18.18% implied probability). I'll take home a $45 profit on my $10 bet if Joshua wins by decision.
❓ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight info
- When: Friday, Dec. 19
- Where: Kaseya Center (Miami)
- How to watch: Netflix (main card 8 p.m. ET)
- Weight class: Heavyweight
- Favorite: Anthony Joshua (-1000 via DraftKings)
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