Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Best Bet: Where's the Value Betting Paul vs. Joshua?

With such a lopsided card on paper, we offer our advice on where the best value is for Friday's Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight, with our best bet.
Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua face off during their official weigh-in as we look at our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
Pictured: Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua face off during their official weigh-in as we look at our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet. Photo by JC Ruiz/Sipa USA.
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Our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet offers advice about where the best value lies for tonight's fight at Kaseya Center in Miami, which will be aired live on Netflix. 

Joshua, with his superior experience and fighting pedigree, is the massive -1000 betting favorite, providing almost no value in a straight-up bet. So where should you turn to elicit a decent return? Let's take a look. 


🥊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet

Over 2.5 rounds (-115)

There are a few ways you can go here. In our Paul vs. Joshua betting odds, Esten McLaren recommends backing Joshua by decision or technical decision. DraftKings has the odds for that pick at +450, implying a 18.18% probability.  

I'm going another route, one that carries a higher probability. I'm backing the fight to at least reach the third round. No matter how anyone slices it, this event is meant for a massive audience. Its principal purpose, aside from boosting Paul's ego, is to entertain. 

I'd be surprised, even with the obvious disparity on display, to see the fight end in Round 1 or 2. DraftKings offers -115 odds for the Over and Under. With an implied probability of 53.49%, I'm backing the Over. 

A winning $10 bet will profit $8.70.

💡Other Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bets

Proceedings will fall under the fishy category if Paul wins this fight. I'm pretty sure most people will agree with that assertion. However, I can see Paul, with his limitless bravado and tough-as-nails persona, making it through a few rounds. 

In reality, Joshua should beat Paul to a pulp. And maybe he still does, but Paul won't go down without a fight (sorry for the pun). That leads me to believe that Anthony winning in Round 4 offers excellent value

Of the best sports betting sitesFanDuel provides the best value (+800) for Joshua to end it in the fourth round. Those odds imply an 11.11% probability, and a winning $10 bet will profit $80. 


❓ Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight info

  • When: Friday, Dec. 19
  • Where: Kaseya Center (Miami)
  • How to watch: Netflix (8 p.m. ET)
  • Weight class: Heavyweight
  • Favorite: Anthony Joshua (-1000 via DraftKings)

📺️ How to watch Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Sean Tomlinson looks at how to watch Paul vs. Joshua, with the entire fight card free for subscribers on Netflix.


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